Home Cooking Will Serve Teams Well in MLS Matchweek 31 Action

Tuesday, October 2, 2018 6:07 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2018 6:07 PM UTC

Major League Soccer's regular season is winding down, but there's still time to cash some tickets. Let's look at three bet-worthy Matchweek 31 fixtures from Saturday to Monday and find winning wagers.

<p dir="ltr" style="text-align:right"><strong><em>Kevin's MLS Record Last Week: 1-2-0 ATS<br />August-September Record: 14-19-3 ATS (W-L-P)</em></strong></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/soccer-betting/" title="Soccer Betting Forum">MLS: Matchweek 31 Lookahead</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/major-league-soccer/philadelphia-union-vs-minnesota-united-fc-3411444/odds/" title="Game Odds">Minnesota United (11-3-16) at Philadelphia Union (14-5-12)</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Free MLS Pick: Union -175</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href="http://https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4515&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a></h2><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3411444, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,180,1275,238,999996], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p dir="ltr">Fear always seems to be the best motivator and Fabrice-Jean Picault (8 goals) and the Union should be scared, sitting in 5th place (47 points) after 31 games played, and looking toward the postseason if it can just survive this last patch of regular-season games with both Montréal and DC United looking up at 12-loss Philly and trying to ruin what has been a season of evolution for head coach Jim Curtin and his squad. And with Minnesota United (45 GF/58 GA) in town this weekend, a win and all 3 points would keep some distance between the Impact, Black-and-Red and the Union.</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">These two have only played one time, on Sept. 9, 2017 (MIN 1-1 PHI)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">Only 5 goals scored L3 UNION (CLB 0-0 PHI, HOU 3-0 PHI , PHI 2-0 SKC)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">There’ve been 3 goals or less scored L4 UNION (0-3-2-1), averaging 1.75 gpg</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">GK Andre Blake and Philadelphia (WDLWWD) should stifle Minnesota United FC (LLLDWW) in this particular spot, with the Loons playing their first match ever in Pennsylvania and against a team hungry to lock in a postseason berth. <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/major-league-soccer/" title="Live MLS Odds">Those wanting to gamble and lay a goal</a> can find the Union at (-1) -110 at <a href="http://https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4515&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a>. The total can be found offshore in a 2½ to 3 range.</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>PREDICTED FINAL SCORE:</strong> Union 2, Minnesota United FC 0</p><p dir="ltr"><img height="59" src="https://lh5.googleusercontent.com/kqe3HRtQRhMYWTg2cltp_5kh-jZ7A36NkqYg_ao3TeH8hlifqzDQ3988a7NlhRUijtKKvNrxSEpUgzku3uORPSGMZXTu1E0D7aqYPYvI6-zR1tmM8H-oY37Fn3fbSdif0NdGjTL5" width="624" /></p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/major-league-soccer/dc-united-vs-chicago-fire-3411443/odds/" title="Game Odds">Chicago Fire (8-7-16) at DC United (10-8-11)</a></h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (ESPN)</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Free MLS Picks: DC United -182, Over 2½ -189</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Best Lines Offered: <a href="http://https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4515&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a>, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4519&amp;book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bovada</a></h2><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3411443, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,180,1275,238,999996], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p dir="ltr">Fighting for a playoff spot with the sands in the hourglass quickly dropping on the season, DC United (38 points) has some extra pump in its rump, sitting in 7th place, 2 points behind the 6th-place Impact (40 points), but with 2 precious games in hand as the season enters its last stretch. And after a convincing 5-0 romp over the Impact in Week 30, DP Wayne Rooney (2 goals vs MTL) and DCU (53 GF/48 GA) have the wind at their backs now.</p><p dir="ltr">Looking at the L5 meetings in this Eastern Conference series (CHI 3-0 DCU, DCU 0-1 CHI, CHI 2-2 DCU, DCU 6-2 CHI, CHI 1-1 DCU), we see the home team just 2-2-1 with the Fire also 2-2-1, although both teams have scored 9 goals over that span with 3 "overs" in the L4 meetings — but a year back when many sportsbooks still hung 2½ totals in MLS games (CHI-DCU totals: 2½o -189, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4522&amp;book=Intertops" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Intertops</a>; 3o -125 <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4519&amp;book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bovada</a>; 3¼u -129, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4515&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a>).