Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry Prediction, Picks & Odds: Paul a Big Favorite Over UFC Vet
Instead of a pro boxing luminary, Jake Paul will share the ring with yet another MMA veteran on Saturday.
With a health scare keeping Mike Tyson from their original summer date, Paul now meets UFC alum Mike Perry this Saturday in Tampa, Fla., at cruiserweight, and we have you covered with our Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry prediction with odds from the best boxing betting sites.
The 27-year-old enters this matchup with wins in all but one of his 10 pro boxing bouts, most of which have come against an NBA veteran, a fellow YouTuber, and seasoned UFC alumni. In his most recent walk to the ring, Paul dispatched little-known boxer Ryan Bourland by first-round TKO this past March.
Perry, by comparison, lost his only pro boxing match by knockout back in 2015 and compiled an MMA record of 14-8 with a UFC slate of 7-8 before his bare-knuckle boxing career.
The 32-year-old has gone a perfect 5-0 as a bare-knuckle bruiser, and not unlike Paul, those victories have all come at the expense of MMA veterans, including Thiago Alves, Luke Rockhold, Michael Page, and Eddie Alvarez.
Paul vs. Perry prediction and pick
(Odds via our best sports betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
- Fight prediction: Perry moneyline (+370 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- My best bet: Perry by KO/TKO (+550 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
Paul vs. Perry fight analysis
Bear with me.
Yes, Perry has taken to hovering between welterweight and middleweight (170 and 185 pounds by MMA standards) of late and moves up to 200 pounds to face Paul on shortish notice, but I have a hunch he'll pose a variety of problems for the still-green Paul, most of which can't be quantified.
Perry is a dog in the truest sense, meaning he'll greatly differ from Paul's past conquests by getting in his face, going forehead to forehead, and swinging meathooks with near-reckless abandon. Simply put, Perry is cut from a far different cloth than the shopworn MMA vets and little-known boxers Paul has grown used to facing.
While Paul's athleticism and raw punching power are certainly worth Perry's respect, the former remains a work in progress as a pugilist, as he has yet to learn how to use his reach and leans far too much on his overhand right. Furthermore, we haven't yet seen Paul truly put on the back foot or cracked with a clean haymaker, and Perry is just the man to change that.
Should Perry make this matchup ugly and mercilessly keep Paul's back to the ropes as I suspect he will, he'll catch his man with something clean before long, with every blow landed chipping away at Paul's confidence.
In short, after 10 walks to the ring against lackluster competition, Paul is due for some brutal comeuppance, and Perry should be the one to hand it to him.
Prediction: Perry moneyline (+370 via FanDuel) | Implied probability: 21.28%
New customers only. Deposit min. $5. Place first bet of $5+ and win $150 in Bonus Bets (within 72 hours).
Paul vs. Perry best bet
With Paul boasting six stoppages in nine career victories and Perry owning three straight bare-knuckle TKOs and 11 knockouts in 14 MMA victories, there's little to suggest these two will require the full eight rounds in their cruiserweight contest.
As explained above, Perry should prove the first man to truly test Paul's chin, and even with boxing gloves, I expect Perry will pack enough of a wallop to give Paul the rudest of awakenings come fight night.
Perry entered the matchup a sizable underdog and remains one less than 48 hours from fight night. Prop lines on the UFC alum are even more interesting, as FanDuel and BetMGM both list a Perry KO/TKO at a whopping +550 as of the early hours of Friday.
Round props on Saturday's tilt are also worth your attention, with BetMGM getting the nod in terms of variety. BetMGM offers lines on the bout's Over/Under, unlike competing sportsbooks like DraftKings, and you'll find Under 5.5 Rounds at a most respectable -110.
Best bet: Perry by KO/TKO (+550 via BetMGM) | Implied probability: 15.38%
Bonus bets will expire in 7 days. One new customer offer only. Additional terms and conditions apply.
Paul vs. Perry odds
Odds via BetMGM as of Friday.
| Paul | Method of victory | Perry |
|---|---|---|
| -455 | Win outright | +300 |
| -120 | Win by KO/TKO/DQ | +550 |
| +225 | Win by unanimous decision | +1100 |
| +1200 | Draw | +1200 |
Paul vs. Perry tale of the tape
| Jake Paul | Mike Perry | |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Age | 32 |
| 6'1" | Height | 5'10" |
| 200 lbs. | Weight | 200 lbs. |
| 76" | Reach | 71" |
| 9-1 | Record | 0-1 (5-0 in bare knuckle) |
Paul vs. Perry fight info
- When: Saturday, July 20 at 9 p.m. ET (main event approx. 12 a.m. ET)
- Where: Amalie Arena, Tampa, Fla.
- How to watch: DAZN, PPV
- Favorite: Paul (-455 via BetMGM)
Paul vs. Perry pick made Friday at 12:06 a.m. ET
Here are our best boxing betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUSDYW | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA
Affiliate disclosure: Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook
Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)
