Our tipster has been on the right side of the soccer odds surrounding West Ham recently, so does he think they are worth a bet as champions Manchester City come to town?
Who would have thought West Ham versus Manchester City would be fourth against second in the Premier League standings towards the end of October? Not me that’s for sure, but I’m happy to have been on the right side of the Hammers in recent weeks.
This is a really big test for the Londoners. I've been so impressed by their performances since the 2 - 2 draw at Hull, as I have referred to in a few articles here. Diafra Sakho has been tremendous and I’ve landed two successive anytime goal scorer bets with him. He has now scored five goals in five appearances in the Premier League from 15 shots on goal (it’s six in six if you count the League Cup) that is an excellent strike rate in anyone’s book. West Ham have also got Enner Valencia who isn't as prolific as his mate at the moment, but is a match winner. The biggest surprise is Stuart Downing, he’s been one of the revelations of the season, playing just behind the strikers.
As good as West Ham have been in beating Liverpool 3-1, narrowly losing to Manchester United plus the wins against QPR and Burnley this is a different test altogether. Will Sam Allardyce have the confidence to go and play Manchester City the way they have been attacking QPR and Burnley? I'm not sure. As with a few teams this season the home form isn't quite as solid as the away performances. They did beat Liverpool but the Reds were poor that day and as we know QPR have been poor for most of the season. Before the Liverpool win they had lost to Southampton, to Tottenham and on penalties to Sheffield United in the League Cup.
The stats show that they've averaged four shots on target per game at home, while they allow their opponents an average of 12 shots per match. I worry they will give City too many opportunities without having enough for themselves. Valencia and Sacco will have to be at their very, very best to score in this match.
City start at a disadvantage straight away having travelled to Moscow and back in disappointment this week and now they face a 1245 kick-off on Saturday afternoon. That probably is the only negative though. Their away form in the Premier League has been good, they haven't failed to score less than two goals in any match so far, so it's reasonable to think West Ham will have to score to at least two stay with them.
Sergio Aguero is the best striker in the division in my opinion. It's a close run thing between him and Costa, but Sergio Aguero’s all-round play is simply sensational. His four goals against Tottenham and the way he led the line was a joy to watch and I’m expecting him to score at least one goal at West Ham perhaps even two. In his six appearances he’s scored nine goals from a total of 27 shots - that's one goal every three shots and with West Ham giving opponents an average of 12 chances per game, Aguero will get a least three or four goal scoring opportunities in this match.
I can see West Ham testing Manchester City, but I don’t think they will be good enough to beat them. Even a draw might be a little bit too much to expect. I do think it will be close though, the atmosphere will be great with the goodwill sloshing around Upton Park. I’m confident the Hammers will score, so Manchester City to win and both teams to score is the best soccer pick for me.
Free Soccer Pick: Manchester City win and both teams to score: 11/5 at William Hill