Italy vs. Argentina: Betting Rundown For This Weekend's Davis Cup Action

Andreas Seppi

Thursday, July 14, 2016 8:57 PM GMT

The Davis Cup Quarter-Finals get underway this Friday. Join us while we analyze the highest value tennis picks for this event and the reasons for you to place these valuable bets.

Italy vs. Argentina
This Davis Cup tie takes place in Pesaro and will be played on Clay.

This will be the 3rd meeting between these two countries with Argentina winning their first encounter in 1983 while Italy claimed the victory two years ago in Mar del Plata.

 

Teams
Argentina will play this tie with the following players: Federico Delbonis, Guido Pella, Juan Monaco and Juan Martin Del Potro.

On the Italian side, the captain Corrado Barazzutti called Fabio Fognini, Paolo Lorenzi, Andreas Seppi and Marco Cecchinato.

No big surprises are expected on the Italian team with Fabio Fognini and Andreas Seppi playing the singles and the doubles match. However, it’s hard to predict how the Argentinean captain, Daniel Orsanic, is going to approach this tie.

 

Friday Analysis
Federico Delbonis and Juan Monaco are scheduled to play the two rubbers this Friday, with Delbonis facing Seppi while Monaco plays against Fognini. Even though it wouldn’t be surprising to see Del Potro playing on the first day, we believe that Orsanic will spare him for Sunday.


Andreas Seppi vs. Federico Delbonis
Delbonis is a great clay court player with his heavy spin left-handed forehand yet, Seppi is known for his counter punching skills and it won’t be easy for Federico to handle Andreas’ aggressive baseline game. Despite Delbonis’ slight favoritism for this match, we believe that Seppi can emerge victorious from this contest.


Fabio Fognini vs. Juan Monaco
Even though Fognini’s inconsistency, the Italian is a completely different player on Davis Cup. Fabio won the last 10 matches on Davis Cup in Italian soil, including a triumph over Andy Murray two years ago in straight sets. Despite Monaco’s 3 – 1 lead on h2h over Fognini, it was Fabio who won their previous encounter on Davis Cup two years ago in straight sets. Due to Fognini’s terrific record on this competition, he should be too strong for Monaco.

 

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Saturday Analysis
The doubles match takes place Saturday and as we mentioned, Fognini and Seppi should play for Italy. On Argentina side, it’s not clear who will be Orsanic’s choices, but we believe that he might choose Delbonis and Monaco. However, it doesn’t matter who Orsanic chooses since Fabio and Seppi should win against any team that Argentina presents. Fabio is a world class player in doubles with a Grand Slam title on his record while Seppi also plays doubles often, with one title won this year in Dubai. Having said that, we believe that Italy will win the doubles match this Saturday.

 

Sunday Analysis
Sunday is usually the decisive day on Davis Cup ties yet, this one might be solved on Saturday, which makes the Sunday games irrelevant for the outcome of this tie.

However, let’s take a look to the possible matches on Sunday.


Fabio Fognini vs. Federico Delbonis
These two have featured some interesting battles in the past, the last one two weeks ago in Wimbledon where Fabio emerged victorious in five sets. Delbonis can create some problems to Fabio but at the end, it should be Fognini to claim the victory.


Andreas Seppi vs. Juan Martin Del Potro
We believe that Orsanic might spare Del Potro for a decisive 5th rubber where his experience and quality should be decisive. After his 3rd round loss in Wimbledon against Lucas Pouille, Del Potro said that he was exhausted and that might be the reason for Orsanic’s decision to leave Del Potro out of the first day. If Argentina takes this into a 5th rubber with Del Potro playing they have a great chance to win to book a place in the semifinals.

 

Conclusion
We believe that the key aspect on this tie is Del Potro’s physical condition. If the 2009 US Open champion is fit to play on Friday and Sunday then the team’s chances increase however, everything indicates that he won’t play this Friday. Adding to this, Fognini is a remarkable player on Davis Cup with a superb record and with the support of the crowd he can be even more dangerous.

Even if Del Potro plays, Italy should always be priced as favorite for this tie and with the possibility of Juan Martin’s absence on Friday, the value on Italy’s tennis odds is even higher. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to add Italy to your tennis picks at -123 at Pinnacle, as the best play for the Davis Cup Quarter-Finals.