Hungarian Grand Prix a Good Opportunity for Longshot to Win

Wednesday, July 25, 2018 4:42 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 25, 2018 4:42 PM UTC

Before embarking on a month-long summer break, the Formula 1 circuit hits the Hungaroring motor race track in Mogyoród, Hungary, near Budapest. Could someone such as  Kimi Räikkönen pull off a surprise?

<p dir="ltr">Last weekend heading into Week 11, Ferrari driver Sebastian Vettel held an 8-point lead over defending champion and Mercedes-Benz driver Lewis Hamilton in the F1 World Drivers’ Championship standings. But after Vettel defeated the UK native in the British Grand Prix three weeks ago at Silverstone, Hamilton returned to favor, winning on the 31-year-old Vettel’s native German soil and earning 25 points at Hockenheimring when race-leader <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/formula-1/2018/07/22/sebastian-vettel-laments-huge-mistake-crashing-german-gp-hand/">Vettel slid off</a> a rain-soaked track in one of the slower-speed sections, and into a tire wall with 15 laps to go.</p><p dir="ltr"><img height="644" src="https://lh4.googleusercontent.com/3KN7skMLKk0ASFrTDhdZG5DVwQqmfMIbRwAbBbAjA_6HmO1EKuASeQsYks4w7L0irdsLZimIx-AtAI2q4JUmGdhOrlh0C2XxcS9rdYNqDiunVpl0SkT-n2WI_z7zs9jpXNFf_Uz5" width="546" /></p><p dir="ltr">After the accident, Vettel (171 points) apologized to Team Ferrari Principal Maurizio Arrivabene and his crew for the mistake, which enabled now 4-time German Grand Prix winner Hamilton (188 points) to win the race ahead of 2nd-place finisher and Mercedes man Valtteri Bottas (+4.535s) and 3rd-place finisher and Ferrari teammate Kimi Räikkönen (+6.732s). A Vettel victory would have put him 21 points ahead of Hamilton, who won his 4th race of the year (Azerbaijan, Spanish, French, German).</p><p dir="ltr">After 11 races, Hamilton and Vettel are followed by Räikkönen (131), Valtteri Bottas (122), Daniel Ricciardo (106) and Max Verstappen (105) in the Drivers’ Championship.</p><p dir="ltr">Mercedes (310 points) leads the Constructors’ Championship battle (4 Wins) with Ferrari (302 points) sitting 8 points back now with Red Bull Racing-TAG Heuer (211 points) in 3rd place, a seemingly distant 99 points behind the leader.</p><p dir="ltr">Practice 1 (ESPN2, 4:55 a.m. ET) and Practice 2 (ESPNU, 8:55 a.m. ET) are Friday; Practice 3 (ESPN2, 5:55 a.m. ET) and Qualifying are Saturday; and the race is early Sunday (ESPN2, 9 a.m. ET).</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr">Hungarian Grand Prix Winner Futures Odds</h2><p dir="ltr">(July 24, <a href="http://https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4588&amp;book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bovada</a>)<br />Sebastian Vettel +175<br />Lewis Hamilton +250<br />Max Verstappen +330<br />Daniel Ricciardo +450<br />Valtteri Bottas 12/1<br />Kimi Räikkönen 12/1<br />Fernando Alonso 1,000/1<br />Romain Grosjean 1,000/1<br />Nico Hulkenberg 1,000/1<br />Charles Leclerc 1,000/1<br />Kevin Magnussen 1,000/1<br />Carlos Sainz Jr. 1,000/1<br />Esteban Ocon 1,500/1<br />Sergio Pérez 1,500/1<br />Marcus Ericsson 2,000/1<br />Pierre Gasly 2,000/1<br />Brendon Hartley 3,000/1<br />Stoffel Vandoorne 3,000/1<br />Sergey Sirotkin 4,000/1<br />Lance Stroll 4,000/1</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr">F1 Drivers’ Championship Odds</h2><p dir="ltr">(July 24, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4600&amp;book=William Hill" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">William Hill</a>)<br />Lewis Hamilton 8/13<br />Sebastian Vettel 11/8<br />Valtteri Bottas 100/1<br />Kimi Räikkönen 200/1<br />Daniel Ricciardo 200/1<br />Max Verstappen 200/1<br />Fernando Alonso 2,500/1<br />Marcus Ericsson 2,500/1<br />Pierre Gasly 2,500/1<br />Romain Grosjean 2,500/1<br />Brendon Hartley 2,500/1<br />Nico Hulkenberg 2,500/1<br />Charles Leclerc 2,500/1<br />Kevin Magnussen 2,500/1<br />Esteban Ocon 2,500/1<br />Sergio Pérez 2,500/1<br />Carlos Sainz Jr. 2,500/1<br />Sergey Sirotkin 2,500/1<br />Lance Stroll 2,500/1<br />Stoffel Vandoorne 2,500/1</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr">Recent Hungarian Grand Prix Winners</h2><p dir="ltr"><img height="399" src="https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/f90vRQA9vLQpy8n8ax1AYMdGBsSBaQhRuzLgulckDw4NyeJY7CYAtrZ_FiP3QsBjhxQCxUT1bjV9EkGdOmm7X2MCMwVJ--8oa2NblzH76IKX3qOUZ91_s3u0YEUTRZ5mqBCbGvOx" width="427" /></p><h2 dir="ltr"><br />Wide-Open Race?</h2><p dir="ltr">There has only been one back-to-back winner at the Hungarian Grand Prix in the L17 races — Hamilton in 2012 and 2013 — and the defending F1 champion has the most wins here of any driver (5) and Vettel the only other active driver with multiple wins at the Hungaroring (2), winning here last year (1:16.276) with the always in-it Räikkönen less than 1 second behind (+0.908) in 2nd place with Bottas and his Mercedes way back in 3rd place (+12.462). McLaren, in all of its incarnations, has the most wins of all Constructors’ in Hungary (11).</p><p dir="ltr">Hamilton has become a bit more expensive to bet to win the Drivers’ Championship futures market with Vettel still and maybe even Bottas now in triple digits (100/1) sitting those 99 points behind Hamilton (66 career F1 wins).</p><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"https://www.youtube.com/embed/Y-cFMawKlvI", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]</p><p dir="ltr">For those who like to take a $5 shot on a big longshot, this weekend and the 2.722-mile (4.381 km) Hungaroring track may provide the best betting opportunity to really cash in, with the numbers speaking of a more wide-open race than in previous weeks where the two weekly monster chalks (Hamilton, Vettel) had track streaks going or were driving on a track in their home nation.</p><p dir="ltr">After the summer break, the <a href="https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/headlines/2017/9/2018-calendar.html">2018 F1 season schedule</a> will resume on Aug. 26 with the 2018 Belgian Grand Prix from the Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps around the town of Francorchamps in the municipality of Stavelot (ESPN2, 9:10 a.m. ET).</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>Free Hungarian Grand Prix Winner Pick:</strong> Kimi Räikkönen 12/1 (<a href="http://https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4588&amp;book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bovada</a>)</p>
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