Free UFC 179 Picks for October's Mendes vs. Aldo Matchup

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, October 19, 2014 3:09 PM GMT

Jose Aldo has been called by some the best “pound for pound” fighter in the world and he will put his UFC Featherweight title on the line in a rematch against top contender Chad Mendes but which fighter is worthy of inclusion in our UFC picks on October 25th?

Chad Mendes (16-1, 6 KO’s, 1 Sub)
Chad Mendes opened at -380 in UFC odds at 5Dimes.com in his last fight against Nik Lentz but that number spiked all the way to -900 by the time the bell sounded for their scrap in Sacramento on December 14th of last year. If you were so bold to lay that prodigious lumber in your UFC picks then you were rewarded as Mendes came away victorious via unanimous decision. Not quite the way you would expect a prohibitive favorite to win but the ticket cashed and Mendes added another notch on his holster.

The only blemish on the former NCAA Division 1 All-American wrestler’s record came courtesy of a vicious knee struck by the very same opponent he will be fighting on October 25th in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Since that first-round KO at UFC 142 Mendes reeled off four consecutive knockouts with the most impressive on that list being Clay Guida by TKO at UFC 164 that earned him Knockout of the Night honors and handed Guida the first stoppage of his career. He saw his knockout streak come to a halt in his last fight against Lentz whom he defeated but was not as impressive as he appeared in his previous four matches. Mendes blamed a sinus infection that adversely affected his breathing for his less than stellar performance.

 

Jose Aldo (24-1, 14 KO’s, 2 Subs)
Jose Aldo has been a featherweight champion of the world dating back to 2009 when he wrested the WEC Featherweight strap from the then champion Mike Brown by virtue of a TKO in the second round.  Since that time he has defended the WEC/UFC featherweight title on eight occasions with his most recent defense at UFC 169 in February of this year when he opened as a -600 betting favorite in UFC odds which bumped up to -750 on fight night against Ricardo Lamas. Aldo rewarded those chalk eaters by defeating Lamas by unanimous decision. It was a workmanlike performance by Aldo who repeatedly punished Lamas with his patented leg kicks capable of chopping down a Redwood. However, give Lamas credit, he hung with the champ for five rounds and absorbed the punishment without ever giving Aldo the highlight reel knockout we are accustomed to seeing from the featherweight king.

Aldo’s fight schedule has been beset by injuries sustained by either he or his opponent and this particular fight is just such an example. He was supposed to square off against Mendes in this championship rematch back in August at UFC 176 but was derailed by a shoulder/spine injury and now the fight will take place in Aldo’s native country instead of Los Angles where it was previously slated. This injury was questioned by Mendes and has caused a battle between the two in the press with Mendes accusing Aldo of purposely strategizing to get the fight on his home turf while Aldo countered that Mendes takes “supplements” to avoid such injuries. There is genuine bad blood heading into this one.

 

Free UFC Pick
Jose Aldo opened as a -235 betting favorite in UFC odds at Pinnacle.com and now stands only slightly lower at -220. The UFC odds may have been even closer if Mendes continued his knockout streak going over Nik Lentz. But that was not to be and Aldo has to be considered the bettor’s choice in this one. The only chance I see that Mendes can take advantage of this opportunity in hostile territory is if he can impose his will via his fists without getting worn out by the thunderous leg kicks of Aldo. Aldo wins the rematch.

Bet Jose Aldo -220 in UFC odds at Pinnacle.com

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