KBO’s Preview, Predictions and Betting Odds for July 16th

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KBO’s Preview, Predictions and Betting Odds for July 16th
INCHEON, SOUTH KOREA - MAY 7: Banners showing faces of fans are placed in the seating area of Happy Dream Ballpark during a baseball game between SK Wyverns and Hanwha Eagles as the game played without spectators due to the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on May 7, 2020 in Incheon, South Korea. The Korean Baseball League (KBO) begin its new season under certain rules such as obligation of wearing masks and banning spectators from stadiums. Jong Hyun Kim / Anadolu Agency

We had another shocker in the KBO with the Hanwha Eagles defeating the KT Wiz in the second game of the three game series. There are plenty of rubber matches on tomorrow’s slate. Which teams have the edge to win their week-day series’?

LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants

Thursday, July 16, 2020 – 5:30 am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • LG: Jung Chan-heon (4-1 2.62 ERA)
  • Lotte: Jang Won-sam (3-5 5.44 ERA)

The LG Twins bounced back from a loss in the first game of the series and won the second game by a wide margin. The Twins are looking to get back on track after falling to the middle of the standings in the last couple of weeks.

Jung Chan-heon will take the mound for the Twins. He has pitched phenomenally as of late. He’s won four of his last five starts and has gone at least six innings in each start. He’s also put together six straight quality starts for the Twins and finished nine innings against SK in a three-hit shutout on June 27.

Chan-heon is striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings and walking just two per nine innings. His ERA is sitting at 2.62 on the season but his FIP is currently 3.52, which is still respectable.

Chan-heon has faced some lower tier teams like Samsung, SK, and Hanwha but has looked very solid in those games. The Lotte Giants would be considered a lower level team as well. On the road, Chan-heon is now 3-0 in four starts and has allowed just seven runs in those four starts totaling 27.2 innings pitched.

He’ll go up against Jang Won-sam who has been the exact opposite of Chan-heon. Won-sam has lost two of his first three starts of the season and has allowed 12 runs in three starts, totaling 15 innings.

Won-sam pitched for the LG Twins last season and had a 7.98 ERA in eight games and three starts. This season with the Giants, he’s got a 7.20 ERA in three starts already this season.

Won-sam is striking out 2.4 batters per nine innings and walking 2.4 batters per nine innings while also allowing 1.8 homers per nine innings. His FIP is currently 6.45.

Again, he’ll face his former team but I’m not so sure that favors him as he’s been throwing meatballs the last two seasons.

Prediction

I like the Twins to get the series win on the road against the Giants. The offense is starting to come together right now. Chan-heon has been a pleasant surprise for the Twins this season and should continue his solid performances, especially on the road.

LG Twins(-150)
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Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz

Thursday, July 16, 2020 – 5:30 am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • Hanwha: Kim Min-woo (2-5 4.37 ERA)
  • KT: William Cuevas (4-2 4.67 ERA)

The Hanwha Eagles surprised the KT Wiz with a solid victory in the second game of the series to force a rubber match in the three-game series. The KT Wiz will send out ace pitcher William Cuevas to get the job done.

Cuevas, since returning from injury is 3-0 in his first four starts back. Cuevas faced Hanwha on the road on June 27 where he allowed just two runs on five hits while striking out four and walking three.

In these four starts, Cuevas has been able to pitch at least six innings and has gone over 100 pitches in two of the four games. On the season, he’s striking out 6.8 batters per nine innings and walking 2.7 batters per nine innings. While his ERA is 4.67, his FIP is 4.48.

Earlier in the season, Cuevas pitched against Hanwha and also got the win after allowing four earned runs on five hits. That game was a bit of a fluke as Cuevas had a WHIP of .95 in 6.1 innings pitched in that game.

He’ll go up against Kim Min-woo who has been somewhat solid for Hanwha recently. Min-woo has won his last two starts after allowing one run in 10.1 innings pitched. In his last loss, on June 27, Min-woo lost to Cuevas and KT after allowing three runs and two earned runs in five innings pitched.

That was the only game where Min-woo faced KT on the season.

He’s sticking out 9.2 batters per nine innings and allowing 3.9 walks per nine innings along with 1.5 homers per nine innings. While his ERA is a 4.37, his FIP is 5.03.

Prediction

On June 27th, Cuevas and Min-woo faced off against each other and allowed five runs in the first five innings. Since then, Min-woo has allowed just one run in his last two starts while Cuevas is coming off a solid performance against Samsung, where he went six innings and allowed just one run.

I like this game to remain close in the first portion of the game.

KBO Pick: Hanwha/KT Under 5.5 F5 -1.5 (+102)  at BetOnline

Starting pitcher Chris Flexen former #64 of the New York Mets. Matthew Stockman/Getty Images/AFP

Doosan Bears vs. SK  Wyverns

Thursday, July 16, 2020 – 5:30 am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • Doosan: Chris Flexen (4-3 3.86 ERA)
  • SK: Baek Seung-geon (0-1 7.00 ERA)

After the SK Wyverns shocked the Doosan Bears in the opening game of the series, the Bears responded nicely with a 7-2 win in the second game of the series. The Bears will look to get the series win behind Chris Flexen, who is 4-3 with a 3.86 ERA.

Flexen is coming off a solid performance against Lotte on the road, where he allowed one earned run in seven innings on three hits while striking out six and walking one. Flexen ended a two-game losing streak where he allowed nine runs in his last two games on 16 hits.

Flexen has faced the SK Wyverns twice this season and has gone 1-0 in those two games. Combined, he allowed five runs in 12 innings while striking out 12 and walking four. However, his last start, which was on the road, against SK, was where he struck out eight and walked none and got the win.

Flexen has currently lost his last three home starts on the season and hasn’t won at home at all in the year. However, that doesn’t mean he’s pitched bad at home. He has had three quality starts in seven starts at home, which isn’t great but also not terribly bad.

He’s striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings and walking 2.9 batters per nine innings. What he’s done really well is limit the long ball. That’s helped his FIP to dip to 3.39 with his ERA sitting at 3.86.

The Wyverns will send Baek Seung-geon to the mound. The lefty is currently 0-1 with a 7 ERA in three games and one game started. Seung-geon started one game against the NC Dinos on May 17th and allowed four earned runs in three innings pitched. In that game, he allowed two homers, struck out three and walked three.

He pitched in relief against NC later in the season and allowed one run on three hits and three walks while striking out three in 3.2 innings.

Lastly, in his most recent relief outing, he faced Doosan on June 25th at home where the Bears smacked him for runs (both solo homers) and four hits in 2.1 innings. He also struck out three and walked three.

In nine innings pitched, Seung-geon walked and struck out nine batters each. Last season, in his rookie season, he pitched 15 games in relief and had a 2.33 ERA, but still walked 12 and struck out 14.

Prediction

The Bears have already seen Seung-geon in action and hit a couple of long balls against the 19-year-old prospect.

Flexon Has performed well against SK this season and has some momentum after a stellar performance against Lotte in his last time out.

I like Doosan to explode against Seung-geon who continues to walk batters at an extremely high rate since being in the KBO. He currently has an FIP of 10.37. I know Doosan’s home but they’ve hit lefties well and will go up against a young pitcher who hasn’t pitched well at all this season.

Doosan -1.5(-180)
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