Hull City vs. Aston Villa Soccer Picks: Tigers Attempt to Snap Negative Trend Against The Villans

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, February 10, 2015 12:30 PM GMT

Tuesday, Feb. 10, 2015 12:30 PM GMT

Can Hull City clinch a win at the expense of Aston Villa at KC Stadium? Join us as we preview this game and serve up choice soccer picks for your soccer betting thrills.

Hull City Notionally Favoured
Hull City haven't beaten Aston Villa at KC Stadium in almost a decade, going 0-1-3 in four meetings. What's more, they haven't scored against the Villans in those clashes. Add to that back-to-back losses at Villa Park in their most recent meetings (tail end of last season and the first meeting this season) and the prognosis doesn't appear to be good for the Tigers. In spite of this glaring trend, odds makers send Hull City into this game as the notional faves at +130 soccer odds. Aston Villa, by contrast, are matched as the +250 long shots and the draw is trading at +225. Do the bookies have it right?

 

Hull City Relegation Threatened
Hull City occupy 18th spot in the table with a 4-8-12 mark and 20 points. Premier League survival is hanging by a thread at the moment. Neither home form nor road form offers any consolation for the Tigers as they are 2-3-6 at home (with ten goals scored and 15 conceded) and 2-5-6 on the road (with 11 goals scored and 19 conceded).

That said, the Tigers put in one of their best performances this season at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester. The Tigers took the surprising lead on the defending champions with a first half strike from David Meyler and that burst of momentum almost propelled them towards what would have been one of the biggest upsets of the Premier League season. Tale told, the Tigers couldn't maintain the lead over Man City. Not for nothing are the Citizens the defending champions, squeaking in an equaliser at the 90+ mark of the game to snatch a share in the spoils.

It remains to be seen whether the plucky performance will prove a catalyst for a better result at home on Tuesday or whether the disappointment of letting a signature win slip through their fingers will prove a burden that will weigh them down. Clearly, bookies have taken stock of that recent performance. Why else would they match Hull City on tempting +130 soccer odds?

 

Aston Villa On The Edge
Aston Villa are in 16th place going into week 25 Premier League betting with a 5-7-12 mark and 22 points. At home, Aston Villa boast a 2-5-5 mark (eight goals scored and 15 conceded) and on the road they are 3-2-7 (with four goals scored and 17 conceded).

By the numbers, there isn't a lot difference between these two clubs, which explains the soccer betting outlook. To say the season is a disappointment so far for Aston Villa is an understatement. It's one of their worst in recent memory. Two points separate them from the drop, highlighted by a winless run in their last nine EPL matches. What's more, they are one of the worst teams in England's top flight on the road with seven defeats and just four goals scored. Most recently, they were defeated at home by league-leading Chelsea 2-1.

The historic trends though speak volumes: a 7-1-0 record since 2006 over Hull City. Put another way, the Villans simply own the Tigers and that intangible confidence could translate to a winning performance by the Villans on their trip to Kingston Communications Stadium. Certainly, it warrants serious consideration of their attractive +250 soccer odds for the win on the road.

 

Soccer Betting Verdict:
The soccer betting market on this game smacks of generosity on both sides of the coin. Given Hull City's record against Aston Villa, there's an argument in it against their favourable soccer odds. On the flip side, given Aston Villa's dominance over Hull City, there's an argument to be had about their long soccer odds being somewhat excessive. Finally, given the respective woes this season of both clubs, there's an argument against the disparity in their odds; by that we mean this soccer betting line should be closer than it is currently.

In our opinion, this game could go either way. Both sides are guilty of complacent, lacklustre football, which makes the Under 2.5 at -200 the safest soccer pick of the lot. Of course, we're not skirting the outright soccer pick. We're leading up to it. As we mentioned earlier, there's enough to recommend either side to the victory. For our money, we're backing the Tigers to snap the negative trend against Aston Villa finally. The reason for this soccer pick lies in the quality of Aston Villa. This season's side is much weaker and lighter on talent to previous season, which should level the playing field. All things being equal, Hull City should finally capitalise on home form and beat Aston Villa.

Soccer Free Picks: Hull City +130; Under 2.5 -200 at Pinnacle

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":299797, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here