Grab Tough to Beat at Home Bayern Leverkusen vs. AS Roma as our UCL Soccer Pick

Nikki Adams

Monday, October 19, 2015 8:12 PM GMT

Bayer Leverkusen welcome AS Roma for match day 3 of Champions League. Will the Bundesliga hopefuls come through as the home faves? We preview this matchup and serve up our soccer pick.

Bayer Leverkusen Home Faves Over AS Roma
Odds makers send Bayer Leverkusen into their clash with AS Roma as the home faves, albeit nominally so at -105 soccer odds at bet365. AS Roma, meanwhile, are trading as the +300 long shots on the road and the draw is on tenders of +280 or thereabouts depending on your sportsbook of choice.

As it is, Bayer Leverkusen are second in Group E behind a 1-0-1 mark and 3 points. Barcelona lead Group E, but they are only a point ahead of Bayer, which sets up a rather intriguing battle for top spot in this section this week. Barcelona take on BATE Borisov on the same day. AS Roma are a disappointment on the European front going winless in two rounds. They boast a 0-1-1 record and a point, which puts them in Group E’s cellar.

Nevertheless, there is everything to play for yet in this tightly packed section, and with four games left before the knockout matchups take shape there’s lots of time for each and every team to potentially turnaround their fortunes. Roma would likely leapfrog into second place with a win over Bayer while Bayer would, most likely, hold on to second place with a win over AS Roma. (The overwhelming consensus is Barcelona will maintain top spot with a win over the Belarusian upstarts.

Bayer opened their campaign with a 4-1 battering of BATE before succumbing to a 2-1 loss to Barcelona on match day 2 at Camp Nou. Since the setback to the Catalan giants, the Bundesliga side has lost some of their momentum across competitions. They slip down to seventh in Bundesliga table this weekend following successive draws in domestic action – a 1-1 draw with Augsburg and a scoreless draw to Hamburger SV.

The Italians opened their campaign with an encouraging 1-1 draw at home to group faves Barcelona, but lost the plot with a 3-2 loss against BATE Borisov in Belarus. That road loss has to weigh heavily on the Italians. What’s more, it puts a lot of weight on the outcome of this game. A loss would potentially count them out of the knockouts.

Domestically, Roma are enjoying their customary position – they are second in the table with a 5-2-1 mark and 17 points, trailing a point behind Fiorentina. For years, Juve have dominated the Serie A table but now, when the Turin heavyweights are struggling in Italy, Roma still can’t capitalise. In any event, they are enjoying a three-game winning streak at home, which includes outscoring opponents 12-4.

UCL Group F Betting Preview

Soccer Betting Verdict
By all accounts, this is going to be a thrilling showdown between two sides desperate to keep their European hopes alive. Roma may be more desperate than Bayer right now, which makes them a tempting soccer pick at +300 to win outright. However, a point would keep their hopes alive too, prompting some consideration towards the draw at +280 for our soccer picks. If either of these options attract you, perhaps hedge your bets with Roma to win or draw at -118 on your soccer picks.

For our money, we’re taking nothing away from the hosts, whose European fortunes send them into this game with a measure of optimism. Their five goals in the competition is group-leading. What’s more, they’ve only suffered one loss at home this season and two in their last 17 home fixtures across all competitions. Bayer will be tough to beat at home, which makes them a solid soccer pick at -105 to win outright.

UCLSoccer Pick: Bayer Leverkusen -105 at Bet365

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