</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">DC UNITED went an unbeaten 3-2-0 in September (14 GF/6 GA)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">L4 games at DC UNITED have had at least 3 goals (5-6-3-4), averaged 4.50 gpg</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">DC UNITED 15-6-11 (56 GF/47 GA) lifetime at home vs. FIRE</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">FIRE are 2-4-9 on road, DCU are 9-2-2 at home</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">With Nemanja Nikolic (15 goals) and Aleksandar Katai (12 goals) and nothing to lose — and coming off a 3-1 upset of LAFC in Week 30 — <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/" title="Free Sports Picks">expect the visitors to get a goal here</a> but getting all 3 points here matters way too much to head coach Ben Olsen and the Black-and-Red, who have gradually improved, have their new stadium finally finished and its best roster in awhile. And knowing it has played just 29 matches while others have played 31 and even 32 is like a Christmas present for DC if it can only capitalize — see what I did there? — on those 2 games.</p><p dir="ltr">For those interested in laying a goal with Darren Mattocks (10 goals), Luciano Acosta (9 goals), Luciano Acosta (9 goals) and host DCU, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4515&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline.ag</a> and <a href="http://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4679&amp;book=Sports Betting" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Sportsbetting.ag</a> had the best price at press time at (-1) -112.</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>PREDICTED FINAL SCORE:</strong> DC United 3, Fire 1</p><p dir="ltr"> </p><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Houston Dynamo (9-8-13) at Seattle Sounders (14-5-11)</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Monday, 10:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+)</h2><h2 dir="ltr" style="text-align:center">Free MLS Pick: Sounders ML</h2><p dir="ltr">The numbers haven’t been posted for this match, but when they are, backing the motivated and still red-hot Sounders is the logical play with site and momentum edges. A look at the L5 meetings (SEA 3-0 HOU, HOU 0-2 SEA, SEA 1-0 HOU, HOU 2-1 SEA, SEA 0-0 HOU) shows the Dynamo scoreless in at least the last 270+ minutes of play in this Western Conference series and with Nicolás Lodeiro (9 goals, 2 goals vs COL) and the hosts and two-time defending conference champion Sounders (WWWWWLL) needing the win and all 3 points in this late-season spot in the Emerald City and having never lost to this team at this site — expect a very high line (near -200) — backing Seattle, which saw legend Clint Dempsey retire this season, is a no-brainer.</p><ul> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">SOUNDERS 7-3-0 all-time vs. DYNAMO at HOME (14 GF/2 GA)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">SOUNDERS 8-7-5 all-time vs. DYNAMO (24 GF/17 GA)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">SOUNDERS 5-4-1 L10 meetings (13 GF/5 GA)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">Three of L8 meetings have been 1-1 draws (2015-2016)</p> </li> <li dir="ltr"> <p dir="ltr">L3 meetings SEA clean sheets (6-0), 4 of L5 meetings involved clean sheets</p> </li></ul><p dir="ltr">Will Bruin (4 goals), Raúl Ruidíaz (2 goals vs. COL) and Seattle (47 points) have gone an impressive 11-2-2 in its last 15 games to climb to 5th place in the West and seemingly make this kind of impressive fall run every year. So, is there a Sounders <a href="https://sports.intertops.eu/en/Bets/Competition/858">futures bet</a> in your immediate future (16/1, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4522&amp;book=Intertops" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Intertops</a>), Thumbelina?</p><p dir="ltr">[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Always the best way to end &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/SoundersMatchday?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#SoundersMatchday&lt;/a&gt;! 🔥 &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/aAxz7lnLNT\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/aAxz7lnLNT&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Seattle Sounders FC (@SoundersFC) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/SoundersFC/status/1046259342142578688?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;September 30, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p dir="ltr">But Stefan Frei (clean sheet vs. COL), Kim Kee-hee and Seattle are still only holding a scary and slim 1 point lead over 6th-place Real Salt Lake (46 points) and sit just 2 points ahead of the 7th-place LA Galaxy (44 points) heading into play this week. The good news for head coach Brian Schmetzer and the Sounders? They’ve only played 30 matches compared to 31 for Los Galacticos and the Claret and Cobalt. Look for a Sounders clean sheet here.</p><p dir="ltr"><strong>PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: </strong>Sounders 3, Dynamo 0</p>
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