Japan vs. USA Soccer Picks: 2015 Women's World Cup Final

Nikki Adams

Sunday, July 5, 2015 12:04 PM GMT

We are pleased to share our free soccer pick for Japan vs. USA noting that this FIFA Women's World Cup matchup is a repeat of the 2011 WWC Finals, and the London 2012 Olympics Final. 

Japan Look To Finish Perfectly
From the start of the tournament, defending champions Japan have been undervalued on the World Cup odds board. They entered the competition amongst the top favorites, but they trailed significantly behind the tandem of Germany and USA and a highly fancied France. Six rounds into the competition, on the verge of their second straight World Cup final, they are one win away from pulling off a successful title defence campaign. Importantly, they reach this stage of the tournament having won all previous six games. Yet, they are the significant underdogs. Almost absurdly so.

Both Bet365 and William Hill send Japan into the finals as the whopping +400 underdogs to repeat as World Cup champions. Paddy Power, meanwhile, is even more unforgiving with +450 (5.50) soccer odds on Japan to win at the expense of USA.

Inasmuch as the soccer betting lines for this game make sense; that is, from the beginning the USA were amongst the top favorites in the competition. There are those soccer bettors that would argue Japan is being severely underrated. Surely, as holders and one of the best teams in recent memory, especially this side of the decade, they warrant slightly better soccer odds. The kind that would make them appear as if they had a reasonable shot to win.

Four years ago, Japan deposited one of the most memorable account at a world finals. Never before (well not including the inaugural world finals obviously) had a first-time finalist won the coveted trophy. Two years on, the pair met in the London Olympics, reprising their rivalry once again on the game's biggest stage. Then USA edged Japan 2-1.

Japan navigated a course through the group stage that was solid if not impressive. They didn't exactly light up the tournament but they showed their mettle and experience. Granted they were lucky in the semis when an own goal by England sealed the win in stoppage time, but take nothing away from the ladies from the land of the Rising Sun. With the win, the Nadeshiko kept their winning streak going in the world finals and enter the finals with a perfect 6-0-0.

SBR Newswire: Goal Scorer Prop Bets Added to World Cup Finals!

USA Hot Faves
The Stars and Stripes enter the World Cup Final as the firm favorites across sports betting platforms. Bet365 tip the Americans at -133 soccer odds while William Hill have the Americans trading at -125. Paddy Power, meanwhile, serve them up at 1.75.

Despite the overwhelming favoritism, USA can't take anything for granted. They've been into the final four of the last three world finals and come away empty-handed. So it's not unreasonable to suggest they mightn't come through on their favorable soccer odds.

Inasmuch as this is a grudge match for USA, having lost to Japan in the 2011 World Finals. It's also a grudge match for Japan, who succumbed to the USA in London two years ago. There's plenty of incentive and motivation on both sides of the coin to make this another memorable clash between titans in the game.

USA comes into the final having played steadily but not brilliantly. That said they did round out into form in the semis with their best win in the tournament over top-ranked Germany. That result stands them in good stead for the final. As well, they have the added day of rest over Japan.

 

Soccer Betting Verdict
Just about everybody is giving this game to the Americans and for good reason. They are riding a wave of confidence. They are enjoying home-like advantage in Canada with plenty of their supporters flocking across the border and they are the team that many soccer odds makers had in pre-tournament betting markets as one of the top faves for the coveted title. Yet, the Americans have failed to clinch the World Cup since their last triumph in 1999. If you're looking to bet on the women's World Cup Final, you could do no worse than backing the hot faves USA at -125 at William Hill.

That said, for our money we really fancy the Nadashiko at +450  at Paddy Power on our soccer picks. While few are giving them a chance in the final, they must fancy their chances against familiar foes USA.  We certainly do. And those soccer odds are just too tempting to ignore. They are the only side that goes into the finals on a winning wave.

Soccer Picks: Japan +450

The below table of contents consist of FIFA World Cup womens betting markets. These markets are categorized by name.

