How To Bet UFC Fight Night 122

Andreas Hale

Wednesday, November 22, 2017 7:31 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 22, 2017 7:31 PM UTC

Although it’s Thanksgiving weekend in the United States, the UFC still rolls on as the company heads to Shanghai, China for UFC Fight Night 122. It’s not a card stacked with recognizable names, but there certainly are a few matchups that could yield some value.

The main event finds Michael Bisping stepping in for Anderson Silva to face Kelvin Gastelum. Bisping was just seen less than a month ago getting choked out by Georges St-Pierre and coughing up the middleweight title at UFC 217. He’s stepping in for Silva three weeks later to face Gastelum, who was last seen being choked out by Chris Weidman back in July.

Although Bisping was a champion, there is a high level of disrespect coming for the oddsmakers as the Brit is a +250 underdog while Gastelum is a -300 favorite. Although Gastelum should be the favorite, this line is extremely wide to the point where there is a lot of value for you to go with Bisping. Of course, the short turnaround and the fact that Bisping didn’t face a top 5 middleweight during his championship run are reasons why he’s such a significant underdog. However, the last time he jumped in on short notice he knocked out Luke Rockhold to become the champion. To be clear, if this like was a lot closer, I wouldn’t suggest picking Bisping. But this line is begging you to take a shot on The Count. As far a technical ability, Bisping is a perfectly capable striker who is normally durable. Losing to a blown up Georges St-Pierre isn’t that bad considering that GSP will go down as one of, if not the, greatest MMA fighters of all time. Gastelum is young with improved striking and excellent wrestling. He could very well dominate Bisping if the former champion isn’t ready. But with a line that is treating Bisping like a bottom half of the rankings guy, he’s worth the shot.

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Also of interest is the UFC debut of Muslim Salikhov when he faces Alex Garcia. When it comes to dynamic striking, Salikhov is the real deal. The Kung Fu practitioner comes to the UFC with a 12-1 record and has only gone to decision once. More importantly, four of his last five victories were by a spinning kick. Garcia is an opponent who may be more than willing to exchange with him. The line is currently moving up as Salikhov is a -190 favorite while Garcia is sitting at +165. This should be a showcase fight for Salikhov so I don’t have much of a problem with the line. However, if it continues to move up, the value diminishes for an excellent striker who could fall victim to the Octagon jitters. Although I do expect there to be a finish, I’m not sold on it coming in under 1.5 rounds at -120. With over 1.5 rounds being at +100, that might be the best route to go with this fight. Either way, I fully expect Salikhov to wow audiences with a sizzling debut.

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Finally, I’m a little concerned with Bobby Nash being such a significant favorite against UFC newcomer Kenan Song. Nash is a -300 favorite even though he’s lost by knockout in back to back fights. Meanwhile, Song is a +250 underdog in his UFC debut. There isn’t a lot out there about Song to go off of but what there is shows a solid striker who should be able to hold his own against Nash. There is some value in betting the fight to go under 1.5 rounds at +110 considering both fighters have a penchant for ending fights before the final bell. I’d lean more toward the fight ending in under 1.5 rounds than Song winning. But there is certainly value in both.

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