Golf Odds: Challenging Carnoustie Welcomes 147th British Open

Monday, July 16, 2018 5:50 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 16, 2018 5:50 PM UTC

Expect the unexpected this week at the British Open because of the weather and the difficulty of the 2018 host course, Carnoustie in Scotland.

<p>We already know that we will not see the calendar year Grand Slam on the PGA/European Tour this year because Patrick Reed won the Masters in April and Brooks Koepka repeated at the U.S. Open last month. That’s five straight majors won by Americans, by the way. While I highly doubt we will ever see a player complete the calendar year grand slam, going forward the last of the four majors will be the British Open.</p><p>The 2018 British Open is the last where it’s the third of the four majors played each year because the PGA Championship is moving from August to May in 2019. What makes the Open Championship, as they call it across the pond, this writer’s favorite major is the fact you can watch live championship golf at 6 a.m. and the weather is so crazy in the United Kingdom that you never know what to expect. Plus, there’s the whole links golf factor, which is the way the sport should be played and not like on those cookie-cutter courses across the USA.</p><p>Carnoustie Golf Links on Scotland’s East Coast is the host this year and it’s a par 71 measuring 7,402 yards. It’s apparently not going to play anywhere near that long because it has been a very dry summer in Scotland and the course has been essentially baked. Guys over there in practice were hitting 400-yard-plus drives because the fairways are so hard. While that helps with distance, it also makes it nearly impossible to judge where balls will come to rest. “Car-Nasty” indeed.</p><p>Tiger Woods this week called Carnoustie the toughest course in the British Open rotation, and as proof of that look to 1999. That was the year France’s Jean van de Velde had perhaps the biggest choke job in individual sports history. He was dominating that year’s Open Championship and only needed a double bogey on 18 Sunday to win the Claret Jug. It was truly painful to watch him butcher the hole and finish with a triple.</p><p>Paul Lawrie, 10 shots down to start his final round, would win in a playoff over van de Velde and Justin Leonard. Van de Velde never would win a major. FYI: a playoff at the Open Championship is four-hole aggregate. Lawrie, van de Velde and Leonard all finished regulation at 6 over in 1999 as the weather was brutal. Carnoustie last hosted in 2007 in Padraig Harrington won at 7 under, beating Sergio Garcia in a playoff. It's much more likely the winning score is closer to 7 under this year than 6 over. </p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Tomorrow it all begins. This is the one. This is The Open 🏌️&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Ticket available here ➡️ &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt; ⛳️ &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— The Open (@TheOpen) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;July 14, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2>Spieth Repeat?</h2><p>The last repeat winner of the British Open was Tiger in 2005-06, and Jordan Spieth will look to join that club. He’s <a href=";book=5dimes" rel="nofollow">+2050 at 5Dimes to win.</a> Spieth had a memorable final-round duel with Matt Kuchar last year at Royal Birkdale, with Spieth finishing at 12 under to win by three. He has not won anywhere since and is having a very disappointing year. Spieth’s last Top 25 was the Masters; he has missed three cuts since then. This will be his first look at Carnoustie as he was just a pup back in 2007.</p><p>World No. 1 Dustin Johnson is the +1150 favorite to win his first Claret Jug. DJ has eight Top 10s in 12 starts this year, including a win in Memphis. DJ’s best British Open finish was runner-up in 2011. He was T54 last year and didn’t play Carnoustie in 2007.</p><p>No Englishman has won the Open Championship since 1992 (Nick Faldo), with Justin Rose (+1475) and Tommy Fleetwood (+2000) given the best chance to end that drought. Rose was ninth last week at the Scottish Open. Fleetwood is going to win a major sooner rather than later and actually holds the Carnoustie course record of 63 set in a Euro Tour event last year. Rory McIlroy (+1550) has finished Top 5 in the past three British Opens, including a win in 2014.