Gold Cup Soccer Picks: Will Mexico & Trinidad and Tobago Settle for a Draw?

Lee Phelps

Tuesday, July 14, 2015 11:26 PM GMT

Both teams should progress to the next stage of the Gold Cup, so how is William Hill's Lee Phelps approaching the game from a betting point of view? Well he's looked at the odds and come up with a tasty free betting pick.

The top two teams in the group face each other in the final game before the knockout stages and you would have to argue Trinidad and Tobago have the edge in terms of confidence against Mexico.

 

Mexico
After hammering Cuba 6-0, the nil nil draw against Guatemala last time out was a shock to most bettors. El Tri are the big favourites to win this one and take over top spot.

Miguel Herrera made it very clear the Copa America was not the priority this summer, with all the effort on this Gold Cup, but I’m not sure they have managed to build enough momentum to back them at such a short price.

Mexico have a very strong record and T and T, winning nine and drawing two of their last 14 versus The Soca Warriors, winning six and drawing one of the last eight.

The Cuba win came against a seriously depleted and under-prepared team, so the lack of goals in their last game is a worry, especially with two key players missing. Striker Chicharito Hernandez and Espanyol defender Hector Moreno are both out for the rest of the tournament through injury.

 

Trinidad and Tobago
Two wins so far and the Soca Warriors have done very little wrong, with an impressive display in beating Guatemala 3-1, before winning 2-0 against Cuba on Sunday.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see them looking at that 0-0 draw for Mexico and trying to emulate something similar with a disciplined performance. A draw will send both teams through and if Mexico aren’t getting much change out of the opposition defense, I can see them settling for the point and a place in the next phase.

 

Soccer Picks
When a point is mutually beneficial and means neither team have to go at it 100%, physically and mentally, you have to ask yourself why you back Mexico at odds on. Admittedly 11.0 (10/1) soccer odds does seem big and T and T plus one goal on the handicap at 3.5 (5/2) is also tempting, but I’m sticking with the draw at 4.6 (18/5).

If you do want a bigger price, I’m struggling to see a 2-2 draw, so the draw and under 2.5 goals at 5.5 (9/2) is another nice way in for your soccer picks.

Soccer Pick: Draw and under 2.5 goals 5.5 (9/2) at William Hill

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