How To Bet Jacobs vs. Sulecki: WBA Middleweight Title Eliminator

Daniel Jacobs

Andreas Hale

Tuesday, April 24, 2018 7:11 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 24, 2018 7:11 PM UTC

Boxing heads back to Brooklyn this weekend with the focus being on a WBA middleweight title eliminator between Daniel Jacobs and the unbeaten, but untested, Maciej Sulecki.

The card also features Jarrell “Big Baby” Miller looking to take another step toward the elite heavyweights in boxing when he faces Johann Duhaupas and Erickson Lubin attempts to bounce back from his first round knockout against Jermell Charlo when he squares off with Oscar Cortez.

These matchups appear to be showcase bouts for the involved parties, but are they? Could there be some betting value?

Jacobs looks to punch his ticket for a fight with the winner of what is presumed to be a fall rematch between Canelo Alvarez and Gennady Golovkin with a victory over Sulecki. But considering that Sulecki is undefeated, that should more than justify a dart throw at him being around a +1200 over at 5Dimes, right?

Maybe.

Jacobs is a favorite for good reason. Before his losing a narrow decision to Golovkin, Jacobs put together a streak of 12 straight knockouts. Victims included Sergio Mora, Peter Quillin and Caleb Truax, all former champions. His recent fight against Luis Arias was a one sided drubbing that was more about Arias’ heart keeping him in the fight than his ability. You better believe that Jacobs will look to end Sulecki’s night early. However, the line that hovers somewhere between -1400 and -1900 isn't justified considering that Sulecki is unbeaten and ranked #4 by the WBA. The problem is that Sulecki hasn’t really fought anybody worth noting. Perhaps his most recognizable name is Hugo Centeno, Jr., who he knocked out in the 10th round back in 2016. It sounds like a good victory until you look at what Jermall Charlo did to him over the weekend in under three minutes.

The other problem with Sulecki is that he’s going to probably be the smaller man by a considerable amount when the two step into the ring. Jacobs is a rather big middleweight who was absolutely gigantic when he faced Golovkin. He won’t be as big for this fight but he’ll definitely have a size advantage against Sulecki, who has recently campaigned as a junior middleweight. They may be the same height at 6’0”, but Jacobs carries a five inch reach advantage and knows how to use it. Jacobs has only won a 12-round decision once before, in his last fight against Arias. Chances are that he doesn’t want to do that again.

It’s unlikely that Jacobs won’t take Sulecki seriously considering what’s at stake. But it’s possible that Sulecki simply isn’t ready to let that ‘0’ go and turns in the performance of a lifetime in the biggest fight of his career. Again, not likely but you can definitely do worse than +1200 odds. As a matter of fact, if there’s any chance for Sulecki to pull off the upset, you’ll probably want to check on the prop bets for a decision victory. He’s not a big enough puncher to stop Jacobs.

In any other universe I’d suggest to steer clear of this fight. But those odds are downright disrespectful to Sulecki and worth a shot if you have extra change in your pocket and like the possibility of being called a genius by your friends.

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Free Boxing Pick: Sulecki (unless you can find a good KO prop bet for Jacobs)

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Best Odds: at 5Dimes (+1200)

The Miller-Duhaupas fight is another fight that is expected to shine the light on the up and coming fighter known as “Big Baby.” That is true and the reason why Miller is as high as a -2000 favorite. Duhaupas is probably best remembered for lasting 11 rounds with Deontay Wilder back in 2015. Since then, Duhaupas has gone 5-1 with his lone loss being a 6th round KO at the hands of Alexander Povetkin in 2016. But he hasn’t defeated anybody worth talking about. His 37-4 record is just impressive enough to land a fight with Miller but it’s likely that the former kick boxer finishes Duhaupas off inside the distance. Although relatively untested, Miller has an impressive streak of nine straight finishes inside of the distance and it’s fully expected that his French opponent will get that KO streak up to ten. Duhaupas can be found as high as a +1250 underdog but you’re better off laying a wager on somebody like the undefeated Sulecki than a fighter who has proven to not be able to beat the upper crust of the heavyweights. Stay away.

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Free Pick: None

The line on the Erickson Lubin vs. Oscar Cortez fight is utterly ridiculous. Lubin is a -7500 at 5Dimes with Cortez being a +3000. Sure, you can wonder if Lubin is damaged goods after being starched by Jermell Charlo in his last fight but this is the true definition of a bounce back fight for Lubin as Cortez is coming off of a TKO loss in his last fight against an opponent with a 16-6-2 record. Lubin should end this relatively early but you have to bet your life to make a dollar. Nope.

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Free Pick: None
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