Free Tennis Picks: Australian Open Day 2

João Mourato

Sunday, January 14, 2018 6:24 PM UTC

Sunday, Jan. 14, 2018 6:24 PM UTC

Join our expert tennis capper for his top betting selections for the Australian Open Day 2. He'll provide a detailed analysis, explaining why you should grab this betting duo.

[/]{"component":"video", "type":"youtube", "url":"", "videoSize":"Large" }[/]Dominic Thiem (5) vs. Guido Pella

Dominic Thiem’s preparations for the Australian Open suffered another setback when the Austrian was forced to pull out of the Kooyong Classic exhibition. The 24-year-old was also forced to withdraw from the Qatar Open one week before due to a cold and fever. With so many physical problems in the last couple of weeks, it won’t be easy for Dominic to be at 100% on his debut. Adding to this, playing in Australia is never easy with the extreme temperatures testing the limits of the players’ endurance.

Guido Pella couldn’t have asked for a better start to 2018. The Argentinean reached his second-ever ATP World Tour semifinal on Hard Court at the Qatar ExxonMobil Open in Doha. Even though Pella grew up on clay, the world no.56 considers Hard Court as his favorite surface with an extraordinary 68.50% ROI on these game conditions over the last 12 months. Looking now at Guido’s previous appearances in Melbourne, the 27-year-old is trying to secure a spot in the following round of the Australian Open for the second time in his career.

This will be the 3rd career meeting between these two players with Thiem still looking for his first win over this opponent.

As the h2h suggests, Pella is far from an easy match-up for the Austrian. In addition to Guido’s lead on the h2h, Thiem failed to win a single set on their previous two official meetings on the ATP World Tour. With this in mind, our suggestion is for you to add the Over to your betting picks since we expect a much closer encounter than the odds suggest.

Free Tennis Pick: Over 37 (-125)
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Lucie Safarova (29) vs. Ajla Tomljanovic (WC)

Two-time champion Victoria Azarenka has withdrawn from the Australian Open, with her wild-card into the main draw granted to Ajla Tomljanovic. The 24-year-old reached a career-high ranking of No. 47 in the world in 2015 but a shoulder injury forced her to miss the entire season of 2016. Nevertheless, Tomljanovic worked her way back up to No.107 with a terrific 73.33% winning record on the WTA Tour since November. Adding to this, Ajla will play in Melbourne for the first time as an Australian after passing her citizenship test last month.

After a tough 2017, Lucie Safarova has reappointed Rob Steckley as her coach for the upcoming season. They had work together for more than three years until they split in September 2016. Steckley was responsible for Lucie’s greatest successes in 2015 when she reached the French Open final. Taking a look now at Safarova’s campaign in 2018, the 30-year-old couldn’t capitalize on any of her two match point opportunities on her opening round match in Sydney against Angelique Kerber.

These two players are no strangers with Safarova winning their two previous encounters on the WTA Tour.

Despite Lucie’s lead on the h2h, it’s impossible to find any value on her current tennis betting odds to win this match at -250 at 5Dimes. On the other hand, Tomljanovic is always a dangerous opponent with an outstanding 16.20% career ROI when facing top-50 players. Having said that, our advice is for you to split your stake among Ajla’s +1.5 Set Handicap and the Over 21 as the two most valuable plays for this contest.

Free Tennis Pick: Alja Tomljanovic +1.5 Set Handicap (-111) & Over 21 (-108)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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