Great Betting Value Found in Saturday's UFC Fight Night 72’s Thin Card

Jason Lake

Friday, July 17, 2015 2:18 PM UTC

Friday, Jul. 17, 2015 2:18 PM UTC

Glasgow knows a thing or two about fighting. This Saturday night, they get to watch Michael Bisping and Thales Leites go at it with almost zero difference in their UFC odds.

The UFC was made for Scotland. This Saturday (1:00 p.m. ET) at the SEE Hydro in Glasgow, the UFC finally makes its debut on Scots soil with Fight Night 72, featuring a compelling Middleweight main event between Thales Leites and UK darling Michael Bisping. How compelling? The UFC odds are dead even between the two at several of our sportsbooks, with some favoring Bisping by a whisker and a few others preferring Leites.

It's a pretty thin card after that – this is the UFC's fourth event in eight days. But we should also take a close look at welterweight prospect Leon Edwards, who has a relatively easy matchup on the main card against Pawel Pawlak. Edwards is a –300 favorite as we go to press. Let's dial up both of these fights. Heed! Pants! Now~!


S-S-S-Saturday Night
First, a nod to Frank Mir, who absolutely rocked Todd Duffee (–185) this past Wednesday at Fight Night 71. That's the kind of bet we don't mind losing here at the ranch. Bisping will take a similar role on Saturday; he's on the downside of his career at 36 years old, while Leites (age 33) is in his second stint with the UFC and trying to get back in Dana White's good graces after an embarrassing loss to Anderson Silva (–491) back in 2009.

Bisping still has plenty in the tank, though. He's been trading wins and losses for a while, most recently earning a unanimous decision over C.B. Dolloway (+144) at UFC 186 in April. Leites has won all five of his UFC matches since making his return, but this was against subpar opposition. Although Leites has a six-inch reach advantage in this matchup, we like Bisping's superior defense and all-around bad-assery to earn the victory.

Free UFC Pick: Take Bisping –104 at Marathon


Jamaican Funk
Which brings us to Edwards. The Jamaican-born Brit has split his two matches in the Octagon since winning the BAMMA Welterweight title in 2014, losing to Claudio Silva (+195) by a somewhat dubious split decision and knocking out Seth Baczynski (+105) in just eight seconds this past April. Boom goes the dynamite. Edwards is just oozing with potential and has every chance of becoming a serious contender in the next couple of years.

Pawlak is also 1-1 in UFC action, losing to Peter Sobotta (+122) and beating Sheldon Westcott (–250) in a pair of decisions. The Polish kick-boxer racked up a 10-0 record on the indie circuit before making his Octagon debut; he's got some good striking and ground-and-pound, but Pawlak is rawer than raw, and he's not in Baczynski's league at this point. For our UFC pick, we'll take the more proven commodity of the two, and may the Octagon be with you.

Free UFC Pick: Take Edwards –275 at William Hill

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