Juventus to Win Against Udinese for Serie A Soccer Picks

Kevin Stott

Sunday, January 25, 2015 9:31 PM GMT

Juventus again sits on top of the Serie A table and The Old Lady will look to keep or extend her lead on Sunday in Udine when they play Udinese in a match where the road favorites look like a solid pick.

Odds Overview
Udinese vs. Juventus, Sunday 14:00 (beIN sports USA/beIN SPORTS CONNECT (USA), BT Sport 1 (UK), 9 a.m. ET/6 a.m. PT): First-place Juventus (15-4-1, 44 GF-9 GAA) travels to Udine and Stadio Friuli on Sunday to face 13th-place Udinese Calcio (6-6-7, 23 GF-26 GA) in this Week 21 Serie A match in a series that The Old Lady has dominated of late. Soccer odds list visitor Juventus as -200 favorites in the Three-Way (Winner) odds marketplace (bet365) with host Udinese +500 underdogs and the Draw set at +300. The Total Goals odds are 2½ Under -125 (Over +100, BetVictor) while the Both Teams To Score prop bet (Yes) is priced at -142 (No +114, BetVictor).


Some other various prop wagers: The Winning Margin (Juventus 2 Goals) odds are a healthy +350 (BetVictor); a To Win To Nil bet (Juventus, Yes) is priced at +130 (SportingBet); the Correct Score (of Juventus 2-0) is lined at +600 (BetVictor); and, the Asian Handicap with Juventus -1 -121 (bet365) is just one of the many betting options which can be employed in this particular match.


Juventus FC
Juventus (7-2-1 Road, 17 GF-4 GA) and goalkeeper Gianluigi Buffon have allowed 4 goals on the road so far this Serie A season. Four goals. Four. And we’re in February now. And host Udinese hasn’t score a goal against il Bianconeri in the last four meetings, all Juventus wins. So, this game is basically the league leaders to lose as the robust -200 odds reveal, despite the site. Manager Massimiliano Allegri and Juventus have assembled its best roster in quite some time and rumors that midfielder Paul Pogba (6 goals) may be staying put in Turin is the best possible news for fans of this club. With captain Andrea Pirlo (2 goals), striker Carlos Tevez (13 goals), Arturo Vidal (6 goals), Fernando Llorente (4 goals), Álvaro Morata (4 goals), Stephan Lichtsteiner (3 goals) Sebastian Giovinco, Claudio Marchisio, Giorgio Chiellini and Roberto Pereyra, Juventus can get scoring from a number of different places while its opponent in this game, Udinese—which also shares the Bianconeri (Black-Whites) nickname as well as “the Zebrette” (Little Zebras)—has only really two players who have proven to be able to come through with goals. On this past Sunday, Juventus and Buffon blanked Chievo Verona in Turin, 2-0 as the sensational Pogba scored il Bianconeri’s first goal and then helped create the second (Lichtsteiner) in a machine-like 2-0 win.


Udinese Calcio
Udinese (4-3-3 Home, 16 GF-13 GA) has been fairly decent here at home in Udine at Stadio Friuli in games averaging 2.9 goals per game, but il Zebrette will really be up against it here against Juventus which has dominated the series between the two in recent seasons. Udinese head coach Andrea Stramaccioni will probably ask his players to push the pace and go for it early on against the visitors here at Stadio Friuli and hope that his side can somehow get the first score. Udinese’s two leading scorers are 37-year-old Italian striker Antonio Di Natale (8 goals) and 31-year-old French striker Cyril Théréau (7 goals) And then there is a huge dropoff in scoring with two players with 2 goals (Danilo, Bruno) and a handful with 1 goal. Juventus will look to stifle Di Natale and Théréau up top, and this match will honestly be much more important for host Udinese—for its’ collective heads and to snap the scoreless and unbeaten streaks against Juventus—than it will for The Old Lady. But the way Juventus has been playing this year in Italy’s top flight, very similar to last season, Udinese will have to expend a great deal of energy playing defense and expect the league leader to easily win the Time of Possession battle and get between 3-6 more Shots on Target than the hosts. Udinese goalkeeper Orestis Karnezis will definitely be tested by the likes of Tevez, Vidal, Llorente, Morata and Pogba and will be reminded that it ain’t easy playing one of the 10 best teams on the planet. Incoming.


Series Trends and Best Betting Approaches
Juventus has shut out Udinese in the L4 meetings (4-0-0), outscoring il Zebrette 9-0 in those four games and The Old Lady has won L5 meetings in the series (13 GF-1 GA) and is unbeaten in the L7 (15 GF-2 GA) games between the two. European giant—and still alive in the UEFA Champions League—Juventus has also dominated the lifetime series, going 55-17-11 and outscoring Udinese by 101 goals (168 GF-67 GA) in the process, while Juventus is 24-12-5 (74 GF-29 GA) against Udinese here at Stadio Friuli, so scoring goals on the road hasn’t been a big problem for Allegri’s boys here.

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The last time these two met was in Week 2 in Turin where Juventus and Buffon blanked Udinese, 2-0—the same scoreline as this fixture last season (in Round 33) here at Stadio Friuli. Udinese’s last win in this series was actually way back in the 2010/20011 season when it defeated Juventus at Juventus Stadium. Expect some more frustration here for the hosts as trying to snap a four-match scoreless streak against a team is one thing, but trying to do so against the world-class Buffon and this in-form Juventus side is completely another thing. With just 4 road goals allowed and the 4-game scoreless streak, this is a good game to look at some different props bets with another Juventus clean sheet a fairly logical outcome.

Prediction: Udinese 0 Juventus 2
Serie A Picks: Juventus -1 -121 (bet365), Juventus To Win To Nil +130 (SportingBet)