Free Boxing Picks: Breakdown On Why Bradley Will Defeat Pacquiao

Swinging Johnson

Monday, March 28, 2016 2:18 PM UTC

Monday, Mar. 28, 2016 2:18 PM UTC

The Timothy Bradley and Manny Pacquiao match is slated for April 9th at the MGM in Las Vegas. Let’s review the matchup and see why this live dog will render a healthy return in our boxing picks.

Age and Injury
No matter who you are, we all eventually succumb to Father Time. Someone once said, middle age is when age starts to show around your middle. However, it takes on a markedly different hue with world class athletes. On the exterior most look identical to the chiseled athlete they were in their primes but underneath the carriage there are slight changes not seen by the naked eye until the battle ensues. When it comes to men who rely on fast-twitch muscles using their fists as a devastating delivery system, even a nanosecond delay or a slight decrease in velocity can be the difference between victor and vanquished. We never know exactly when it occurs, particularly in a boxer’s case who has taken thousands of shots to the face, head and body throughout his career. But indeed it does happen and the toll it takes is manifested inside the squared circle. Such is the case with Manny Pacquiao.

The Filipino sensation is now 37-years-old with miles and miles of wear on his boxing tread. He has only six losses in 65 professional fights that date back to 1995. But a closer look at his record reveals three of those six losses occurred over the last 3 ½ years which is just about the time Pacquiao began to reach middle age. Pacquiao lost a controversial split decision against Timothy Bradley in 2012 followed by a knockout loss to Juan Manuel Marquez just six months later. Pacquiao rebounded with three consecutive unanimous decision victories, including a rematch with Bradley, before he lost a 12-round sparring session with Floyd Mayweather that was derided by even the most astute boxing fan.

Though there is no shame in losing to a legendary fighter like Mayweather, it was in fact the way he lost. Pacquiao was plodding, unable to connect cleanly and demonstrated none of the lightning speed that had blinded his opponents in the past. Certainly Mayweather was culpable as well but Pacquiao understood in order to beat Mayweather on the judge’s scorecards he would have to do it convincingly. There was no such urgency and when the final bell rang it was Mayweather’s hand that was raised courtesy of a unanimous decision victory. Pacquiao has, wisely or unwisely, defended his performance by stating he was suffering from a right shoulder injury he sustained late in his prefight camp. The bottom line is he couldn’t catch Mayweather, couldn’t muscle him and many would say that would not have been the case if the fight took place when both men were in their primes. Manny Pacquiao would probably disagree that his skills are fading but how many athletes truly leave their respective professions gracefully?


New Trainer - New Attitude
Timothy Bradley dumped longtime trainer Joel Diaz for firebrand Teddy Atlas after his win over Jessie Vargas. In his next fight, with Atlas in his corner, he starched Brandon Rios in the ninth round which was his first finish since 2011. This appears to be a highly focused, reinvigorated Timothy Bradley who is getting a new lease on life under the aegis of veteran trainer Teddy Atlas. He understands many consider his victory over Pacquiao to be a misguided decision on the parts of two of the three judges who scored the fight for him and wants redemption for that as well as his indisputable loss in their second bout.

As of this writing the boxing odds have tumbled on the favorite and you can get Pacquiao as low as -229 at Pinnacle or get a return on Bradley as high as +215 on YouWager. Almost a year has elapsed since his lackluster fight with Mayweather and we know nothing about how his shoulder has responded since that fight. We do however know Pacquiao is another year older while his opponent Timothy Bradley is another year wiser with a legendary trainer now charting his course. In your boxing picks on April 9th you could do much worse than betting this very live underdog.

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Free Boxing Pick: Timothy Bradley +192
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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