KBO’s Preview, Predictions and Betting Odds for June 4

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Aaron Brooks former #38 of the Baltimore Orioles. Adam Glanzman/Getty Images/AFP

The KBO is turning into the CBO (Chaos Baseball Organization). Just when you think you’ve got the KBO figured out, the league throws some curveballs. We’ve got a couple rubber match-ups and a couple of sweep attempts in KBO’s Thursday action. Here are the best bets with odds available at BetOnline.

Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers

Thursday, June 4, 2020 – 5:30am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • Lotte: Noh Kyung-eun (1-1 5.57 ERA)
  • Kia: Aaron Brooks (1-2 3.23 ERA)

Taking import pitchers against local pitchers didn’t work out in our favor yesterday. In the KBO, teams with an import pitcher went 0-3 on the day, even though import pitchers have won almost 60 percent of games.

We’ve got another import vs local pitcher in this one as Aaron Brooks will take the mound for Kia. Brooks is 1-2 with a 3.23 ERA to start the season. He’s started five games this season and although his ERA is 3.23, he’s lost two games and won just one.

His two losses came against the Doosan Bears and the LG Twins, which are two of the better offenses in the league. Brooks has pitched three quality outings and had a fourth outing that just missed qualification as he went 5.2 innings and allowed one run.

Brooks has had one bad start against the Bears where he allowed four earned runs (five runs) in 5.1 innings of work.

Lotte’s offense isn’t exactly a powerhouse. As a team they have a wRC+ of 84.2 which is in the bottom half of the league.

Brooks is striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings and allowing just 1.5 walks per nine innings. However, he’s been hit with a little bit of bad luck as his batting average of balls in play is currently .352. His ERA and FIP are very similar after 30.2 innings pitched. Reality is, at home, against a poor Lotte team, while trying to get a sweep, Brooks should have a nice time.

However, he’ll go up against Noh Kyung-eun who has had much more bad luck than Brooks has this season. Kyung-eun is 1-1 with a 5.57 ERA. He’s coming off a loss to Doosan on the road where he allowed just three runs in six innings. In his last two starts, he’s allowed just nine hits in ten innings.

Kyung-eun’s strikeout numbers aren’t fantastic as he strikes out 6.0 per nine innings. That’s how he’s been for most of his career. His walks are starting to pile up as he allows three walks per nine innings this season.

Still, with all of this, Kyung-eun has a FIP of 3.84, which is much better than his 5.57 ERA. However, it’s still not better than Brooks.

Prediction

Kyung-eun is 50-66 with a 5.16 ERA in his career. He’s had some bad luck this season and has pitched better than his stats, but for his career, it seems about right.

Brooks is one of the more elite pitchers in the KBO and he’ll go up against a struggling Lotte offense.

Take Kia as they’re 5-0 against Lotte this season. They’ll go for another series sweep with Brooks on the mound.

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Raul Alcantara former #50 of the Oakland Athletics. Ron Jenkins/Getty Images/AFP

Doosan Bears vs. KT Wiz

Thursday, June 4, 2020 – 5:30am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • Doosan: Raul Alcantara (4-1 3.90 ERA)
  • KT: Kim Min (2-1 5.23 ERA)

Everyone expected plenty of runs in the Doosan Bears/KT Wiz game on Wednesday but runs were harder to come by until the later innings. Everyone was on the over 12.5 but the total didn’t even reach double digits. Doosan will now send Raul Alcantara to the mound for the rubber game of the three-game series against KT’s Kim Min.

Kim Min started against Doosan in his season debut and lasted just four innings after allowing seven runs on 10 hits. The funny thing is, Min left the game and got the no-decision after all was said and done.

Since that game, Min has been much better, with two wins in his last three starts where he has allowed three or fewer runs in each start. Kim Min has allowed just eight hits in 16.2 innings. It sounds great and all until you hear that Kim has walked 14 batters in those same 16.2 innings.

Kim Min is now averaging 6.5 walks per nine innings this season and has a strikeout rate of 5.2 per nine innings. Kim Min has always been a high walks guy and a low strikeout guy. Currently, his batting average of balls in play is .246.

That’s just way too good of a number and against Doosan, that will more than likely change.

Raul Alcantara will take the mound for the Doosan Bears. He’s 4-1 with a 3.90 ERA on the season. It’s been an interesting season for Alcantara. Everything you think he’s going to fold, he produces a solid outing. He’s allowed a run in every game started this season but has also gone at least six innings in four of his five starts.

Alcantara has four quality starts in five games started, even though he’s allowed at least a run in every start.

What’s interesting in this match-up is that Alcantara started his KBO career with the KT Wiz last season, where he went 11-11 with a 4.01 ERA. Will Alcantara feel comfortable on the mound in KT and want payback against his former team?

Currently, Alcantara has a 4.65 FIP which is very high. He’s been a bit unlucky with balls in play but he’s also allowing 1.2 homers per nine innings. Alcantara’s striking out more batters this year than last year and walking batters at about the same rate at 1.8 per nine innings.

Prediction

The Doosan Bears have the best offense in the KBO currently with a 118.9 wRC+ and  have produced much more on the road this season than at home. You can expect the Bears to put up enough runs for Alcantara to go to work.

Kim Min has a batting average of balls in play at .246. That won’t last against the best hitting team in the league in the Doosan Bears, especially on the road.

I like the Bears in this one.

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Eric Jokisch former #43 of the Chicago Cubs. Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images/AFP

Kiwoom Heroes vs. Hanwha Eagles

Thursday, June 4, 2020 – 5:30am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • Kiwoom: Eric Jokisch (0-0 0.90 ERA)
  • Hanwha: Kim Min-woo (2-2 2.65 ERA)

The Hanwha Eagles have now lost ten straight games and you can basically count them out of the season with 119 games left. That’s harsh but reality is, if Hanwha can’t win games with Saupold on the mound, they’re not going to win many games.

Eric Jokisch will take center stage for the Kiwoom Heroes as they look for the sweep. Jokish is 4-0 with a .90 ERA. That’s not a typo. He’s rallied for four straight wins against Samsung, LG, Lotte, and KT while allowing just three earned runs in five total starts. Jokisch is currently one of the best pitchers in the league and has now achieved a quality start in his last four starts.

Jokisch is striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings while walking just 1.5 per nine innings. He’s allowed no homers in 30 innings and has a FIP of 2.25. Last season, Jokisch had an ERA of 3.13  and a  WHIP of 1.13. He wasn’t this good, but he was very good. The question will be how much longer Jokisch can keep up this level of play.

The answer seems likely that he’ll be able to do this one more time.

Hanwha has the worst offense in the league with a  wRC+ of 75.7 on the season. Compare that to Kiwoom’s 109.2 wRC+ that continues to rise as their bats have really caught fire as of late.

Kiwoom’s bats will look to slug against Kim Min-woo who is currently 0-2 with a 3.90 ERA. It looks as though Kim Min-woo has been unlucky with no wins and a 3.90 ERA. Instead, he’s actually been very lucky. He has a FIP of 5.36 and while he’s striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings, he’s also walking 3.9 per nine innings and allowing 1.6 homers per nine innings. His strikeout rate has never been this high in his career but his walk rate has been consistent.

Prediction

Kiwoom leads the league in walks and strikeouts but lately, their bats have started to connect as they’ve been more patient at the plate. Min-woo’s batting average of balls in play is currently .211 which seems unfathomable.

In his last two seasons, he’s had an ERA over 6.50 in each of those seasons. With the way the Heroes are swinging their bats, it could be a big day for Kiwoom and a potential shorter outing for Jokisch with the lead.

Kiwoom-1.5 (-140)
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