Free Picks: Top Plays of the Day For ATP & WTA Madrid Day 7

João Mourato

Thursday, May 5, 2016 4:17 PM UTC

Thursday, May. 5, 2016 4:17 PM UTC

Join us on our daily coverage of the ATP & WTA Madrid event. Find out our top tennis picks on both competitions for Day 7 and why should you place these two valuable bets.

Tomas Berdych (8) vs Andy Murray (2)
After a slow start, where Andy Murray needed three sets to overcome the experienced Radek Stepanek, the defending champion experienced no problems on his match against Gilles Simon, dismissing the French by 6 – 4 6 – 2. In our tournament analysis we picked Murray as the player to keep an eye on, expecting to see him reaching at least the semifinals and he’s just one game away from that. Andy played at a very solid level against Simon, not facing a single break point and winning 11 / 13 points at the net.

Tomas Berdych reach this stage of the competition after a 7 – 6 7 – 5 triumph over David Ferrer, in a match where we picked the Czech to emerge victorious as our ATP & WTA Madrid Day 6 Top Play. Berdych firepower was too much for Ferrer to handle, finishing the match with 33 winners / 25 unforced errors. Even though Tomas success on this match, he was far from consistent on pressure situations, missing several important points with poor errors.

This will be the 14th career meeting between these two players, with Murray leading on h2h by 7 – 6. Despite Murray’s lead on h2h, it was Berdych who won all the previous three matches played on clay; however, Andy is currently a much better player on clay than he was a couple years ago.

This game is a great opportunity for Andy to claim his first career victory over this opponent on this surface. Murray played at a brilliant level against Simon and he should be too solid for Berdych on this contest. As we mentioned, Berdych was extremely erratic on pressure situations and is highly unlikely to see him emerging victorious from this match. Having said that, our suggestion is for you to take advantage of Murray’s tennis odds by placing a bet on him.

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Free Tennis Pick: Andy Murray ML (-185)
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

Dominika Cibulkova vs. Louisa Chirico (q)
For the first time on her career, Louisa Chirico reaches the semifinals of a WTA event and that happens on a WTA Premier Mandatory, which is even more impressive. Due to her low ranking, Chirico had to play the qualifying and reaches this stage after defeating tough players such as Monica Niculescu, Ana Ivanovic or Daria Garvilova. At the semifinals, Louisa performed at an outstanding level against Gavrilova, ending the match with 27 winners / 22 unforced errors and saving all the five break points she faced throughout the match.

Dominika Cibulkova is a warrior and this week is a good example of that, with the Slovakian winning her third consecutive match after losing the first set. As we predicted in our quarterfinals analysis it was far from an easy match for Dominika, with the former world no.10 defeating Sorana Cirstea by 4 – 6 6 – 3 6 – 3. Cibulkova turned the match around due to her extremely aggressive groundstrokes, ending the match with impressive numbers: 36 winners / 25 unforced errors.

These two players will face each other for the first time on their careers, with both fighting for a place on Saturday’s final.

Chirico is having a dream week and with nothing to lose, she’s even a more dangerous player. The American has the firepower to create problems to any player and this won’t be an easy match for Cibulkova. Like it happened in all four matches that Dominika played in Madrid this week, this one should also go to distance and for that reason, our advice here is to add the Over to your tennis picks.

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Free Tennis Pick: Over
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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