Golf Odds: 100th PGA Championship Is End of an Era

Monday, August 6, 2018 3:36 PM UTC

Monday, Aug. 6, 2018 3:36 PM UTC

The final golf major championship of the 2018 is the 100th PGA Championship, this year played from Bellerive Country Club outside of St. Louis. It’s also the last to be played in August.

Goodbye August, Hello Spring

They no longer refer to the PGA Championship as “Glory’s Last Shot,” but this year’s 100th staging of the major championship will be the end of an era in a way. The PGA Tour made several changes to the 2018-19 schedule, and the biggest was shifting the PGA Championship from its usual August spot where it often is somewhat overlooked (because in the USA the shift to football has begun) to May in between the Masters and U.S. Open.

The PGA Championship annually has the best field of the four majors and the winner gets quite the rewards, including spots in the other three majors and the Players Championship for the next five years, a spot in the PGA Championship for life and Tour membership for five years. The first PGA Championship was held in 1916 but it took the next two years off due to World War I so this is the 100th tournament. It originally started as Match Play but shifted to stroke play in 1958.

Like the U.S. Open and British Open, the PGA Championship changes locations every year. This time it’s held at Bellerive Country Club in a western suburb of St. Louis. The course hosted the 1992 PGA Championship, won by future Hall of Famer Nick Price at 6 under. Bellerive also hosted the 2008 BMW Championship in the FedEx Cup playoffs. It’s a par 70 expected to play around 7,317 yards.

This week is also the last to earn points for potential automatic qualifying for the U.S. Ryder Cup team.

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1st and 2nd Round #PGAChamp Tee Times➡️ https://t.co/0OEnJCjjhM pic.twitter.com/ML5V2ADES6

— PGA Championship (@PGAChampionship) August 5, 2018
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Double Back-to-Back for Thomas?

The two major story lines heading in have to be Tiger Woods playing the PGA Championship for the first time in three years and looking for his fifth victory in this event as well as first major title since 2008, and Justin Thomas looking to win back-to-back weeks and become the first player to repeat in the PGA Championship since Tiger won his last in 2007.

Thomas won the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational in Akron on Sunday for his third victory of the season, and he’s squarely in the running to earn PGA Tour Player of the Year honors a second straight year. In 2017 at Quail Hollow in Charlotte, Thomas 8-under 276 to win the PGA Championship by two shots over three players. That was Thomas’ first major title. He’s +1400 at Bovada this week.

Since 1980, only two PGA Championship winners also won the week before on the PGA Tour. Rory McIlroy is the last in 2014. He is the +1200 second-favorite at Bovada. McIlroy also won the PGA in 2012 and was T6 last week.

Woods played well his first two rounds last week in Akron but faded on the weekend to a T31. No. 1 Dustin Johnson is the +800 favorite to win the PGA Championship for the first time. He’s also in running for PGA Tour Player of the Year with three victories, last two weeks ago in Canada. DJ has three career Top 10s in this tournament, last in 2015.

Jordan Spieth looks to complete the career Grand Slam and is +2000. He’s having a disappointing season and was just T60 in Akron. Justin Rose is +2200 – assuming he’s playing. Rose withdrew last week with back troubles. Rickie Fowler (+2200) and Jon Rahm (+2500) have the shortest odds of guys yet to win a major championship. Francesco Molinari is +3300 to pull off the British Open/PGA Championship double.

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What will it take for Jordan Spieth to win this week and complete the career Grand Slam?#PGAChamp pic.twitter.com/CLNToT1wxE

— PGA Championship (@PGAChampionship) August 6, 2018
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The Picks

Not a fan of a Top 10 for Woods this week but do expect one from Johnson, McIlroy, Rahm and 2016 champion Jason Day. Our winning pick recommendation is the Bovada prop of Johnson and McIlroy at +450 vs. the field (-750) – we think McIlroy is the more likely winner. He, Tiger and Thomas are playing together the first two rounds at 9:23 a.m. ET Thursday and 2:48 p.m. Friday.

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