Impact Have Just Enough to Slip Past Weary Rapids in MLS Action

Tuesday, July 3, 2018 3:20 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 3, 2018 3:20 PM UTC

Colorado heads north of the border to face Montreal on Saturday in what will be the Rapids' third match in six days. Let's check out that game and two others on this week's MLS slate.

<p style="text-align:right"><em>Note: Complete odds not available at press time.<br />Check SBR's live <a href="" title="MLS Odds">MLS odds board</a> for updates.</em></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Soccer Betting Forum">MLS: Matchday 19 Lookahead</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Complete Game Odds">Montreal Impact vs. Colorado Rapids (Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET)</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Free MLS Picks: Impact and Under 2½</h2><p>The Rapids (4-3-9, 20 GF/28 GA) have had trouble scoring, with only Minnesota United (19) and Seattle (13) having fewer goals. And with just one win on the road (1-1-5) — coming Sunday at Vancouver in a 1-0 win (COL +296, <a href=";book=5dimes" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">5Dimes</a>) — it’s hard to expect much out of 39-year-old Tim Howard and the Rapids on Saturday against the Impact (7-0-11, 22 GF/31 GA), especially when considering Colorado will be playing their third game in the last six days in easily the most physically demanding little chunk of the season with flights from British Columbia back home to Denver and then back northeast across the border to Québec.</p><p dir="ltr">Looking at all 6 lifetime MLS meetings in this inter-conference series (COL 2-1 MTL, MTL 2-2 COL, COL 0-1 MTL, COL 4-1 MTL, MTL 3-4 COL, COL 3-2 MTL), we see that there have been 5 "overs" with an average of 4.5 goals per game, with both games in Canada going "over." But <a href="" title="MLS Odds">with 4 of the last 5 Impact home games having stayed "under"</a> (MTL 0-2 PHI, MTL 0-1 LA, MTL 1-0 HOU, MTL 3-0 OCSC, MTL 2-0 SKC) and all of those games being clean sheets for one GK, weighing in the travel and tired legs for Colorado may translate to a low-scoring 1-0 or 2-0 win by Ignacio Piatti (9 goals), Dominic Oduro and the hosts. <strong>Predicted final score:</strong> Impact 1, Rapids 0.</p><p dir="ltr"><img height="344" src="" width="624" /></p><h2 style="text-align:center"> </h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Complete Game Odds">Sporting Kansas City vs. Toronto FC (Saturday, 8:30 p.m. ET)</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Free MLS Picks: Sporting KC and Over 2½</h2><p dir="ltr">Defending MLS champion Toronto FC (4-3-9, 24 GF/30 GA) has had trouble scoring goals and winning games this campaign and the Reds, 1-0 losers to the New York Red Bulls on Sunday at home, will really be up against at Sporting Kansas City (9-5-3, 31 GF/18 GA), facing a side with just 2 home losses in its last 29 fixtures at Children’s Mercy Park. A look at the L5 meetings between these two (TOR 0-0 SKC, SKC 1-0 TOR, TOR 1-3 SKC, SKC 4-1 TOR, TOR 1-2 SKC) shows Dániel Sallói (5 goals) and SKC to be an unbeaten 4-1-0 (10 GF/3 GA) with two straight "unders" after three consecutives "overs." Get it? Got it? Good.</p><p dir="ltr">Here, expect Graham Zusi (2 goals), Felipe Gutiérrez (5 goals), Johnny Russell (5 goals) and SKC (DDWDWL) to score first and score last and keep the hometown domination going. Despite SKC still having <a href="">a rash of Injuries</a>, the visiting Reds have their own issues with Jozy Altidore out and Sebastian Giovinco (3 goals) having trouble getting into fourth gear this year with players like Víctor Vázquez (5 goals) and Jonathan Osorio (5 goals) having to assume the role of scorers from a team that got a combined 31 from Altidore (15) and Giovinco (16) last season. Father Time can be so fickle. <strong>Predicted final score:</strong> Sporting Kansas City 3, Toronto FC 1.</p><p dir="ltr"><img height="355" src="" width="624" /></p><h2 style="text-align:center"> </h2><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" title="Complete Game Odds">Houston Dynamo vs. Minnesota United FC (Saturday, 9 p.m. ET)</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Free MLS Pick: Dynamo -1 (-107)</h2><p>Minnesota United FC (4-3-8, 24 GF/29 GA) heads south to face Houston (6-3-6, 31 GF/24 GA) in a fixture between the respective 9th- and 7th-place teams in the Western Conference. With the Loons just expanding into the MLS two seasons ago, these two Western Conference clubs have only played four times (MIN 2-1 HOU, HOU 2-1 MIN, MIN 0-0 HOU, HOU 2-2 MIN) with the home side winning two straight 2-1 games after two draws. Offshore sportsbooks have made Mauro Manotas (8 goals), Alberth Elis (8 goals), Tomás Martínez (5 goals) and the Dynamo big -200 chalks (<a href=";book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bovada</a>, 3o -140) with offshores also giving bettors the opportunity to give (or take) 1 (-125, <a href=";book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bovada</a>) or 1¼ (-109, <a href=";book=Bookmaker" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bookmaker</a>) in the goal-line market.</p><p dir="ltr">With Christian Ramirez (4 goals), Kevin Molino (2 goals), Ethan Finley (2 goals) and Minnesota United a telling 1-0-7 on the road, laying the 1 and shopping for the lowest vigorish (-110, <a href=";book=Pinnacle" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Pinnacle</a>) seems like the prudent route with scoring anticipated with a posted total as high as 3¼ (-107, <a href=";book=Bookmaker" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bookmaker</a>) out there. Houston (WWLLWL) is 5-0-2 at home and with Minnesota (LDWLLL) notching just 1 win in its L6 fixtures and with no one having scored fewer goals in the MLS heading into Matchweek 19 than the Loons (19), <a href="" title="Free Sports Picks">backing the Dynamo is the pick here</a>. <strong>Predicted final score:</strong> Dynamo 3, Minnesota United 1.</p>
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