KBO’s Preview, Predictions and Betting Odds for July 11th

profile
KBO’s Preview, Predictions and Betting Odds for July 11th
Photo by Jung Yeon-je / AFP

It’s been favorite frenzy in the KBO as of late which has been good for KBO bettors that have been following our picks. Are there any upsets on the slate for tomorrow? Here are the best bets for Saturday’s KBO action.

Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants

Saturday, July 11, 2020 – 5:00am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • Doosan: Yu Hui-kwan  (6-2 4.87 ERA)
  • Lotte: Park Se-woong (2-5 5.71 ERA)

The Doosan Bears jumped out to an early lead against the Lotte Giants in the first game of the series and they never looked back for an easy 10-5 victory. The Bears have been incredible offensively on the road this season and that offense might continue to produce on Saturday.

The Lotte Giants will pitch Park Se-woong who is 2-5 with a 5.71 ERA on the season. Se-woong has been better at home this season but he hasn’t been good enough. In his last two starts, he’s allowed six runs in 12 innings pitched and both games were home against SK and Samsung.

Se-woong has now allowed at least one home run in his last seven starts. In three of those starts, he allowed multiple homers. Two of those three games were also at home.

Se-woong is striking out 7.1 batters per nine innings but again, he’s allowed 1.7 homers per nine innings and has an FIP of 5.58 which is almost on par with his ERA.

He’ll go up against Yu Hui-kwan of the Doosan Bears. Hui-kwan is 6-2 with a 4.87 ERA on the season. He’s coming off a home win against Hanwha but wasn’t very good in that start. In six innings, he allowed four runs on eight hits while striking out just one and walking one.

Hui-kwan has struggled on the road this season as he’s allowed 17 runs in his last 15.1 innings on the road. In his last two road starts, he allowed Kiwoom to four runs (three earned) in five innings of work. Before that, he was tagged for six runs in 2.1 innings of work on the road against SK.

Hanwha even knocked Hui-kwan around when he was on the road where he allowed just three runs in two innings of work.

Prediction

Doosan Bears’ overs on the road are an absolute thing right now. The Bears offense has been ridiculous as of late.

The Giants offense will also produce and given the way Hui-kwan has performed on the road,

Give me the over at 11.5.

KBO Pick:

Over 11.5(-115)
Visit Site

Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz

Saturday, July 11, 2020 – 5:00am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • Samsung: Choi Chae-heung (5-2 3.08 ERA)
  • KT: So Hyeong-jun (4-5 6.65 ERA)

The KT had a field day against the Samsung Lions in the opening game of the series. The Lions struggled to score runs until late in the game. This game might be different.

The Samsung Lions will pitch Choi Chae-heung who is 5-2 with a 3.08 ERA on the season. Chase-heung has been ridiculous in the last three outings, going 2-0 while allowing one run in 17 innings pitched against Hanwha, SK, and LG. 

Chae-heung has been on and off all season. He started the season with three straight wins and looked incredible in his first four games started. Then he was beaten up in two straight starts only to get back to form and pitch brilliantly for the next three starts.

Chae-heung is a lefty pitcher who is striking out 7.1 batters per nine innings but also walking 3.8 batters per nine innings. His FIP is currently 4.81 while his ERA is 3.08.

In his last three starts, Chae-heung has struck out 15 and walked just four batters. He’s also allowed just 11 hits in those 17 innings.

He’ll go up against So Hyeong-jun who is 4-5 with a 6.65 ERA on the season. Hyeong-jun has faced the Samsung Lions twice this season and hasn’t fared well.

In a road start against Samsung, he allowed seven runs on eight hits in 4.2 innings of work. Samsung smacked two homers against it and struck out just twice in that contest.

Hyeong-jun has now lost his last four starts and has allowed 18 runs (17 earned) in his last four starts. While he has an ERA of 6.65 on the year, his FIP is sitting at 5.31. It’s still a very bad FIP but not nearly as bad as his ERA.

He’s also allowing 1.2 homers per nine innings and striking out just 4.3 batters per nine innings.

Prediction

I like Samsung to bounce back in this game. We’ve got two opposite pitchers on the mound. Chae-huang is dominating in his last three starts while Hyeong-jun has lost his last four starts.

Sometimes people like to overrate the KT Wiz. They’re an exciting team but they’re not a great team this season.

KBO Pick:

Samsung Lions+102
Visit Site
Photo by Ben Hershey

SK Wyverns vs. Hanwha Eagles

Saturday, July 11, 2020 – 5:00am EST

Probable Pitchers Per MyKBO Website:

  • SK: Park Jong-hoon (4-4 5.37 ERA)
  • Hanwha: Kim Jin-wook (0-0 0.00 ERA)

The Hanwha Eagles held on at home against the SK Wyverns and won the first game of a three game series. This is the battle between last place teams and so far the Hanwha Eagles are proving that they’re maybe a tad bit better than SK.

However, SK still has a chance at this series but will need the second of three to reach a series win.

The SK Wyverns will pitch Park Jong-hoon who has been extremely unlucky this season when pitching. He’s 4-4 with a 5.37 ERA but his FIP is currently 3.97. Jong-hoon has looked really good in his last two starts.

He faced Lotte and Samsung on the road and went 1-1 after allowing a combined four runs in 10.2 innings of work. He struck out 16 batters in that time span and walked four while allowing just nine hits. It’s taken him plenty of pitches to get through each inning as of late.

He finished six innings against Lotte in his last start and got the win on 102 pitches. He also threw 102 pitches in just 4.2 innings of work against Samsung and lost. Before that, he lasted just three innings against the Doosan Bears at home.

The reality is that Jong-hoon has pitched much better on the road throughout the entire season. He’s allowed 10 earned runs in five starts on the road. In those starts, he compiled 27.2 innings.

He’s currently striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings and walking 3.7 batters per nine innings. Jong-hoon has been one of the brighter spots for SK. He has four wins on the season which seems rare for pitchers on SK.

He’ll go up against a rookie pitcher in Kim Jin-wook. Jin-wook hasn’t pitched this season in the majors and pitched one game last season. He just went one inning with a walk and a hit by pitch in that one inning.

In 2018, he started one game and pitched in two others. He threw just 5.2 innings and allowed six hiits, four runs, three walks, and four strikeouts in that season.

Again, he’s a rookie and is just 20 years old this year. Knowing he has hit four batters in 6.2 innings is concerning. It seems like he can get pretty rattled when pitching in the KBO.

Prediction

Of course, there’s not much information on Jin-wook but he’s been very poor as a teenager in the league. I have no confidence he’ll perform even against SK and even if he does do well, he’ll likely only go five innings.

I’ll ride Jong-hoon and the Wyverns.

KBO Pick:

SK Wyverns-155
Visit Site