Free Soccer Pick: Benfica vs. Porto in Liga Zon Sagres Title Race

Lee Phelps

Friday, April 24, 2015 12:42 PM GMT

Benfica and Porto reignite their rivalry in a first versus second clash, our capper Lee Phelps, from William Hill, looks at the odds for his free betting pick.

What a game Portuguese soccer fans have in store this weekend, with the title up for grabs. Porto are three points behind league leaders Benfica, so a win levels the title race up with four games to play.

Soccer odds makers have made Benfica the favorite at +140, Porto at +188 and the draw set at +230 for this fixture. So with a close match like this where should we place our bet?  

 

Benfica
The home team have won 12 successive matches at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica and haven’t lost in the domestic league since March 2nd 2012, when Porto beat them 3-2. In fact they have only lost two home games since August 2010 (it was Porto who beat them then too).

Their run this season shows one draw and 13 wins, with 40 goals scored and just four conceded. Half of those goals have come in the last two games, with Benfica winning 3-0 and 5-0 when they conceded.

There is another stand out stat too. Brazilian striker Jonas has been in unbelievable form, scoring 12 goals in his last 10 games and six in his last three, bagging a brace in each match.

Keep Checking on SBR's Liga Zon Sagres Odds Board & Shop for the Best Prices on the Market

Porto
Fresh from a hammering by Bayern, Porto must pick themselves up for this top-of-the-table clash. All that hope from the 3-1 home win evaporated quickly in Munich Tuesday, going in at half-time 5-0 down.

Their domestic away record is good, with just one defeat and four draws all season. They have only failed to score once on their travels and that was when they lost to Maritimo. They have only let nine goals in away from home.

 

Soccer Picks
The Benfica win at 29/20 is fair, but I’m going to be a bit greedier and put the prolific Jonas in my soccer picks too.

Free Soccer Pick: Benfica to win and Jonas to score: 3.5 (5/2)

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