</p><p>Tiger plays this tournament for the first time in three years and is <a href=";book=5dimes" rel="nofollow">+3000 to win his fourth Claret Jug</a>. Tiger finished T12 at Carnoustie 11 years ago. Phil Mickelson is +4500 to win the tournament for a second time. Rickie Fowler is priced at +1525 at 5Dimes to take his first major title.</p><p> </p><h2>The Picks</h2><p>Back McIlroy (<a href=";book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow">+130 at Bovada</a>) and 2015 winner Zach Johnson (+475) for Top 10s. We aren’t going to pick an individual winner this week. Instead, we recommend the<a href=";book=5dimes" rel="nofollow"> 5Dimes prop of Johnson, McIlroy and Rose</a> at +429 against the field (-557).</p><p> </p><h2>Tee Times</h2><p>Full list of tee times for Rounds 1 and 2 (all times ET):</p><p>1:35AM/6:36AM: Sandy Lyle, Martin Kaymer, Andy Sulliva</p><p>1:46AM/6:47AM: Erik Van Rooyen, Brady Schnell, Matthew Southgate</p><p>1:57AM/6:58AM: Danny Willett, Emiliano Grillo, Luke List</p><p>2:08AM/7:09AM: Mark Calcavecchia, Danthai Boonma, Shaun Nooris</p><p>2:19AM/7:20AM: Kevin Chappell, Oliver Wilson, Eddie Pepperell</p><p>2:30AM/7:31AM: Ross Fisher, Paul Dunne, Austin Cook</p><p>2:41AM/7:42AM: Tyrrell Hatton, Patrick Cantlay, Shane Lowry</p><p>2:52AM/7:53AM: Thomas Pieters, Kevin Kisner, Marcus Kinhult</p><p>3:03AM/8:04AM: Phil Mickelson, Satoshi Kodaira, Rafa Cabrera Bello</p><p>3:14AM/8:15AM: Brian Harman, Yuta Ikeda, Andrew Landry</p><p>3:25AM/8:26AM: Si Woo Kim, Webb Simpson, Nicolai Hojgaard (a)</p><p>3:36AM/8:37AM: Stewart Cink, Brandon Stone, Hideto Tanihara</p><p>3:47AM/8:48AM: Gary Woodland, Yusaku Miyazato, Sung Kang</p><p>4:03AM/9:04AM: Ernie Els, Adam Hadwin, Chesson Hadley</p><p>4:14AM/9:15AM: Pat Perez, Julian Suri, George Coetzee</p><p>4:25AM/9:26AM: David Duval, Scott Jamieson, Kevin Na</p><p>4:36AM/9:37AM: Darren Clarke, Bernhard Langer, Retief Goosen</p><p>4:47AM/9:48AM: Matt Kuchar, Anirban Lahiri, Peter Uihlein</p><p>4:58AM/9:59AM: Jordan Spieth, Justin Rose, Kiradech Aphibarnrat</p><p>5:09AM/10:10AM: Jon Rahm, Rickie Fowler, Chris Wood</p><p>5:20AM/10:21AM: Louis Oosthuizen, Paul Casey, Patrick Reed</p><p>5:31AM/10:32AM: Tony Finau, Xander Schauffele, Jhonattan Vegas</p><p>5:42AM/10:43AM: Yuxin Lin (a), Alexander Bjork, Sang Hyun Park</p><p>5:53AM/10:54AM: James Robinson, Haraldur Magnus, Zander Lombard</p><p>6:04AM/11:05AM: Kodai Ichihara, Rhys Enoch, Marcus Armitage</p><p>6:15AM/11:16AM: Sean Crocker, Gavin Green, Ash Turner</p><p>6:36AM/1:35AM: Brandt Snedeker, Sam Locke (a), Cameron Davis</p><p>6:47AM/1:46AM: Patton Kizzire, Jonas Blixt, Charles Howell III</p><p>6:58AM/1:57AM: Charl Schwartzel, Daniel Berger, Tom Lewis</p><p>7:09AM/2:08AM: Alex Levy, Ryan Moore, Byeong Hun An</p><p>7:20AM/2:19AM: Michael Hendry, Kelly Kraft, Lee Westwood</p><p>7:31AM/2:30AM: Henrik Stenson, Tommy Fleetwood, Jimmy Walker</p><p>7:42AM/2:41AM: Matthew Fitzpatrick, Russell Henley, Jovan Rebula (a)</p><p>7:53AM/2:52AM: Rory McIlroy, Marc Leishman, Thorbjorn Olesen</p><p>8:04AM/3:03AM: Dustin Johnson, Alex Noren, Charley Hoffman</p><p>8:15AM/3:14AM: Zach Johnson, Adam Scott, Brendan Steele</p><p>8:26AM/3:25AM: Justin Thomas, Francesco Molinari, Branden Grace</p><p>8:37AM/3:36AM: Jason Day, Shota Akiyoshi, Haotong Li</p><p>8:48AM/3:47AM: Todd Hamilton, Beau Hossler, Jorge Campillo</p><p>9:04AM/4:03AM: Ryuko Tokimatsu, Chez Reavie, Michael Kim</p><p>9:15AM/4:14AM: Kyle Stanley, Nicolas Colsaerts, Jens Dantorp</p><p>9:26AM/4:25AM: Tom Lehman, Dylan Frittelli, Grant Forrest</p><p>9:37AM/4:36AM: Lucas Herbert, Min Chel Choi, Jason Kokrak</p><p>9:48AM/4:47AM: Padraig Harrington, Bubba Watson, Matt Wallace</p><p>9:59AM/4:58AM: Ian Poulter, Cameron Smith, Brooks Koepka</p><p>10:10AM/5:09AM: Sergio Garcia, Bryson DeChambeau, Shubhankar Sharma</p><p>10:21AM/5:20AM: Tiger Woods, Hideki Matsuyama, Russell Knox</p><p>10:32AM/5:31AM: Jason Dufner, Ryan Fox, Keegan Bradley</p><p>10:43AM/5:42AM: Ryan Armour, Abraham Ander, Masahiro Kawamura</p><p>10:54AM/5:53AM: Jazz Janewattananond, Fabrizio Zanotti, Jordan Smith</p><p>11:05AM/6:04AM: Brett Rumford, Masanori Kobayashi, Jack Senior</p><p>11:16AM/6:15AM: Matt Jones, Thomas Curtis, Bronson Burgoon</p>
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