Giro D'Italia Stage 3: Nijmegen To Arnhem Cycling Odds

Ian Cameron

Sunday, May 8, 2016 11:00 AM GMT

Sunday, May. 8, 2016 11:00 AM GMT

Stage 3 reverses the start and finish towns of stage 2 with the race starting in Nijmegen and finishing in Arnhem. Join us as we take a look at the Cycling Odds to find the best betting angle on the event.

Stage 3 reverses the start and finish towns of stage 2 with the race starting in Nijmegen and finishing in Arnhem, taking in the flat lowlands of Holland, with the dangers the winds and the street furniture bring. We may see echelons and splits, but it's likely the stage wiil finish in a sprint, whether all the sprinters will be there or not is the question.

Stage 2 went well for us with Marcel Kittel making it two wins out of two so far. He looks unbeatable at the moment but a price of 1/2 on cycling odds for him is prohibitive. 

2016 Giro D'Italia Betting Guide | Betting Favorites
Prop Betting: Giro D'Italia Sprinters | King Of The Mountain


The Route
Another flat run around the Netherlands on a stage that should end in another sprint. They start in Nijmejen and head north-east for 86kms to Borculo, where they turn left and go for 10kms in a north-east direction to Lochem before turning left again and start heading south-west and over a Cat 4 climb at Possbank with 53kms to go. They arrive on to a finishing circuit of 14kms which they do twice, and it's a tricky enough finish with a tunnel with 6kms to go, and two hard left hand turns inside the last 3.5kms. 


Marcel Kittel
He looked imperious today and I honestly can't see anyone coming close to him either tomorrow. He didn't even need a proper leadout today, he ended up riding the FDJ leadout for the last 200m. The one potential spanner in the works will be the wind out on the course - there are guts expected up around 25kmph and that could cause splits. 


André Greipel
I didn’t think he’d go so great today but 15th was even worse than I expected though, but his team seemed to let him down right when he needed them most - with 2kms to go there were four men in front of him, with 1km to go he was on his own. They just disappeared.


Elia Viviani
He was looking strange all day, hanging around at the back of the peloton with 25kms to gobut he never looked like he really wanted or was able to get up to the front row of the sprint, he was weaving in and out around 20th place as the hit the last 500m. It might be that Greipel and Viviani just had bad days and bad last kilometres, and they could be right up there fighting again like we'd expect tomorrow, but it is worrying to see their results today. 


Sacha Modolo
Zig-zagged his way along behind the EQS, FDJ and Lotto boys today but when it mattered most he came flying out after Kittel but was just unable to overhaul Démare. He looked fast though and I was a bit surprised to see him priced up longer than Greipel and Viviani, two riders he comfortably beat today. He opened at 14/1 but has shortened to 12/1 but that's still worth a shot I think.


Caleb Ewan
He was in a great place with just over 1km to go today but then Ruffoni started elbowing him off of Kittel's wheel and he eventually let him slip in front. This saw him suddenly slip back a bit so that as they entered the arcing right hand bend with 300m to go he found himself in 10th place. He ended up 7th but never looked like he was going to trouble the front guys.


Moreno Hofland
He was pretty close to a podium today, inspired by riding in Holland, I think he will do well again tomorrow but will struggle to get on the podium. Arnaud Démare was impressive, along with his team today, but it's unlikely they'll have it all their own way tomorrow and Démare might find it harder going. He says that he thinks he can beat Kittel, but I can't see it, and he's no value now at just 9/1, he tends to get lost sometimes in sprints. 

I can't see anyone touching Kittel though, but 4/7 is way too short for a cycling pick, the evens we took a few days ago for today's stage now looks like the bet of the week. I think Modolo will be good enough for a podium again tomorrow.
 

Recommendations:
1pt each-way on Sacha Modolo at 14/1 with PaddyPower (take the 12/1 now)
 

Matchbets:
Hofland to beat Nizzolo at 11/10 with Ladbrokes
Viviani to beat Ewan at evens with Bet365

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