From Oscars With Love; 'Roma' Will Win Big At The Academy Awards

Monday, February 11, 2019 3:05 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 11, 2019 3:05 PM UTC

We're rooting for "BlacKkKlansman," but momentum is clearly with Alfonso Cuaron's "Roma," which will make Oscars history by winning both Best Picture and Best Foreign Language Film when the Academy Awards are handed out February 24. 

The movie award season culminates on February 24 when the Oscars are awarded to the best in movies – or at least somewhere close to the best.

When the Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences gets it right, it’s savory and sweet, like when you dump your Raisinettes into your buttered popcorn bucket. Yummo. But when they get it wrong, it’s as if a Milk Dud pulled out a filling – ouch!

Which previous winners sent us to the dentist? “Shakespeare in Love” over “Saving Private Ryan.” “Titanic” over “L.A. Confidential.” “Chicago” over “The Pianist.” “Crash” over “Brokeback Mountain.” “Driving Miss Daisy” over “Do The Right Thing.” “How Green Was My Valley” over “Citizen Kane.” OK, we weren’t born when that last one happened, but you get our drift.

This year’s Milk Duds dentist visit would be “Bohemian Rhapsody,” “A Star is Born,” and dare I say it, “Black Panther.” All entertaining movies, but not worthy of the Best Picture Oscar. Hell, we don’t think “Roma” should win either, but it looks as if it probably will.

You can bet on who you will win at several of SBR's top sportsbooks including BetOnline, Bovada, 5Dimes and Pinnacle. You also can take part in SBR's Oscar Contest.

Our Raisinettes and popcorn combo?: “BlacKkKlansman,” or “The Favourite.” Yeah, yeah probably not going to happen. But wouldn't it be nice to be surprised.

For a biopic, “Rhapsody” is flawed; “Green Book” has been criticized for “centering white people in a black movie.” And there is no doubt “Black Panther” is a momentous cultural achievement, but T’Challa/Black Panther was practically a non-entity.

Everything has been trending “Roma,” with it taking home the BAFTA for Best Film, the equivalent of the British Oscar on Sunday. “The Favourite” took home seven awards including Best Actress for Olivia Colman who will give Glenn Close (“The Wife”) a run for her award at the Academy Awards.

“Roma” director Alfonso Curaon won four awards, and we’ll likely do as well at the Oscars.

Unlike the Oscars, the BAFTAs had a host, “Absolutely Fabulous” star Joanna Lumley. But after cracking a series of weak jokes including one about a Klan film festival in an attempt to be funny about “BlacKkKlansman,” the Twitter backlash alone should make the Academy happy they will be hostless.

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Thanks to @TheAcademy for hosting today’s Oscar Nominees Luncheon! Great to be amongst such a talented group of people celebrating the year in film. #Oscars2019 pic.twitter.com/Nfyb6niGYY

— ILM Visual Effects (@ILMVFX) February 5, 2019
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The Oscars will go to:

Best Picture: “Roma,” the black-and-white coming of age drama, also nominated in the Best Foreign Language Film, is the frontrunner, competing with “The Favourite,” “BlacKkKlansman,” “Black Panther,” “Bohemian Rhapsody,” “Green Book,” “A Star Is Born” and “Vice.”

Our Pick: “Roma” has taken the lion’s share of awards and will win on Oscar night. But we sure would be happy to see Spike Lee’s “BlacKkKlansman” win.

Best Actor: Christian Bale as former U.S. Vice President Dick Cheney in “Vice” vs. Rami Malek’s morphing in to Queen front man Freddie Mercury in “Bohemian Rhapsody.” Also nominated, Bradley Cooper in “A Star is Born,” Willem Dafoe (“At Eternity’s Gate”), and Viggo Moretensen (“Green Book”).

Our Pick: We thought this was Bale’s award to lose, now it seems Malek is the frontrunner. Two have pretty much split the awards this season. We flipped a coin, it came up Rami Malek.

Best Actress: Yalitza Aparicio (“Roma”), Glenn Close (“The Wife”), Olivia Colman (“The Favourite”), Lady Gaga (“A Star is Born”) and Melissa McCarthy (“Can You Ever Forgive Me”).

Our Pick: This award comes down to Close and Colman and we’re going with Glenn Close. It’s her year, it’s her time.

Best Supporting Actress: Amy Adams (“Vice”), Marina de Tavira (“Roma”), Regina King (“If Beale Street Could Talk”), and Emma Stone and Rachel Weisz (“The Favourite”).

Our Pick: Regina King for her fierce performance in “If Beale Street Could Talk.” King won the Golden Globe and Critics Choice Award for this role, and Adams will be the bridesmaid once again.

Best Supporting Actor: Hooray, Sam Elliott is finally getting his due. Other than that, this is all Mahershala Ali in “Green Book.” Also nominated: Adam Driver (“BlacKkKlansman”), Sam Elliott (“A Star Is Born”), Richard E. Grant (“Can You Ever Forgive Me?”), and Sam Rockwell (“Vice”).

Our Pick: Mahershala Ali, hands down.

Best Director: There is one noticeable absence – Bradley Cooper, who was expected to get a nomination. We’re also thrilled to see Spike Lee finally get Oscar recognition in this category for “BlacKkKlansman.” Also nominated with Spike, Alfonso Cuaron (“Roma”), Yorgos Lanthimos (“The Favourite”), Adam McKay (“Vice”), and Pawel Pawlikowski (“Cold War”).

Our Pick: Alfonso Cuaron for “Roma.” But we’d be pretty happy if Spike Lee won in his first time being nominated in the directing category.

Our Picks In Other Categories:

Best Adapted Screenplay: “BlacKkKlansman”

Best Original Screenplay: “The Favourite”

Best Animated Feature: “Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse”

Best Animated Short: “Bao”

Best Cinematography: “Roma”

Best Costume Design: “The Favourite”

Best Documentary Feature: “RBG”

Best Editing: “Vice”

Best Foreign Language Feature: “Roma”

Best Makeup and Hairstyling: “Vice”

Best Production Design: “Black Panther”

Best Original Score: “BlacKkKlansman”

Best Original Song: “Shallow” from “A Star is Born”

Best Sound Editing: “First Man”

Best Sound Mixing: “Bohemian Rhapsody”

Best Visual Effects: “Avengers: Infinity War”

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