Free Soccer Picks for Manchester City vs. Southampton

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, April 2, 2014 6:39 PM GMT

Manchester City take on Southampton in Week 33 EPL betting, all the while mindful of their title ambitions which hang in the balance of the outcome of the next six weeks and the corresponding bids of their rivals in the hunt Liverpool and Chelsea.

Manchester City Fancied for Title
Manchester City have been fancied for the title almost consistently throughout the season, with falls out of favour coming briefly and infrequently. As things currently stand, they are matched at -150 at Bet365 to win outright, well ahead of league leaders Liverpool at +188 and last week’s leaders Chelsea, who appear to have lost the plot of late and, consequently, have had their future betting odds puffed out from +163 to +700 to win outright at Bet365.

It’s been a bit of a revolving door at the top of the Premier League table this season. Expecting it to all of a sudden settle down would be premature however, not to mention that Man City have the title in the bag just because sportsbooks say it is so. Neither side of the fancied triplet are going to have a cakewalk to the coveted prize including Man City with their advantage of having two games in hand. What’s more, we may see the baton change hands a few more times before the champions are revealed at season end.

If Man City are to come through on their favourable odds to win the title they must win all their remaining matches. They are currently third in the table with a 21-4-5 mark and 67 points, four points adrift of Liverpool.

Going into their upcoming clash with Southampton at the Etihad, Man City have the market cornered on favourable -333 soccer odds to win outright. Home form has been stupendous this season with just one defeat to Chelsea, which came recently at the Etihad

That said recent form has been modest to say the least. They are 3-1-2 in their last six fixtures across all competitions – a shocking defeat to Wigan Athletic at the Etihad that forced them out of FA Cup and a 2-1 defeat to Barcelona in Champions League action, which ended their European sojourn in the R16.

Premier League form is decidedly better with an undefeated run of six games since the 1-0 defeat to Chelsea and includes four wins and two draws. What’s more, since the Blues flew the coop, Man City have won their subsequent two home fixtures while maintaining clean sheets – 1-0 over Stoke City and 5-0 over Fulham.

 

Can Southampton Throw a Spanner in the Works?
If sports betting odds were any indication, the answer would be a resounding No. At whopping +850 soccer odds or thereabouts across sportsbooks, the Saints are the quintessential long shot soccer pick.

Southampton are sat pretty in eighth place in the table with a 13-9-10 mark and 48 points. They are six points behind Man United and eight points behind Tottenham Hotspur, a gap that firmly closes the door on a Top six finish this season and an ensuing spot in Europe.

Just because Europa League is off the cards doesn’t mean Southampton won’t look to finish the season strong however. The Saints are after a commendable 4-0 victory over Newcastle United, a win that marks their fifth win, seventh game undefeated in their last eight home fixtures. The only hiccup a 3-0 defeat to Liverpool.

That said away form certainly isn’t as good as home form is with four defeats in their last eight games (3-1-4), including a defeat to bottom stragglers Sunderland as well as defeats to Everton, West Ham United and Tottenham.

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Soccer Betting Verdict
Formidable home form (Man City) plus inconsistent road form (Southampton) equals a home win surely. Granted Southampton held Man City to a 1-1 draw earlier this season, but to do so again at the Etihad would be quite the accomplishment few would be prepared to back. But if you are feeling brave, go on. It’s a tempting option at +425 soccer odds at Bet365. For the majority, Man City at -333 soccer odds to win outright is the smart soccer pick. For additional soccer picks to pad your pocket with, consider Man City to win both halves at -125 and the Over 2.5 at -225.

Soccer Free Picks: Man City to win outright at -333