KBO’s Preview, Predictions and Betting Odds for June 28

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Photo by Jung Yeon-je / AFP

Saturday’s KBO was all pitching. We had two no-hitters going into the 7th inning between Eric Jokisch’s attempt at a perfect game and Jung Chan-heon’s attempt at a no-hitter which was broken up in the 9th inning. Should we expect pitching to dominate Sunday too?

KT Wiz vs. Hanwha Eagles

Sunday, June 28, 2020 – 4:00am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • KT: Odrisamer Despaigne (3-4 4.50 ERA)
  • Hanwha: Chad Bell (0-4 7.67 ERA)

The KT Wiz defeated the Hanwha Eagles to tie the series at one apiece on Saturday. William Cuevas pitched a solid outing for the Wiz and KT clobbered the Hanwha Eagles late in the game to secure the victory.

KT will now pitch Odrisamer Despaigne who is 3-4 with a 4.50 ERA on the season. Despaigne is coming off a loss against the NC Dinos after allowing four turns on six hits in six innings of work. He’s 1-3 in his last four games but hasn’t allowed more than four earned runs in each of these starts.

He’s also allowed one homer in his last three starts and has walked seven batters in his last two starts. Despaigne’s season started off well but it has hit a dead end recently. However, he’ll go up against the Hanwha Eagles, an offense that is the worst in the league by far.

Despaigne is averaging 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings and walking 2.4 batters per nine innings. Strikeouts have decreased while walks have increased but from an entire season perspective, he’s been very solid (if you take out one 10 earned run start). His FIP is sitting at 4.21 which is slightly better than his 4.5 ERA and batting average of balls in play is .321, which is also a little high.

Former Chicago White Sox Odrisamer Despaigne – Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images/AFP

Despaigne hasn’t been getting run support as of late but the Wiz will take swings against Chad Bell who has a 7.67 ERA on the season through six games started. Every time Bell would pitch, we’d talk about it being a small sample size and how he was good last season.

We’ve got a solid enough sample size. Bell isn’t performing well at all. His walks are very high at 5.3 walks per nine innings and while his strikeout numbers have stayed the same compared to last season at 6.7 per nine innings. Batting average of balls in play is .352 and his FIP is a whopping 6.14.

Bell has received four straight losses after a road loss to Samsung after allowing four runs (three earned) in 5.2 innings of work. Sure, he looked better in this start, but he still hasn’t had one start where he’s limited walks to one or less.

Prediction

I like the KT Wiz in this one over the Hanwha Eagles. Lines will start being juiced so hop on as soon as you see this.

KBO Pick:

KT Wiz(-190)
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Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroes

Sunday, June 28, 2020 – 4:00am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • Kia: Aaron Brooks (3-2 2.62 ERA)
  • Kiwoom: Choi Won-tae (3-3 4.18 ERA)

Kiwoom’s Eric Jokisch had a perfect game going into the 7th inning. Preston Tucker of the Kia Tigers broke it up with a double but it was an impressive outing nonetheless for Jokisch.

That game finished 2-0 in favor of the Kiwoom Heroes with both offenses going silent in this one. The Tigers will pitch Aaron Brooks, who has been just as good as Jokisch this season.

Brooks is 3-3 with a 2.62 ERA along with a 3.02 FIP, which is lower than Jokisch. Brooks has received a no-decision in his last two starts against NC and Lotte. Against Lotte, he went seven innings and allowed just one hit and three walks while striking out six.

Brooks has now struck out 14 batters in his last two starts and looks on top of his game, allowing just three runs in his last 17.2 innings of work. Brooks faced Kiwoom in his opening day start, allowing one run in 5.2 innings. He also allowed five hits and struck out six while walking none.

Former Baltimore Oriole Aaron Brooks – Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images/AFP

On the other hand, Choi Won-tae will take the mound for Kiwoom. Won-tae picked up a win in his last start against the LG Twins, allowing two runs on nine hits in six innings. This was his second straight start allowing nine hits. He’s also allowed at least one earned run in every start this season and has allowed 11 in his last three starts.

Won-tae won’t walk many batters but he’s been allowing a homer per nine innings. Against Samsung, two starts ago, he allowed three homers and six earned runs in his worst start of the season.

Prediction

Won-tae’s ERA sits at 4.18 but his FIP is higher at 4.44. Kia was shutout in the second game of the series after scoring eight runs in the first game.

I can’t see Kia being shut out again in this one. Won-tae allows big hits in big moments and Kia’s Preston Tucker lives for those moments in the KBO.

Give me Kia.

You can also look at under in the first five but Choi Won-tae scares me as he’s been pretty bad recently.

KBO Pick:

Kia Tigers(-115)
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LG Twins vs. Sk Wyverns

Sunday, June 28, 2020 – 4:00am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • LG: Lim Chan-gyu (3-2 4.69 ERA)
  • SK: Kim Joo-han (0-2 10.80 ERA)

Just like Eric Jokisch, Jung Chan-heon had a no-hitter going in the 9th inning. Chan-heon shut down the SK Wyverns all night and helped the LG Twins win 3-0 to even the series at one.

If the SK Wyverns struggled against Chan-heon, they’ll likely struggle against Lim Chan-gyu.

Chan-gyu has already faced the SK Wyverns twice this season and has limited SK to four runs in those two starts where he’s gone six innings in each. Chan-gyu struck out seven and walked none in his first start against SK and then struck out five and walked one in his second start.

He went over 100 pitches in his last three starts and had eight strikeouts against Hanwha in his most recent outing where he got the win. He hit three batters in that start but that was the only game where he’s hit a batter. I wouldn’t look much into that.

Chan-gyu’s FIP is lower than his ERA at 4.13 and his batting average of balls in play is sitting at .333. The one thing that does scare bettors is Chan-gyu allowing the long ball. In his last three seasons, teams have averaged one homer per nine innings against him.

Reality is that SK, other than Jamie Romak, don’t have much power.

SK will pitch Kim Joo-han who has a 10.80 ERA along with a 2.60 WHIP in four games this season. He’s only started one game and has a solid outing against Kia where he allowed one earned run in four innings. He’s a relief guy and will only lose 4-5 innings at most.

While his ERA is 10.80, his FIP is  6.88, which is still brutal. He’s averaging 7.2 walks per nine innings and striking out 1.8 batters per nine innings.

Prediction

The LG Twins have many injuries in their lineup but they’re good enough to score against Joo-han.

Joo-han’s batting average of balls in play is currently .409. While that seems high and should regress, he’s had a negative WAR in every season since 2017 with SK as a reliever. He won’t fare well as a starter in this league.

KBO Pick:

LG Twins -1.5(-160)
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