Free Soccer Picks: Bayern To Show Superiority vs. Benfica At Estádio da Luz

Bernardo Baltazar

Tuesday, April 12, 2016 4:43 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 12, 2016 4:43 PM UTC

Benfica plays splendidly in Germany, but it'll host a different Bayern because Munich knows there is no room for mistake and they must face Benfica with a clear mindset. Check inside our soccer pick.

Benfica Lisbon Preview
On the 1st leg, Benfica had several opportunities to score a goal and bring a positive result from the Allianz Arena but Jonas couldn’t take advantage of any them and after receiving a yellow card, he won’t be able to play on this game due to suspension.

Besides Jonas, Gaitan left the pitch injured against Academica for the domestic league last weekend and he won’t be able to play this Wednesday too. Benfica’s priority is clearly the Portuguese Championship and the coach Rui Vitoria won’t risk a more serious injury on their most important player.

We can therefore say that not only is Benfica facing a very difficult opponent, but they will also play this match without two key players, which is a huge handicap since this team doesn’t have so many quality options on their bench.

Benfica can’t approach this game with the same attitude as they did on the 1st leg because they need to score on this game. At a certain point, the Portuguese team will have to take extra risks and we believe that this will be a very different game, with more space for both teams, especially for Bayern.

Must Read: Predictions For Tuesday & Wednesday On Champions League

Bayern Munich Analysis
Like we predicted in our weekend article, Bayern obtained a good victory against Stuttgart (3-1) and returned to a number of goals scored that matches better this team’s potential to become the soccer pick.

Guardiola will try to control the game on Estadio da Luz and we think that it won’t be difficult for the German team to achieve that due to their tremendous potential and against a weakened Benfica, who won’t count with two key players, Jonas and Gaitan, for this match and as we said, there aren’t many quality options on Benfica’s bench.

For this match, Rui Vitoria shouldn’t present a team with two strikers because that would be too risky for them. Talisca might be the option for this game but in our opinion, he’s not a player with the required intensity.

Betting Overview
Looking at the goals and soccer odds boards market, both teams will approach this game with a different mindset and we believe this will be a low scoring affair. If Bayern scores Benfica knows that things are done for them because they don’t seem the required strength to score three goals to this team, especially without two of their key players. On the other hand, Benfica shouldn’t expose too much otherwise they’ll leave this game with a very heavy result.

We believe that the German team will take advantage of their opportunities in a match where they will be extra alert. As we said after the first goal things should be solved and Benfica doesn’t want to lose by a large margin that could affect their morale for the domestic league.

Regarding the ML market, it’s true that the German team doesn’t need to win to move forward on this competition, but they’ll want to show their superiority after a less achieved first game and with the important absences in Benfica, their price at -143 presents good value and we’ll split it with the bet Bayern & 'Under' 4.50 goals at -111 Stanjames. For those who want to take a higher risk the line Bayern & 'Under' 3.50 goals at +130 12bet is also a good one, but we’ll go with a safer one.

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Free Soccer Pick: Bayern Munich -143, Bayern Munich & 'Under' 4.5 at -111
Best Line Offered: at William Hill

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