Italian Serie A Soccer Pick: Palermo vs. Juventus Odds, Preview, Prediction & Picks

Kevin Stott

Thursday, March 12, 2015 2:07 PM GMT

Thursday, Mar. 12, 2015 2:07 PM GMT

Juventus will look to extend its 11-point lead atop Italy’s Serie A on Saturday when the Old Lady travels to Palermo to dance with the Pink-Blacks in Week 27 action. Is employing the Asian Handicap wise here against Palermo at Home?

Odds Overview
Palermo vs. Juventus, Saturday 17:00 (beIN SPORTS CONNECT (USA), BT Sport Extra (UK), 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT): First-place Juventus (15-4-1, 44 GF-9 GAA) travels to Palermo, Sicily and Stadio Renzo Barbera on Saturday to play 11th-place Palermo (8-11-7, 38 GF-39 GA) in a match seemingly more important to the hosts who sit just 7 points back from a UEFA Europa League qualification spot despite being winless in its L8 matches on the Road. Juventus heads in with an 11-point lead over 2nd-place AS Roma (60-51 points).

Oddsmakers have made visitors Juventus -137 favorites in the Three-Way (Winner) odds marketplace (bet365) with host Palermo +400 underdogs and the Draw set at +250. The Total Goals odds are 2½ Under -150 (Over +114, Winner) while the Both Teams To Score prop bet (Yes) is priced at -137 (No +100, William Hill).

Some other various prop wagers: Will There Be a Penalty In the Match?: Yes +333, No -500 (BetVictor);  and, some Asian Handicap lines from an Old Lady’s winning this match by a goal or more POV: Juventus -1 -142; Juventus -1.25 +185; Juventus -1.5 +220; Juventus -1.75 +300; Juventus -2 +509 (bet365).


Juventus FC
Juventus (7-5-1 Away, 20 GF-7 GA) has drawn three straight games in a row in league play on the Road, but the Old Lady and goalkeeper Gianluigi Buffon get to face a middling Palermo squad here at this spot on the schedule. Manager Massimiliano Allegri has pretty much led Juventus to the Serie A title with Spring rapidly approaching, and has an 11-point lead tucked neatly in his Versace sports coat front pocket. Leading the charge for il Zebrette—besides GK Buffon, as always—have been striker Carlos Tevez (15 goals, 7 assists; Anytime Goalscorer +120, bet365) and midfielder Paul Pogba (7 goals, 2 assists), who is reportedly learning to speak Spanish, with ‘dinero’ being the first word the young Frenchman has learned. This is hyperbole. Captain Andrea Pirlo (2 goals) is sidelined for about 20 days and will miss this tie, but the visitors have more than enough creativity and firepower to take down, and quite possibly clean sheet il Rosanero (The Pink-Blacks) in their own crib here, even without Prince Charming and his flowing Italian locks. Li bite (bite them).

Arturo Vidal (6 goals, +300), Fernando Llorente (5 goals, +175), Álvaro Morata (6 goals, +175), AC Milan-loanee Alexander Matri (+200), Roberto Pereyra (+400), Simone Pepe (+400), Claudio Marchisio (+500), Stephan Lichtsteiner (3 goals, +900) and Giorgio Chiellini (+1000), among others—including Tevez and Pogba—should give Juventus more than enough offense to work with and Palermo more than enough to handle at Stadio Renzo Barbera on Saturday. The 35-year-old Pirlo can just chill and heal some more.

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US Palermo
Palermo (7-5-1 Home, 21 GF-13 GA) has recorded just one loss to date here at Home at Stadio Renzo Barbera in Sicily—a 4-0 thrashing by upstart Lazio in Week 4—but Manager Giuseppe Iachini and the Eagles have gone winless over their L8 Serie A contests on the Road, going 0-5-3 and being outscored 16-11 in the process. Woe is thee. But this baby’s at Home, and Palermo will be wearing its famous Home Pink kits for this affair, and U.S. Città di Palermo is one of the few teams ill of professional sports who works this oh-so wonderful color into its theme colors. God bless the Italians for this, Pizza and Sophia Loren. Artists love pink.

If Palermo GK Stefano Sorrentino can somehow hold off the Juventus attack, then maybe the Pink-Blacks have a shot at the upset or maybe a Draw here. Twenty-one year-old Argentine striker Paulo Dybala (12 goals, Anytime Goalscorer +200, bet365) is Palermo’s main scoring threat, but João Silva (+400), attacking MF Franco Vázquez (7 goals, +375), MF Luca Rigoni (5 goals, +800) and Édgar Barreto (2 goals, +800) can all provide offense and it’s very important to remember that if you haven’t heard the name Palermo before and want to slight them for that or the pink-colored uniforms or simply because they’re not Juventus or another bigger name team, just remember that it’s almost Spring and the Pink-Blacks have still just lost one time and are 7-3-0 in their L10 here on their home soil on Italy’s largest island that basks calmly in the sun in the Mediterranean Sea off the coast of the Motherland. Like grapes.

In its last outing in Serie A play on Sunday, Palermo tied Cesena on the Road, 0-0 in that 8th straight winless contest away from home. No thrills were had that day.


Series Trends and Best Betting Approaches
Juventus is 30-11-10 (101 GF-50 GA) overall against Palermo in Serie A play, and the defending league champions are 11-8-6 (31 GF-19 GA) here in Sicily against Palermo in league play. The big stat/trend to pay attention to here (besides Palermo’s 1 loss at Home) is Juventus’s 5-game win streak against Palermo in which the Old Lady and GK extraordinaire Buffon have blanked the Pink-Black 5 straight times, with Juventus outscoring Palermo, 9-0 in the process. In the L8 game here at Stadio Renzo Barbera, each team has won 4 times, but with the hosts winless in their L3 Serie A fixtures and having failed to score in their L2 Games—both 0-0 Draws—combined with the 5-game Juventus win streak

and the fair soccer odds, taking the favorites to win on the Three-Way Line at -137 or laying a goal (or maybe more if you’re feeling strong) with Juventus and creating a small + (+142, bet365) is the call in this match in what could end up being a pretty boring and low-scoring affair with a minimal number of quality shots on target by both clubs. This is soccer afterall...

Final Score Prediction: Palermo 0 Juventus 2

Serie A Picks: Juventus -1 +142 at Bet365, Juventus To Win To Nil +187 at Paddy Power

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