Formula 1 British GP: Betting Picks and Race Preview

Formula 1 British GP: Betting Picks and Race Preview
Mercedes' Finnish driver Valtteri Bottas. (Photo by Joe Klamar / POOL / AFP)

Formula1 British GP free betting picks and race preview. Can Red Bull close the gap on Mercedes or are we set for another silver arrow front row lockout?

Formula1 British GP

Sunday, August 2nd, 2020 – Race Time: 9.10 am EST

Silverstone Circuit

Race Preview

Pandemic or no pandemic, nothing has changed in the F1 world, Lewis Hamilton and Mercedes are still the ultimate dominant force. Hamilton cruised to victory last time out in Hungary, winning the race by 8.7 seconds, and it could have been much more. The only one who can stop Hamilton is his teammate Valtteri Bottas, has he got the bottle for? He is currently only five points behind Hamilton for the championship, it’s now or never. Heading into this week’s round in the British GP at Silverstone, Bottas has never won here, whilst Hamilton has won in 5 of the last 6 races at his home GP.

Ferrari are still miles off the peace and don’t look to be improving anytime soon, the only team capable of touching Mercedes right now are Red Bull, but even they are a long way off catching the silver arrows. There will be one or two races this season that the Red Bull might capitalize on but overall, they won’t cause any threat to Hamilton or Bottas, it’s going to be a championship battle between teammates.

Winning Driver Odds

  • Lewis Hamilton -227
  • Valtteri Bottas +225
  • Max Verstappen +600
  • Sergio Perez +2200
  • Lance Stroll +3300
  • Alex Albon +3300
  • Sebastian Vettel +8000
  • Charles Leclerc +8000
  • Carlos Sainz +10000
  • Lando Norris +10000
  • Rest Of Field +50000

Pole Position

It’s almost impossible to imagine any team getting pole position besides Mercedes this weekend. The at Formula1 betting odds of -250 for Hamilton and +200 for Bottas, there isn’t much value to be found. I wouldn’t bet against Hamilton but it’s not worth the risk for -250. Max Verstappen at +1000 could be the way to go here.

Pole Position: No Official Bet, Verstappen Lean

Red Bull’s Thai driver Alex Albon. (Photo by Darko Bandic / POOL / AFP)

Podium Finish

The obvious podium finishers are Bottas, Hamilton, and Verstappen, but there’s absolutely zero value on these three. Verstappen being the best odds at -143, but not worth a bet in my opinion. We can get Verstappen’s teammate Alex Albon at +500 to make the podium with Intertops. Possibly the best value of the field and should be there to capitalize on any mistakes or retirements as regarding the top three.

Alex Albon+500
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Top 10 Finish

11 of the 20 riders in this market are set at Formula1 odds of -200 or more, which means only 9 riders are plus money. My plus money pick for top 10 this weekend is going to be Frenchman Pierre Gasly. He was the only retirement in the last race due to a gearbox issue. I believe he has the ability to make the top ten and at odds of +200, I am happy to take him.

Pierre Gasly+200
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Fastest Lap

We all know how fast the Mercedes have been this year (and many other years) but it’s not been going their way in terms of fastest laps set during races. After three races McLaren are leading that stat 2-1. I am going to stick with McLaren to do it again this weekend, and not just because they are leading, they also represent super value at +1600 for Lando Norris and +2000 for Carlos Sainz, both available at BetOnline.

Fastest Lap:

  • Lando Norris +1600
  • Carlos Sainz +2000

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McLaren’s British driver Lando Norris. (Photo by Leonhard Foeger / POOL / AFP)

Winning Margin

If I believe Hamilton is going to run away with the race this weekend (which I would be naïve not too) then I think he puts the hammer down and wins by more than 8 seconds. In each of Hamilton’s last 5 victories at Silverstone, they have all been by a margin of more than 8 seconds.

Winning Margin: Over 8 seconds +138 with Best Online Sportsbooks

Driver Head To Heads

This week out of all the head to head markets, I have only found one where I feel the F1 betting odds are incorrect. That market was Sainz vs Norris. The F1 betting lines have this one wrong in my opinion, and I feel it is because of home driver bias. Sainz is +120 to get the better of his teammate this Sunday, Norris is coming in at -150 to get the better of Sainz. I feel these odds should be a pick’em, or at the very least -105 / +105 in favor of Norris.

Head To Head: Sainz To Beat Norris +120

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Race Winner

With five wins in the last six races at Silverstone (the race he didn’t win he finished 2nd, two seconds behind race winner Sebastian Vettel) it’s hard to look past Hamilton taking the win again this weekend. As I stated earlier it looks like Bottas is his only rival and he has been closing the gap on Hamilton as each year goes by. If Bottas wants to make a real statement then this is the place to do it, at Hamilton’s home race. It would be a miracle if neither Mercedes won on Sunday. The odds on either driver to win is a whopping -1250 (eh, no thanks). There’s no value in Hamilton at -250, even if he does win, long term it won’t pay off. So, for me, the only logical choice is Bottas at +225, although I do think Hamilton will win.

Favorite Bet: Winning Margin Over 8 Seconds +138 with Best Online Sportsbooks

Race Winner:

Valtteri Bottas+225
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