Join our expert tennis capper for his Davis Cup semi-finals and play-offs analysis. Find out which team should make it to the final and also which countries will be in the 2018 World Group.
Portugal has a chance to make history this weekend in Oeiras. After a disappointing defeat on their previous appearance in the World Group play-offs in 1994, Portugal is just one win away from a spot in the elite-16 nation top tier of Davis Cup for the first time in 62 years. Portuguese tennis is going through one of the best moments ever with all the four players ranked inside the top 190. Moreover, this tie takes place in a very special arena known for some of the most epic victories in Portugal’s tennis history.
On the other hand, the three-time Davis Cup champions – Germany – can’t count with their three best players – Alexander Zverev, Mischa Zverev and Philipp Kohlschreiber. With so many absences on the German side, Jan-Lennard Struff is the highest ranked player on Michael Kohlmann’s team. Despite Struff’s unquestionable quality, the 27-year-old is also known for his lack of mental strength. For that reason, it won’t be easy for Struff to compete at his best level in such a tough environment.
Due to the major absences on Germany and Portugal’s great history on this venue, our suggestion is for you to add the home team to your betting picks to secure an unprecedented spot in the World Group at +125 at BetOnline.Belgium vs. Australia
Australia has a golden chance to end 14-year drought and win a 29th Davis Cup title. Despite Nick Kyrgios’ temper, the 22-year-old is a completely different player on Davis Cup and his outstanding 4 – 0 record over the last two years is a perfect example of that. On the other hand, Thanasi Kokkinakis is slowly returning to his best level after long absence due to injury.
After a disappointing defeat against Great Britain in the 2015 Davis Cup Final, Belgium is trying to go a step further on this year’s edition and win their first title. As usual, David Goffin is the team’s main star and his brilliant 85.00% career record on Davis Cup makes him a fearful opponent on this competition. Nevertheless, there are some concerns regarding Goffin’s physical condition after his recent defeat in Flushing Meadows due to a knee injury. Adding to this, Steve Darcis might not be at 100% for this tie.
Due to the concerns regarding the Belgian team, it’s impossible to find any value on their current tennis betting odds. On the other hand, Bet365 offers a very interesting price for Australia to reach the final at -200.
Japan vs. Brazil
Despite Kei Nishikori’s absence, Japan is still the undeniable favorite to win this tie. Yuichi Sugita is the no.1 player on the Japanese team and everyone expects to see him winning his two singles matches. At the age of 28, Sugita is going through the best moment in his career with a phenomenal 66.67% winning record in 2017.
Brazil can’t also count with one of their best players – Thomaz Bellucci – due to injury. Nevertheless, Thiago Monteiro is enjoying great success in recent months and is always a dangerous opponent with his powerful groundstrokes. Adding to this, Brazil shouldn’t experience any major problems on the doubles match with Marcelo Melo and Bruno Soares.
Even though we agree with Japan’s favoritism, the value is definitely on the other side with Pinnacle offering +337 for Brazil to win this tie. For that reason, our advice is for you to place a small bet on this valuable line.