Free Picks: New Zealand vs. Australia Rugby Picks

Richard O'Hagan

Wednesday, August 21, 2013 2:50 PM GMT

Wednesday, Aug. 21, 2013 2:50 PM GMT

New Zealand made a thrilling start to the 2013 Rugby Championship and look set to continue that form this weekend. Let's look at the current betting odds before making our sports picks on this event.


The second weekend of the 2013 Rugby Championship sees the opening round of fixtures reversed. That means that Australia have to cross the Tasman to take on the All Black side who thrashed them 47-29 at the weekend.

In the end, the game was a big let down for the Wallabies, who had high hopes after a change of head coach and a stronger-than-expected showing against the British and Irish Lions. Although they fought hard to stay in the game, they were just outclassed by an All Black side who made good use of their experience in a match which many had expected to see them struggle in against the more youthful Australians.

The game featured the first hat trick by an All Black since 2005, as winger Ben Smith took advantage of some very shoddy defense on the part of the Australians, opening his account after only three minutes. Returning skipper Richie McCaw also scored, as did center Conrad Smith and fly half Aaron Cruden.

Also check out our free picks on Argentina & South Africa's Rugby Championship match.

The Wallabies did have a magical moment of their own, as scrum half Will Genia - arguably the only player on their side not to be outclassed by his opposite number - scored a brilliant try, running in from 65 yards after Michael Hooper intercepted. It was Hooper’s one telling contribution of the game; his attempts to mark McCaw resembled those of a harassed mother trying to keep control of hyperactive triplets in a grocery store.

This is the second of three matches between the two sides this autumn for the Bledisloe Cup, which New Zealand hold. If they win this one they will take an unassailable 2-0 lead in this year’s contest-within-a-contest, so expect the Australians to be a lot better than they were last weekend. 

All of which means that the All Blacks are hot favorites for this game, at a best price of 2/13 with Bet365. The Aussies are way out at 11/2 via Paddy Power.

There’s therefore little value in backing them, so your best option is to look at betting odds at some of the other markets. First scoring play is always a good place to look, and in a game like this I’d again be looking to an All Black try. Winter in Wellington is no fun for kickers so avoid the goal kicking options here. At 11/4 with Ladbrokes that’s not an option to be ignored.

You could also consider a bet on the winning margin. There are a range of options to consider, but a home win by 6-10 looks the best options, especially considering that try scoring will be at a premium and the Australian defense can hardly be worse than it was at the weekend. Even so, an 11-15 point All Black win looks to be a smart choice for our sports picks, which you can get for 5/1 at Paddy Power.
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