 

 
USA -280 -260 -250 -350 -273 -355 -250 -286 -250
Japan +230 +220 +210 +250 +228 +146 +187 +220 +188

USA vs. Japan: Total Goals Market

 
Over 2 -105 +100 +102 -120 -108 2.5 +159 -105 +100
Under 2 -115 -120 -117 -110 -112 2.5 -204 -116 -114
 

Correct Score Market: USA to win

USA Exact Score
1-0 +450 +400 +373 +400 +400 +450
2-0 +600 +550 +557 +600 +550 +600
3-0 +800 +1200 +1300 +1200 +1100 +1150
3-1 +1400 +1600 +1800 +1800 +1600 +1900
3-2 +1600 +3300 +5200 +4000 +5000 +5000
4-0 +4000 ... +3600 +3300 +2800 +2600
4-1 +3300 ... +5200 +4000 +4000 +4500
4-2 +4000 ... +10000 +6600 +12500 +12500
4-3 +6600 ... ... +20000 +40000 +40000
5-0 +2000 ... +10000 +6600 +10000 +7000
5-1 +6600 ... +10000 +8000 +12500 +12000
5-2 +8000 ...

...

+20000 +40000 +35000
6-0 +25000 ... +10000 +25000 +30000 +22500
6-1 +25000 ... ... +3000 +50000 +37500

Correct Score Market: Japan to win

Japan Exact Score
1-0 +800 +800 +373 +800 +900 +850
2-0 +2000 +2000 +2500 +2000 +2200 +2100
3-0 +1400 +6600 +9900 +5000 +8000 +6500
3-1 +4000 +5000 +10000 +4000 +6600 +5000
3-2 +5000 +6600 +10000 +5000 +8000 +8000
4-0 +15000 ... +10000 +20000 +45000 +25000
4-1 +12500 ... +10000 +15000 +35000 +20000
4-2 +15000 ... +10000 +20000 +50000 +27500
4-3 +35000 ... ... ... +50000 +40000
5-0 +50000 ... +10000 ... ... ...
5-1 +50000 ... +10000 ... ... ...
5-2 +50000 ... ... ... ... ...
6-0 +50000 ... +10000 ... ... ...
6-1 +50000 ... ... ... ... ...

Correct Score Market: Draw

Draw Exact Score
0-0 +700 +600 +536 +700 +550 +600
1-1 +550 +550 +530 +600 +550 +650
2-2 +2000 +2000 +2300 +2000 +2000 +2300
3-3 +8000 +8000 +10000 +10000 +15000 +15000
4-4 +10000 ... ... ... ... +40000

Goal Scorers

First Last Anytime
 Abby Wambach +500 +500 +200
Alex  Morgan +500 +500 +200
Sydney Leroux +600 +600 +240
Amy Rodriguez +650 +650 +260
Christen Press +650 +650 +260
Carli Lloyd +750 +750 +300
Yuki Ogimi +750 +750 +300
Homare Sawa +1000 +1000 +400
Megan Rapinoe +1000 +1000 +400
Nahomi Kawasumi +1000 +1000 +400
Shinobu Ohno +1000 +1000 +400
Yuika Sugasawa +1000 +1000 +400
Heather O'Reilly +1100 +1100 +450
Aya Miyama +1200 +1200 +500
Mana Iwabuchi +1200 +1200 +500
Mizuho Sakaguchi +1200 +1200 +500
Kelly O'Hara +1400 +1400 +600
Tobin Heath +1400 +1400 +600
Lori Chalupny +1600 +1600 +650
Morgan Brian +1600 +1600 +650
Shannon Boxx +1600 +1600 +650
Kozue Ando +2000 +2000 +850
Julie Johnston +2500 +2500 +1100
Meghan Klingenberg +2500 +2500 +1100
Whitney Engen +2500 +2500 +1100
Ali Krieger +2800 +2800 +1200
Asano Nagasato +2800 +2800 +1200
Asuna Tanaka +2800 +2800 +1200
Azusa Iwashimizu +2800 +2800 +1200
Becky Sauerbrunn +2800 +2800 +1200
Kana Kitahara +2800 +2800 +1200
Yuri Kawamura +3300 +3300 +1600
Aya Sameshima +4000 +4000 +2000
Christie Rampone +4000 +4000 +2000
Rumi Utsugi +4000 +4000 +2000
Saori Ariyoshi +4000 +4000 +2000
Megumi Kamionobe +5000 +5000 +2200
Yukari Kinga +6600 +6600 +2800
Saki Kumagai +8000 +8000 +3300
No Goalscorer +700 +700