Free Picks: Longshots to Consider With Preakness Stakes Picks

Joe Freda

Thursday, May 16, 2013 2:29 PM GMT

Thursday, May. 16, 2013 2:29 PM GMT

Saturday’s Preakness Stakes may only have a nine-horse field, but has drawn some capable long shots who could cash their share of horse betting tickets.


Preakness Stakes Betting Tips & Strategy

The three leading contenders of Orb (1/1), Mylute (5/1) and Departing (6/1) face six foes at 8/1 or higher, heading to Baltimore for an upset.

No. 2 Goldencents (8/1) heads to Pimilico with Trainer Doug O’Neill hoping to win the Preakness for a second straight year. Rider Kevin Krigger flopped in a 17th-place Kentucky Derby finish, following wins in 2-of-3 stakes outings at Santa Anita. 

No. 8 Governor Charlie (12/1) captured March’s Sunland Derby, reaching the winner’s circle with a five-length win. Trainer Bob Baffert has won the Preakness on five occasions, with rider Martin Garcia aboard Baffert’s Lookin at Lucky for the most recent title, three years ago. 

No. 9 Itsmyluckyday draws the outside for jockey John Velazquez, who looks for his first Preakness crown. The 10/1 shot faded to 15th place in the Kentucky Derby, but won the Holly Bull Stakes as part of two victories in his prior three starts. 

Trainer D. Wayne Lukas has three challengers entered, searching for his sixth Preakness championship and first since 1999. No. 6 Oxbow (15/1) and No. 7 Will Take Charge (12/1) break side-by-side, while No. 3 Titletown Five is the field’s longest price at 30/1. 

Oxbow placed sixth in the Kentucky Derby, staying near the front of the race’s lengthy pack most of the way. Jockey Gary Stevens has won the Preakness twice, bringing Silver Charm (1997) and Point Given (2001) to victory.

Will Take Charge switches riders to 1993 Preakness winner Mike Smith after finishing 8th at Churchill Downs. The colt’s subpar outing was his second of three starts out of the money, with the sole cashed ticket coming with March’s win by a head in the Rebel Stakes. 

Titletown Five faded to ninth in March’s Louisiana Derby, while following up with a fourth-place effort in last month’s Derby Trial Stakes. Lukas’ darkest horse enters with just $87,398 in earnings, making him a distant trailer.

Review our Preakness Stakes Early Odds & Winner Predictions

Selections:  Governor Charlie and Oxbow 

The Preakness is Race No. 12 on Pimlico’s card, with an expected post time of 6:20 p.m. (ET). Baltimore’s weather forecast calls for a 73-degree day, with a 30 percent chance of showers. 

I am going with win and place my horse betting picks on Governor Charlie and Oxbow, taking overlay prices with the kind of success Baffert and Lukas have respectively notched. 

Governor Charlie has Baffert picking his spot carefully, while the colt’s bloodline of former Preakness winner Real Quiet could kick in with these surroundings. The challenger’s Sunland Derby win was at career-high speed, with further potential still yet to unfold. 

Oxbow should get a better trip here than his “Run For The Roses” campaign, facing one of the shortest fields of his career. The son of Breeders Cup Classic champ Awesome Again could be a late bloomer like his father, while keeping Stevens aboard here is a big plus at these betting odds.

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