Free Picks: Belmont Stakes Matchups & Prop Betting Picks

David Schwab

Wednesday, May 29, 2013 3:26 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 29, 2013 3:26 PM UTC

This weekend's Belmont Stakes is full of its betting action, with many online sportsbooks offering matchup props in addition to the traditional pari-mutel wagers.

This year’s 145th Belmont Stakes at Belmont Park in Elmont New York will be exciting in its own right with a head-to-head showdown between Kentucky Derby winner Orb and Preakness Stakes winner Oxbow, but the following is a look at some matchup and prop bets that can add even more sports betting action to the event.

The third and final leg of the Triple Crown racing season is set to go off around 3 p.m. (PT) on Saturday, June 8. The Belmont Stakes is the longest and most grueling of the three Grade I stakes races at 1 ½ mile length and it carries a total prize purse of $1 million.

Take a look at our Belmont Stakes Early Odds Preview.

When it comes to head-to-head matchup bets for this race, the first one on the card is Oxbow as a +125 underdog verse Orb as a -155 favorite. Oxbow went off as a 30/1 longshot for the Kentucky Derby and finished a respectable sixth, while Orb was the betting odds favorite at 7/2 and won. When it came to the Preakness, Oxbow was listed at 15/1 while Orb was a prohibitive 1/1 favorite and this time the horse with the longer odds prevailed. 

Both horses have shown the ability to win races among fields with the strongest three-year olds in the sport, but you have to lean towards Orb this time around as he is still the best horse of the two. 

The second matchup you can wager on is Oxbow as a +120 underdog against Revolutionary as a -150 favorite. The advantage in this pairing has to go to Revolutionary after trainer Todd Pletcher decided to hold his colt out of the Preakness following a solid third-place finish in the Kentucky Derby. Given the extra rest and additional training, Revolutionary is an excellent choice to not only win this prop, but to win this race outright given its ability to handle the increased length. 

The final matchup pits Overanalyze verse Golden Soul with the money line listed at -115 for each horse. Also trained by Pletcher, Overanalyze finished 11th in the Kentucky Derby after going off at 15/1. He did not run in the Preakness. Golden Soul closed fast and hard to post a solid second-place finish at Churchill Downs after going off as a 50/1 longshot. Trainer Dallas Stewart decided to forgo the Preakness as well to train his horse for this race. 

Both horses are listed at +1200 to win on the early lines, but the edge in this matchup has to go to Golden Soul for not only its impressive performance in the Derby, but for his ability  to rally down the stretch which will be crucial in a race like the Belmont.

When it comes to prop bets, the first bet you might want to consider is “will a horse win in a wire-to-wire run, much the same way that Oxbow did in the Preakness Stakes. A “yes” wager would pay you $500 on a 100 bet, while a “no” wager on this prop will cost you $700 on a $100 bet if you are wrong. A wire-to-wire run in a race remains highly improbable given that it is extremely difficult to lead the entire way over this kind of length.

Another prop bet that heavily favors one answer over the other is “will there be an injury” into the results of the Belmont. This time “yes” is listed at +500 and “no” is listed at -700. In thoroughbred races of this caliber and stature there is rarely any kind of injury into the results. Do not be fooled into thinking otherwise just because that happens quite a bit during daily horse racing cards. 

The easiest even money prop to bet on in this race is will an even or odd numbered horse win this race. The current money line is listed at -115 for either result, but you might want to lean towards going with a bet on an odd number considering that right now there are odds to win listed for 17 horses. The final field and actual starting positions for the Belmont will not be decided until later next week.

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