Horse Racing: 2017 Preakness Stakes Preview

Preakness Favorite Always Dreaming Horse

Friday, May 19, 2017 4:19 PM GMT

The Preakness Stakes—the second leg of the Horse Racing’s Triple Crown—will run this Saturday afternoon with heavy-favorite Always Dreaming looking to win here to have a shot of becoming the next Triple Crown winner. Let’s look at all the numbers and information and then offer up a creative angle and some picks in a 10-horse race Preakness Stakes.

 

Saturday, May 20, 2017

Pimlico Race Track, Baltimore, Maryland

Distance: 1 3/16 miles (9.5 furlongs)

Track: Left-handed

Turf: Dirt

Race Post Time: 6:45 p.m. ET

Preakness Stakes Race Number: 13

Preakness Stakes Purse: $1,500,000

Track Record: Secretariat, 1973 (1:53.00)

Partly Cloudy, high 70° with E Winds 5-10 mph.

The favorite has won 72 of the 141 runnings of the Preakness Stakes.

 

Luckiest Horse Wins Kentucky Derby, Fastest Wins Preakness, Best Wins Belmont?

The 142nd Preakness Stakes (G1) will take place from historic Pimlico Race Track in Baltimore, Maryland on Saturday afternoon with Kentucky Derby-winner Always Dreaming (below) attempting to win the 1-and-3/16ths-mile-second leg of Horse Racing’s Triple Crown. Two years ago, American Pharoah gave us our first Triple Crown winner in 37 years and oddsmakers at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook have a prop bet on Always Dreaming to win the Triple Crown this Spring with the “Yes” priced at +400 and the “No.” at -500. So Pimlico’s $1.5 million 10-horse Preakness Stakes result could end this market if any horse other than the Todd Pletcher-trained colt ends up winning. 

Here are the post positions and morning line odds for the Preakness Stakes after Wednesday’s draw:

 

2017 Preakness Field Post Positions, (Jockeys) and Morning Line Odds

1—Multiplier (Joel Rosario ) +3000

2—Cloud Computing (Javier Castellano) +1200

3—Hence (Florent Geroux) +2000

4—Always Dreaming (John Velasquez) -125

5—Classic Empire (Julien Leparoux) +300

6—Gunnevera (Mike Smith) +1500

7—Term Of Art (Jose Ortiz) +3000

8—Senior Investment (Channing Hill) +3000

9—Lookin At Lee (Corey Lanerie) +1000

10—Conquest Mo Money (Jorge Carreno) +1500

 

Thoughts on Betting Such a Chalky Favorite in a Milktoast 10-Horse Field

You just gotta go for it here, as usual. The thick -125 opening morning line odds for Always Dreaming means another chalk could have the Black-Eyed Susans put around his neck Saturday afternoon with second-odds favorite Classic Empire (+300) seeming like semi-competition for the speedy brown 3-year-old. Another thoroughbred who looked pretty good in the Louisville slop was Lookin At Lee (+1000), with the Steve Asmussen-trained horse being ridden to a second-place finish by jockey Corey Lanerie while trying to chase down Always Dreaming. Maybe a drier track and a little easier trip means Lookin At Lee wins on Saturday with Always Dreaming trying to run him down this time? At +1000 it seems worth a shot in a pool which will be chock full o’ novice chalk money.

This Preakness seems like it will evolve into a four- or five-horse race down the stretch with the favorites potentially separating themselves from an average field with many of the best 3-year-olds—many who raced in the Kentucky Derby—are being chosen to sit out by their Owners and Trainers for future races like possibly the aforementioned Belmont Stakes or the Breeders’ Cup Classic in November at Del Mar.

Either starting with No. 4 Always Dreaming and wheeling off him or taking a chance on a horse like the No. 9, Lookin At Lee (below) seems a little more entertaining and possibly more profitable with all of the perceived value on Always Dreaming snapped in a race in which he’ll be overbet could definitely lose. Expect Classic Empire—who had much longer trips at Churchill Downs than Always Dreaming (9 lengths) and Looking At Lee (11 lengths)—to also be in the thick of it here.

 

Winner Pick: Lookin At Lee +1000 at William HillTrifecta Pick: Lookin At Lee-Always Dreaming-Classic Empire (9-4-5)Superfecta Pick: 9-4-5-6