Free Soccer Picks & Tips for Liverpool vs. Everton

Nila Amerova

Tuesday, January 21, 2014 6:35 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jan. 21, 2014 6:35 PM UTC

The intriguing Merseyside derby is set to feature in EPL week 23 betting as Liverpool host Everton at Anfield Stadium. Here’s an early primer on this clash set for January 28 complete with soccer free picks for your consideration.

Everton at the disadvantage

Liverpool and Everton are enjoying similar fortunes in Premier League action, yet that fact hasn’t deterred bookies across sportsbooks from casting their upcoming clash as a rather lopsided affair with Liverpool the firm favourites at -125 to win outright at home and Everton the decided underdogs at +320 to win on the road. The draw meanwhile is listed at +275 at Bet365.

Liverpool are sat pretty in fourth place with a 13-4-5 mark and 43 points. Home form has been their strong suit this season at 9-1-1 to date; their lone defeat at Anfield was a 1-0 defeat to Southampton on September 21 and their lone draw was a 2-2 draw to Aston Villa in the last lap of Premier League action. Most recently, Liverpool are riding a three-game undefeated streak with two wins and a draw.

Everton are just two points adrift of Liverpool in the table, in sixth place with an 11-9-2 mark. Although largely based on solid home form that stands at 7-3-1, the Toffees have been above average on the road with a 4-6-1 mark. Most recently, Everton are riding a four-game undefeated streak with two wins and two draws.

So is this clash a foregone conclusion as the market would suggest it is? Is backing the Liverpool victory the smart soccer pick?

Adding weight to the soccer odds is the fact that the Reds are undefeated in their last eight home games since that one-off defeat to Southampton. More importantly, over this auspicious run of form they’ve been scoring with abandon, netting 27 goals while conceding just seven. It bears mentioning however that all eight opponents rank in the bottom half of the table.

Certainly, Everton as a credible top six contender – even a top four contender at +400 in future betting markets at Bet365 – is a different kettle of fish. The Toffees have been impressive this season and continue to impress the deeper the season goes. As mentioned above only two points separate them from Liverpool and a Champions League spot in the table, a gap they could potentially close with a shock upset at Anfield Stadium. A heady thought indeed.

Everton could have closed the gap in week 22 EPL action but a draw to West Bromwich on the road put a damper on those lofty aspirations. Still underscoring their rather underrated soccer odds is the fact that they’ve only lost once this season on the road, to Manchester City. Avid Premier League betting fans know only too well how formidable the Sky Blues are at the Etihad this season so there can’t be any shame in that loss.

Liverpool vs. Everton match betting tips and picks

The last time the pair met they settled on a 3-3 draw at Goodison Park, a cracking affair that proved to be worthy of its Merseyside derby billing. The best part for fans was the fact that both stars from each team Romelu Lukaku (Everton) and Luis Suarez (Liverpool) rose to the occasion as they featured on the scoreboard. In fact, Suarez lifted his side to the 2-1 lead before half time while Lukaku drew Everton level in the second half and then ten minutes later lifted them to a 3-2 lead. Daniel Sturridge proved to be Liverpool’s hero as he scored the late equaliser.

If the reverse leg of this clash lives up to its predecessor this should be another fascinating affair with both sides wholly invested in the outcome. As such, the outright win is wide open despite the lopsided soccer betting market on offer.

There is value on both sides of the coin: home form tips the scale towards Liverpool and soccer-betting fans could do no worse than backing the Reds to the home win at -120 at Bet365. Then again, Everton clearly can’t be underestimated when Roberto Martinez has the Toffees playing delightful attacking football, a complete departure from their David Moyes days that were a yawn and that are now Man U’s happy lot. Thus they present intriguing value at +320 for the away win or at +275 on the draw.  

Clearly, this match could go either way and determining the outcome is challenging. Fortune favours the brave however so we’re going to back Liverpool to the win. For our recommended soccer pick however we’re going with what we know for certain; that is, the attacking options, which are abundant on both sides of the coin and that should factor in this match to deliver a high scoring affair. So take the Over 2.5 at -163 at Bet365 as your value soccer pick.

Free Soccer Picks: Over 2.5 at -163

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