Free Soccer Picks: Bet Sevilla & Athletic To Score & Go 'Over'

Bernardo Baltazar

Thursday, April 14, 2016 12:08 AM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 14, 2016 12:08 AM UTC

In the history of the European Competitions, only in 19 times out of 354 the team that lost at home by 1-2 was able to turn things around and with Unai Emery as the other team’s coach, we can say that those 19/354 chances are even lower!

We think that the 1st leg solved this tie, with Bilbao needing at least to win by 2-1 to force an extra time and against an experienced team in Europa League as Sevilla. Besides this, Sevilla is an incredibly strong team on their Stadium, with few teams winning at Sanchez Pizjuan.

We were on the Both Teams To Score on the 1st leg but recognizing value on Sevilla’s double chance and the truth is that Sevilla did it. Although Sevilla’s bad moment on La Liga, this is a team that always plays better on Europa League and they are determined to fight for their 3rd consecutive title on this competition.

Sevilla vs. Bilbao
Bilbao is always very dependent on their 35 years old striker performances, Aduriz. He scored a goal on the 1st leg but wasn’t enough for them and things will be tougher on this match, where Sevilla can play with more cautious and forcing Bilbao to take extra risks. This should result in good goal opportunities for Sevilla, with quick counter attack transitions.

Must Read: EURO Analysis For 2016

Betting Overview 
The winners market doesn’t provide us much value on Sevilla, they are priced closed to evens and since a draw is enough for them this is not an appealing bet for us. The Draw No Bet is very low and we can’t find any value on it too.

Even believing that Sevilla will take advantage of Bilbao’s exposure, we can’t force a play here on a match that might be very close with a high probability of ending with a draw.

On the other side, the goals market is once again very interesting for this match at Sanchez Pizjuan, as it was too on the 1st leg.

Both teams to score is priced lower than it was on the 1st let, but still with value around -159 Bet365. The Over 2.50 @-143 Pinnacle Sports is quite fair and we recommend waiting or the first five minutes of the match, where it should be possible to get this line with much more value with an in-play bet. However, we’ll fill our bet slip with those two bets combined, with Stan James offering that combination @+100 and since we don’t expect a collapse from any side, we’ll play this bet with our soccer picks for this game before the kickoff.

On last Thursday, we picked Aduriz and Gameiro to score at any time and we’ll have to repeat that approach on this 2nd leg. Aduriz scores more than 50% of Bilbao’s team while Gameiro is the perfect guy to play in quick transitions and taking advantage of the space given by Bibao during the 90 minutes. The price for these two players to score can be found around @+170 Aduriz and @+115 Gameiro, both 888sport soccer odds.

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Free Soccer Pick: Both teams to score & Over 2.5 goals
Best Line Offered: at Bwin

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