Home Crowd, Field Advantage & Dempsey: USA Weapons to Beat Jamaica

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, July 21, 2015 1:39 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 21, 2015 1:39 PM UTC

We've reached the last four in the Gold Cup, meaning the Americans are just two wins away from defending their title. Will they scoot past Jamaica as the soccer odds-on favorites on Wednesday?

Odds Overview
USA checks in at just over -200 to secure the win after 90 minutes, with Jamaica available for backing at a whopping +780 and a draw listed at near +350. 

If we delve deeper into the soccer odds, however, we see just how big of a favorite the Americans are. They're quoted at -550 to advance when including both extratime and a possible shootout, while the Jamaicans are at -400 to move on to the title match with the winner of Mexico/Panama. 

As far as goals go, the O/U is at 2.5 goals and right now the UNDER is getting more love at -145, with the OVER at +130.


So far so good for the USA. The Americans entered the Gold Cup as one of the top choices to win it all (and repeat as champs), and thus far they've taken care of business in style, failing to win just one of their matches in the competition. They went unbeaten in group play with two wins and a draw (against Panama) and then had no trouble with Cuba in the quarterfinals.

It was truly a David vs. Goliath situation between the Americans and the Cubans, as the underdogs had no way of stopping Clint Dempsey and company from controlling the game from start to finish. Dempsey scored a hat trick, while Gyasi Zardes, Aron Johannsson and Omar Gonzalez all scored as well in an emphatic 6-0 triumph.

Dempsey has been a man possessed in the Gold Cup so far, scoring six goals in four matches, and he should be an instrumental part of a lot of USA's attacking moves again on Wednesday.


Also undefeated so far in the 2015 edition of the Gold Cup, Jamaica has to be feeling good about its chances of scoring an upset. The Jamaicans opened with a hard-fought 2-2 draw against a good Costa Rica outfit, and since that deadlock they've reeled off three consecutive victories.

After beating both Canada and El Salvador 1-0 to advance into the knockout round, Jamaica did just enough in a 1-0 quarterfinal victory over Haiti. Giles Barnes scored early in the seventh minute and from there the Jamaicans were able to hold on for the win. Haiti had more possession and generated a lot more scoring chances, but it was Jamaica that advanced.

It's an experienced bunch that the Jamaicans have been sending out on the pitch, and they're going to get up for this challenge. We're just not sure they have the necessary quality to hang on for the entire 90+ minutes.


Gold Cup Pick
The winner of this clash will meet up with the victor in the Mexico/Panama battle, with the Mexicans entering that one as the favorites on the soccer odds board.

Who will earn the right to compete in the final? We're backing the USA in this spot, as we just don't see Jamaica having the necessary firepower to worry the favorites all that much. We've been impressed with the Jamaicans' discipline in the back, but Dempsey is in excellent form, as are a number of other of Klinsmann's men, and they should be able to find the back of the net at least once.

Of course, you can't forget about the clear home-field advantage that the Americans have possessed throughout the competition. They'll have the crowd on their side inside the Georgia Dome and that should provide a nice boost to a team that's been improving as the Gold Cup goes on. With our soccer picks, we're on the USA to win and advance to the final.

Soccer Pick: USA 2 Jamaica 0

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