Horse Racing Betting Report: 2016 Kentucky Derby Futures Analysis

David Schwab

Tuesday, April 19, 2016 6:22 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 19, 2016 6:22 PM UTC

The final field for this year’s Kentucky Derby is still taking shape, but we already know which horses are the top favorites to win.

The first Saturday in May is known as Kentucky Derby Day in the world of horse betting and plans are in place for the 142nd “Run for the Roses” at fabled Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 7.  

Following this past Saturday’s Arkansas Derby, which was the final major prep race on the 2016 Kentucky Derby Trail, BetOnline has reshuffled the deck for its 2016 Kentucky Derby futures list to win. The following is a handicapping breakdown of a few of the top contenders for sports picks.


Nyquist +280
This three-year old Kentucky-bred colt came into this year’s Grade 1 Florida Derby at Gulfstream earlier this month as a second-favorite to win against Mohaymen, but he bested the field to become the current favorite on BetOnline’s Kentucky Derby futures board. Trained by Doug O’Neill and ridden by jockey Mario Gutierrez, he first caught the attention of horse bettors with a victory in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile last October at Keeneland.


Exaggerator +600
Early money continues to push this three-year old Kentucky-bred colt up the futures list to win the Kentucky Derby. Starting with a trio of major stakes races at Santa Anita Pack as part of the Kentucky Derby prep race schedule, he finished second in the Grade 2 San Vicente Stakes in mid-February before placing third in the Grade 2 San Felipe Stakes on March 12 over a distance of 1 1/16 miles. Trained by Keith Desormeaux and ridden by Kent Desormeaux, he punched his ticket as a top Kentucky Derby favorite with a victory in the Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby on April 9 over a longer distance of 1 1/8 miles.

Mor Spirit +850
This is one of famed trainer Bob Baffert’s top hopes for a Kentucky Derby victory. Bred in Pennsylvania, this three-year old colt lost some ground as a top contender with his second-place finish in the Santa Anita Derby, but with veteran jockey Gary Stevens along for the ride, he is still a horse to watch on Derby Day. He also placed second to Danzing Candy in the San Felipe Stakes after winning the Grade 3 Robert B. Lewis Stakes at Santa Anita in his three-year old debut.

2016 Kentucky Derby Futures Odds Here

Destin +900
This three-year old Kentucky-bred colt could be destined to win the biggest stakes race in his home state following a big victory in this year’s Grade 2 Tampa Bay Derby at Tampa Bay Downs om March 12 over a distance of 1 1/16 miles. Trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by Javier Castellano, he also won the Grade 3 Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay after finishing out of the money in fourth place early in the year at Fair Grounds in the Grade 3 LeComte Stakes.


Brody’s Cause +1000
As a highly touted juvenile, this Kentucky-bred colt first burst onto the scene with a victory in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Futurity at Keeneland in early October. Later that month, he place third behind Nyquist and Swipe in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile at that same track. With trainer Dale Romans in his corner and jockey Luis Saez along for the ride, he placed himself firmly in the spotlight for the Kentucky Derby with his recent victory in the Grade 1 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland over a distance of 1 1/8 miles.


The Best of the Rest
BetOnline’s futures betting odds for Creator are also set at +1000 followed by Mohaymen and Gun Runner at +1100. A duo of three-year olds at +1200 betting odds are My Man Sam and Outwork and coming in at +1400 to win is Suddenbreakingnews.

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