The final day of the first week at the French Open throws up some intriguing match and some tight odds. William Hill's Lee Phelps is looking at three of them for his free betting picks.
We’re almost a week into the French Open and we have three more picks to bet on from both the men’s and women’s draw, taking in two of the top seeds.
Andy Murray vs Nick Kyrgios
The Scot is still unbeaten on clay this season and although he dropped a set in the second round and got a little annoyed with himself, he’s motoring on quite nicely. Next up the Aussie who he beat in the quarter finals at the Australian Open.
To be fair Kyrgios did beat Federer in Madrid, but those courts were quicker than the Paris equivalent and Murray should have the staying power to grind the 20 year old down. He may be a little under-done as well, having only played one match, beating world 77 Denis Istomin, before getting a walkover against the injured Kyle Edmond.
If Kyrgios can raise his game like he did against Federer and match Murray early I can see a long first set and over 9.5 games would be the play. I don’t see any early breaks either so the 2.1 (11/10) for the score to be 2-2 after four games is my play.
Tennis pick: First set, score after four games 2-2 2.1 (11/10)
Serena Williams vs Victoria Azarenka
I talked to Natalie Rydstrom about this match being the first big test for Williams. In fact she had a wobble against Anna-Lena Friedsam, losing the first set before hitting back to win the next two and advance.
Azarenka, ranked 27 in the world, has some shred money on her back and will fancy a run to the final if she can upset the tennis odds here.
It would be remiss of me to not tell you about her record against Serena though. She trails 15-3 on the head to head and lost the last three on dirt. I’m not predicting a shock, but if there any flaws in the top seed’s game Azarenka will push her.
I can see three sets in this match, with the Belarusian’s 7 and 2 winning run on clay and a general confidence about her at the French so far.
Tennis pick: Three sets in the match 2.37 (11/8)
Andrea Petkovic vs Sara Errani
What a match this looks, with sportsbooks like William Hill struggling to split them. It was a pick ‘em until some money came in for the German taking her to 1.8 (4/5) and her Italian opponent out to 2.0 (Evs).
The German leads 2-1 in their head-to-head record with all three meetings coming on clay, so we have plenty to go on there and although they both have winning records in 2015, it’s Errani’s who looks strong having won 11 and lost three on the WTA circuit compared to 6 and 2 for Petkovic.
Those three head to head matches show a win for Petkovic in 2014, while Errani won in Madrid last year, but it was the number 10 ranked player who came out on top on these courts in the quarter finals last season.
Despite that I’m taking Errani at the bigger price to take the win here with one of my tennis picks.
Tennis pick: Sara Errani win 2.0 (Evs)