KBO’s Preview, Predictions and Betting Odds for July 15th

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KBO’s Preview, Predictions and Betting Odds for July 15th
Former Baltimore Orioles pitcher Tyler Wilson - Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images/AFP

The KBO had one shocker on Tuesday’s slate with the SK Wyverns defeating the Doosan Bears by the score of 12-7. I believe there are bounce-back spots for two teams in the second game of the week-day series. I’ve written about them below as the best bets for Wednesday’s KBO slate.

LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants

Wednesday, July 15, 2020 – 5:30am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • LG: Tyler Wilson (3-5 4.48 ERA)
  • Lotte: Adrian Sampson (3-5 5.44 ERA)

The LG Twins lost their first game of the series to the Lotte Giants and have now fallen to the middle of the standings. The Twins are searching for any answers right now.

They might have one in this game. Tyler Wilson will take the mound for the Twins. He has a 3-5 record with a 4.48 ERA on the season. Wilson has now lost his last three starts after only giving up 3-4 runs per start and going at least five innings.

Wilson hasn’t been great as of late but he faced the Lotte Giants on June 12 and allowed just two runs in five innings off five hits but allowed five walks and struck out four.

Wilson threw a quality start in his most recent outing against the Doosan Bears, allowing three runs on eight hits in six innings. He only struck out two and walked one.

He has a strikeout rate of 6.3 per nine innings and is walking 2.8 batters per nine innings, which is above his career average. However, Wilson has been able to limit the long ball and has an FIP of 4.23 which is lower than his ERA.

Adrian Sampson will get the call for the Lotte Giants. Sampson is coming off a win against the Hanwha Eagles where he allowed three runs (one earned) on six hits while striking out three and walking two. Sampson hasn’t completed six innings since mid-June and hasn’t won a game coming off of a win this season. Sampson faced the LG Twins earlier this season and was rocked for six runs on 10 hits in 5.1 innings. He struck out four and walked none in that start.

Sampson is striking out 5.9 batters per nine innings and walking 2.4 batters per nine innings. His batting average of balls in play is high at .366 and his FIP is 4.48, a bit lower than his 5.44 ERA.

Still, Sampson’s last three starts have been poor. He’s allowed at least three runs in all three games and hasn’t been able to go six innings and complete a quality start.

Prediction

The Twins seem to bounce back in the second game of a series lately. They did this against Doosan and then did this against the NC Dinos, although that second game was a tie after the Twins blew the lead.

Again, the Twins should bounce back nicely against Sampson. You can look at the team total for the Twins and go over on that as well.

KBO Pick:

LG Twins-110
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NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes

Wednesday, July 15, 2020 – 5:30am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • NC: Choi Sung-young (1-1 5.16 ERA)
  • Kiwoom: Eric Jokisch (8-2 1.41 ERA)

The Kiwoom Heroes came back home and started off their series against the NC Dinos with a win, as projected.

This match-up seems like a huge pitching match-up between Eric Jokisch and Choi Sung-young.

Eric Jokisch is 8-2 with a 1.41 ERA and a 2.99 FIP on the season. Jokisch is now 3-0 in his last four starts and has allowed just three earned runs in his last 28 innings pitched.

Jokisch hasn’t faced the NC Dinos offense but if he takes any pointers from Jake Brigham, Jokisch should be pretty reliable in this one.

The “Joker” has limited hard contact as batters are hitting just .250 with balls in play this season against Jokisch. He’s striking out 6.4 batters per nine innings and walking an NPB career low 1.2 batters per nine innings.

Jokisch has become a star in the NPB and doesn’t seem to be letting up. It’ll be a challenge against the NC Dinos offense but he’s already finished 12 games this season and has looked brilliant and in tune.

The Dinos will pitch their worst pitcher in Choi Sung-young who has a 5.16 ERA in five games started (six games total) with a 7.20 FIP. Sung-young has limited balls in play to a batting average of .245 which should regress pretty soon.

This could be the game.

He’s striking out 3.9 batters per nine innings and walking 3.6 batters per nine innings while also allowing 2.1 homers per nine innings. With the way the Kiwoom bats wake up at home, this could be a quick outing for Sung-young, which would then mean we’d have to watch the NC Dinos bullpen for half of the game.

Sung-young is coming off his best outing of the season against the SK Wyverns where he got the win after completing six innings and allowing two runs on three hits while striking out four and walking four.

He faced Kiwoom out of relief in late May and allowed four hits and one run in 3.1 innings of work.

Former Chicago Cubs pitcher Eric Jokisch – Photo by Tom Lynn/Getty Images/AFP

Prediction

The Heroes are now 22-9 at home this season and continue to perform at a high level. This pitching match-up is a huge mis-match.

The NC Dinos perform well after losing games going 13-3. However, none of those games forced them to go up against Eric Jokisch.

I’d also consider Kiwoom going over on their team total of 5.5.

KBO Pick:

Kiwoom Heroes -1.5-118
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Doosan Bears vs. SK  Wyverns

Wednesday, July 15, 2020 – 5:30am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • Doosan: Raul Alcantara (8-1 3.14 ERA)
  • SK: Ricardo Pinto (4-4 4.14 ERA)

We already talked about one bounce back. Here’s another. The Doosan Bears dropped the first game of the series, at home, to the SK Wyverns. If you watched my video, which is on SBR’s YouTube Page from Monday-Friday, you’d see that I recommended SK as +160 underdogs.

SK are heavy underdogs again but there might not be value on SK this time around.

The Doosan Bears will pitch Raul Alcantara who is 8-1 with a 3.14 ERA on the season. He’s coming off a dominant performance against the LG Twins in his last start where he went seven innings, allowing two hits while striking out eight.

If I had a fantasy draft and needed to pick the first pitcher off the board, it would be Alcantara right now. He’s gone at least seven innings in his last four starts and has finished with a quality start in each one of them while striking out 27 batters in four games. He walked just one batter in those four starts.

Alcantara hasn’t faced SK this season and while SK has been much better offensively as of late, Alcantara is one pitcher that will be able to get the job done for Doosan.

In 12 starts, he’s completed 10 quality starts and has struck out eight batters per nine innings while walking just 1.4 batters per nine innings. He has an FIP of 3.64 which is very respectable in this league.

The Wyverns will send out their import pitcher in Ricardo Pinto. Pinto has been all over the map this season with plenty of inconsistency throughout the season. He’s 1-2 in his last five starts and has walked 15 batters in those five starts. Pinto’s WHIP is currently 1.68 which is awful, especially for an import pitcher.

In comparison, Alcantara has a WHIP of 1.10 on the season. Pinto is averaging 4.7 walks per nine innings while striking out just 5.3 batters per nine innings. He has an FIP of 4.61.

Prediction

Pinto’s WHIP is extremely high thanks to his high walk rate. He’s been extremely inconsistent throughout the season and hasn’t faced Doosan just yet. Doosan has one of the better lineups in the league and even though they don’t perform nearly as well at home, they’ll be forced to score with all of the free passes that Pinto gives up.

I’m riding the hot hand of Alcantara in this one.

KBO Pick:

Doosan Bears -1.5-132
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