India vs. New Zealand Betting: Kiwis a Great Price to Sink Holders

Ed Hawkins

Saturday, May 27, 2017 4:27 PM UTC

Saturday, May. 27, 2017 4:27 PM UTC

The ICC Champions Trophy – a sort of mini World Cup – begins on Thursday in England. Until then, the teams are playing warm-up matches. Join expert capper for an opportunity to make some money.

Warm-up matches are being played in orders to get prepared for the real deal. Some will be taking them seriously. Others will not.

So it is a dangerous game for sportsbooks to offer betting odds. And that means there is value to be found. One of these games is Sunday’s clash between India and New Zealand at The Oval.

India, who are the holders, are -175 with Skybet. They are as short as -204 with 10Bet, which is a truly awful price. The -175 is pretty bad as well for a game they will not need to be at 100 percent for. Why the hell would anyone bet those odds in a meaningless game?

Instead, the advice is to wager New Zealand at a very tasty +163 with Ladbrokes. Unlike their Indian counterparts, the Kiwis are not the sort of side who rest on their laurels or reckon they can turn it on when they fancy. Their ethic and sum-of-all-parts approach demands they take things seriously.

They are likely to be treating this as the tournament proper so they can start with a bang when the real action begins, slyly recognizing the need for rhythm and confidence. And they have had priceless acclimatization, unlike India who comes in cold.

The Kiwis were involved in a tri-series with Ireland and Bangladesh where they won three of their four matches.

It is arguable that we would back New Zealand at the odds even if this was a competitive match. They are consistently the most underrated of all international sides. It is purely down to not having marketable players.

But man for man Martin Guptill, top runscorer in the last World Cup, Kane Williamson, Ross Taylor, Mitch Santner, Ish Sodhi, Trent Boult and Tim Southee are a match for anyone.

In Friday’s warm-up between Australia and Sri Lanka, bonkers things were allowed to happen. Both teams were allowed to pick from 15 players in-game. Sri Lanka recovered from 152 for five to set the Aussies 319. Sri Lanka used eight bowlers.

When the rules go out of the window in such games and there is such a lackadaisical approach it would folly not to side with the whopping price team. It fills your boots stuff.

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