KBO’s Preview, Predictions and Betting Odds for July 14th

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KBO’s Preview, Predictions and Betting Odds for July 14th
Dan Straily former #53 of the Baltimore Orioles. Greg Fiume/Getty Images/AFP

It’s been raining hard in South Korea lately with eight games being postponed in a span of two days. We’ll hope for a rain-less Tuesday and lots of action because this KBO slate has some intriguing value. Here are the top plays for the KBO on July 14.

LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants

Tuesday, July 14, 2020 – 5:30 am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • LG: Casey Kelly (4-3 4.86 ERA)
  • Lotte: Dan Straily (2-2 2.29 ERA)

The LG Twins and Lotte Giants were both rained out for their last two games. The Twins and Giants will pitch scheduled starters who are imports.

Dan Straily will take the mound at home against the LG Twins. The Twins have struggled against premier import pitching as of late with losses to Raul Alcantara and Drew Rucinski.

Now they’ll have to face Dan Straily who has a 2.29 ERA and a 3.04 FIP on the season. Straily is coming off a fantastic performance against the Hanwha Eagles where he went seven innings and allowed just four hits and no runs while striking out seven and walking one. It was Straily’s first win since May 10.

Straily faced the Twins earlier this season on the road. In that game, he went 7.1 innings and allowed two runs (one earned) along with two hits. He struck out seven and walked two in that start.

Straily is currently striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings and walking 2.3 batters per nine innings. He’s got one of the best FIP’s in the KBO and is performing at a high level consistently.

He’ll go up against LG’s Casey Kelly who also achieved a win in his last start. Kelly allowed nine hits and three earned runs against Doosan but also struck out seven and walked none. Kelly struggled towards the end of his start but looked phenomenal for most of it.

When Kelly faced the Lotte Giants earlier this season, he allowed four runs on 11 hits in six innings. He only struck out one batter in that start.

Kelly has now allowed multiple runs in his last five starts this season and many games have been a hit parade. Kelly, again, looked much better in his last start but faltered late.

Kelly has an ERA of 4.86 but an FIP of 4.41 and is striking out 6.9 batters per nine innings.

Prediction

In Kelly’s last three road starts this season, he’s allowed just three runs in the first five innings when combining all three games.

In Straily’s four home starts this season, he’s allowed no runs in the first five innings.

I’ll take the under in the first five in this one.

But look for the Lotte Giants to come out on top towards the end of the game.

KBO Pick: Under 4.5 First Five Innings (+112)  at BetOnline

Kiwoom Heroes’ pitcher Jake Brigham attends a training session at the Gocheok Sky Dome in Seoul. (Photo by Ed JONES / AFP)

NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes

Tuesday, July 14, 2020 – 5:30 am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • NC: Lee Jae-hak (3-4 5.59 ERA)
  • Kiwoom: Jake Brigham (0-1 5.00 ERA)

The Kiwoom Heroes were just swept by the Kia Tigers on the road. Now they’ll come back home where they’ve performed a lot better behind an import pitcher who is making his return to the hill.

Jake Brigham is back from injury and will get the start for Kiwoom on Tuesday. Brigham went 0-1 in four starts for Kiwoom before his injury sidelined him since May 22. Brigham has a 5.00 ERA on the season but last season, he finished with a 2.96 ERA and a WHIP of 1.23.

Brigham threw in a minor league game on Wednesday and allowed two runs in three innings but it was stated that his velocity was looking good.

He never made it past the 6th inning this season but he had 15 quality starts in 28 starts last season and is very capable of going deeper in games.

Brigham was averaging eight strikeouts per nine innings but he was walking four batters per nine innings, which was very unlike Brigham.

If you combine this year’s stats and last year’s stats, Brigham would have a 3.16 ERA with a 3.59 FIP and would be considered a top tier pitcher this season.

He’ll go up against Lee Jae-hak of the NC Dinos who is 0-3 in his last five starts this season. He’s allowed three or four runs in each of his last four starts and his strikeout totals aren’t very high while his walks have been high.

Jae-hak strikes out 5.9 batters per nine innings this season and is walking 3.5 batters per nine innings. He’s been tagged by the home run ball every nine innings and has an FIP of 4.99.

Prediction

Kiwoom is 21-9 at home and 14-16 on the road this season. They’ll head back home with a quality arm like Brigham back on the roster. There’s no promise that he’ll be completely back in this one but even a 75 percent Brigham will put up a better performance than Lee Jae-hak. 

I like Kiwoom’s offense. You can look at Kiwoom’s team total or look at Kiwoom to win this game.

Kiwoom Heroes(-137)
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Starting pitcher Odrisamer Despaigne former #43 of the Miami Marlins. Matthew Stockman/Getty Images/AFP

Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz

Tuesday, July 14, 2020 – 5:30am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • Hanwha: Warwick Saupold (5-6 4.16 ERA)
  • KT: Odrisamer Despaigne (5-4 4.29 ERA)

The KT Wiz have been firing on all cylinders offensively as of late. The Wiz pounced all over the Samsung Lions to win their weekend series.

Odrisamer Despaigne will take the mound for the KT Wiz, but on five days rest due to rainouts. Despaigne believes, and the stats prove, that he’s a better pitcher on four days of rest. Due to the rainouts earlier, he’ll have to perform on five days rest.

Despaigne has looked a lot better as of late. He’s 2-0 in his last three starts where he’s allowed eight runs in 19.2 innings of work. He hasn’t been excellent but he’s been solid enough for the KT offense.

In his road start against Kia, five days ago, he went 6.2 innings and allowed seven hits, three runs, and struck out six while walking none. He’s now allowed eight homers in his last eight games, which is concerning, of course.

Despaigne faced Hanwha earlier this season on June 26th and ended up winning the game even after allowing four runs on six hits, while striking out five and walking two.

Despaigne has an FIP of 4.28 which basically means he’s exactly what his ERA is; below average.

He’ll go up against Warwick Saupold who has now lost back-to-back starts to Lotte and Kia. He’s been tagged for 19 hits in 11.1 innings pitched and allowed ten runs while striking out three and walking two.

His last win came against KT where he allowed seven hits and three turns while striking out six and walking one. Saupold continues to see his pitch count rise early in starts and hasn’t finished the 7th inning since his first start in June. Saupold has allowed 75 hits in his last eight starts, meaning he’s averaging 9.4 hits per start (none nine innings… per start!)

Saupold’s FIP is 3.87 due to all of the hits he’s allowing. The fielding hasn’t helped him much throughout the season but he’s been getting hit hard with a batting average of balls in play sitting at .346.

Prediction

Saupold has been lit up so far this season but Despaigne hasn’t been too great himself after five days of rest.

Despaigne will limit hits while Saupold will limit walks. Here’s the problem though. Despaigne has allowed eight homers in eight games while Saupold is allowing just under 10 hits per start in his last eight starts where he hasn’t even gone past seven innings.

I like the over in this game but I won’t rely on Hanwha’s offense.

KT Over TT 5.5(+104)
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