French Open Tennis Picks: Mens' Semis to Set up Murray vs. Tsonga Final

Lee Phelps

Thursday, June 4, 2015 6:40 PM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 4, 2015 6:40 PM UTC

The best four tennis players in Paris line up for the right to play in Sunday's showpiece final and William Hill's Lee Phelps is looking at the odds to find the best bets for his free betting pick.

It’s men’s semi-final day at Roland Garros on Friday with one match true to the seedings and the other a surprise package.

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Andy Murray vs Novak Djokovic
Murray must go into the match in confident mood despite his record against the Serb.

The Brit beat David Ferrer to extend his unbeaten clay court run and prolong that incredible winning streak ever since tying the knot.

Murray is unbeaten in 15 matches on the surface this year, but has lost his last seven against Djokovic.

As if he needed any more confidence the world number one destroyed the greatest ever French Open player and comes into this on a 27 match winning streak, almost making a mockery of Murray’s own stretch.

The Scot is a two-time semi-finalist in Paris, losing to Nadal in 2011 and 2014, but has won his first two titles on clay in the past month, which included a win over Nadal in Madrid.

"I think the matches that I played in Madrid and some of the tennis I've played here, it's obviously the best I've played on clay," said Murray.

"I'd never won against David before, I'd never won against Rafa before, I'd never beaten Kei Nishikori, Milos Raonic. I'll take the confidence of the last few weeks into the match against Novak on Friday."

Murray's last win over Djokovic was in the 2013 Wimbledon final, and he has lost to the Serb three times this year.

Despite his confident words and him stressing the head-to-head doesn’t matter, it’s the difference in class that matters to me. Add to the fact it’s going to be hot on Friday and Nole’s superiority on the surface, mentally, in talent and physically will count.

The only thing I’m considering is whether Murray can take a set. I think he can but the tennis odds aren’t great. I think it will be tight even if Djokovic wins in straights so I’m looking at a handicap bet.

Tennis pick: Murray +6.5 games 1.83 (5/6) with William Hill

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Stan Wawrinka vs Jo Wilfried-Tsonga
What a performance the Swiss player turned in to beat his countryman in the quarter finals. I discounted Stan coming into the French because of questions marks over his off-the-court issues, but he had won 22 of 30 matches when he arrived in the French capital.

This is the furthest he has been in Paris is the quarter finals in 2013, but generally he has been disappointing at the clay Slam.

Tsonga on the other has done well in front of home fans, and was a quarter-finalist and a semi-finalist in 2012 and 2013 and has played really well knocking out fifth-seed, Kei Nishikori, in five-sets on Tuesday.

Neither of these players would class this as their favourite surface and while I think Wawrinka has the better game, the most consistency and the stronger shots, if Jo gets that crowd behind him and is near his very best, he can take it and his odds are very tempting.

I don’t see him winning in straights though so, for my tennis picks I’m taking the Tsonga win on value grounds, but with both players winning a set at least.

Tennis pick: Tsonga to win, but both to win a set 3.75 (11/4) with William Hill

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