France (4-0-0) vs. USA (4-0-0)
Friday, June 27, 3:00 PM EST
Soccer Odds: France +225, USA +120, Draw +225
Recommended Sportsbook: Bet365
France’s path to the quarterfinal
France pits their perfect record against USA in the last eight, a spot in the semi-finals and a shot at World Cup glory on the line. France topped group A with a perfect record, winning all three matches all the while scoring seven goals and conceding just once. They opened with a 4-0 drumming of South Korea. In round 2, they faced stiff opposition from Norway but edged their Nordic neighbours 2-1 eventually. In the last round of group action, they edged Nigeria 1-0.
In the R16, France faced a very resilient Brazilian side and eked out a 2-1 victory to advance. Overall, the French side have lived up to expectations and delivered a solid tournament. They’ve come up against some stiff opponents and got the better of them all convincingly to maintain a perfect 4-0-0 record. Importantly, they have shown to be solid on the defensive side of the ball conceding just twice in the competition.
USA’s path to the quarterfinal
The Americans started their defense campaign with a mighty gauntlet throwing victory over Thailand. They completely annihilated the South Asian hopefuls 13-0, which marked a record-making victory in several World Cup historical categories. Unfortunately, the Americans did themselves no favours by over-the-top celebrations that earned them criticism the world over.
Speaking of controversy, the USA women’s national team is in the thick of it again, this time taking on their president. Why bring this up in this article? It simply amounts to more distraction that the USWNT really doesn’t need.
In the second round of the group stage, the Americans beat Chile 3-0 and, then, they closed group action with a 2-0 win over Sweden to finish atop their section. In the R16, USA edged a resilient Spanish side 2-1. To be fair, they were rather lucky to get past Spain on account of two penalties awarded.
Overall, the Americans have had a good tournament, but if there were a criticism it’s that they would have yet to put it in a really convincing account against a solid opponent. One could say they’ve coasted through the rounds thus far. Spain did their best and, perhaps, should have won the game. Penalties were their undoing and the Americans capitalised. Had the Spanish side not given up penalties, the Americans may very well have been upset in the R16. In short, that close call and overall lack of challenge could very well be detrimental to their title defense campaign.
World Cup Outrights
France are installed as the +450 to win the tournament. They are the second overall favourites behind the USA at +162. The gap in the soccer futures odds between these two sides is quite significant, but, in the quarterfinals one side will be eliminated. While USA carry the burden of expectation as tournament favourites, the hosts will fancy their chances at home before an adoring home crowd.
Match Betting Preview
As it stands, the quarterfinal odds fall in line with the overarching market perspective. That is the Americans are the favourites, albeit in plus money (+125 to win straight up), while the hosts are at the slight disadvantage at +225 to win straight up and the draw is trading on similar odds with Bet365.
It’s a tight soccer betting line offering angles for profit on both sides of the coin. The Americans to win is the trendy soccer pick. Notably, for those looking to back the Americans to victory, this is a good time to bet on them in general. Not only betting on USA to win the quarterfinal match with France offers value, but also tickling USA’s outright odds to win the tournament. Should the Americans reach the semi-finals, it’s more likely their outright soccer odds will shorten and value will be lost.
Other trendy soccer picks include the Americans to win 2-1, which is offered at +800 with Bet365. Public bettors fancy the OVER 2.5 at +105, but sharp bettors appear to be leaning towards the UNDER -134. For those undecided bettors, hedging your bet on double chance play USA or France to win is on offer at -286, which isn’t totally out there in terms of price.
Method of victory bets are also interesting to consider. A 90 minute victory (regulation time) for France is reflected by the same odds for the straight up victory. Extra-time victory for France is +1200 while the extra time victory for the USA is priced at +900. Either side to win on penalties is priced at +1100.
For those upset potential seekers, this matchup does serve that purpose beautifully. Mark these words, France can win this match and, at +225, they are a tempting soccer pick. Home advantage will be key towards that end, not to mention France’s transition game can give USA fits. Remember, the Americans have yet to face a team that can play up to their potential.
Expect USA will dig deep and, perhaps, they’ll finally play their best game of the tournament. However, France is up for the challenge and should give USA a real run for their money. The French are deep, talented and lethal on the offensive side of the ball. Their defense is solid as well.
Soccer Free Picks: France to win at +225