Floyd Mayweather vs. Marcos Maidana Rematch Betting Odds

SBR Staff

Tuesday, July 15, 2014 5:01 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jul. 15, 2014 5:01 PM GMT

Floyd "Money" Mayweather has announced that he will give Marcos "El Chino" Maidana a rematch on September 13, 2014. Once again, Floyd Mayweather is listed as a significant favorite in the bout.

Floyd Mayweather is currently an -800 favorite at 5Dimes Sportsbook (SBR rating A+), meaning an $800 wager returns $100 in profit. This editorial projects the line movement and lays out everything you need to know to make an informed decision on betting Mayweather vs. Maidana II.

Mayweather vs. Maidana Rematch: Opening Line
For all the talk of a close bout in their first fight, one which judge Michael Pernick scored even (114-114), the opening line of Mayweather as an 8 to 1 favorite reflects the American's superiority over his Argentinian opponent. At a quick glance, a handicapper might look at Michael Pernick's scorecard and the fact that Mayweather has given only one other rematch in his entire career and decide that there is too much value to pass up in Maidana at +500. Quick glances have been known to cause traffic accidents, as well.

Floyd Mayweather gave an immediate rematch to Jose Luis Castillo more than a decade ago in December of 2002. Mayweather defeated Castillo in their first meeting eight months earlier by unanimous decision, although some fight observers including HBO's Harold Lederman had Castillo winning the bout. Mayweather cited a shoulder injury suffered during training as having impacted his performance, and won more convincingly in the rematch.

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At 38 years of age, Mayweather heads into the second rematch of his entire career against a game opponent in Marcos Maidana that who if nothing else helped contribute to the appearance of a close contest in their first outing, and who has earned another career high purse against the unbeaten Mayweather.  Sports bettors licking their lips at the 5 to 1 payday are advised to hold off on pulling the trigger, as this boxing writer believes the number on Maidana will only grow before fight night.

Mayweather vs. Maidana: What You Need to Know
The script of the first fight was simple. Mayweather stood in the pocket willing to engage, controlled Maidana with his laser sharp lead right hand, while Maidana tried elbowing, hitting Mayweather low, head butting, hitting on breaks, and at one point in the match tackling Mayweather into the ropes. After a performance that would convince you Maidana believes Marquess of Queensberry is in fact a mixed vodka drink, fans either congratulated Maidana for giving it his all or blasted him for MMA style tactics that were ultimately cheap and defaced the sport.

The rematch will likely outsell their first dance as casual fans who heard how the first fight was "close" purchase the Showtime PPV to see if Mayweather will be served his first defeat. Mayweather is likely to use more lateral movement in the sequel as his work has been done  reeling in more buyers and there's no need at this point to camp in the pocket against a dirty fighter in Maidana. Mayweather could have used more footwork and rotated in and out of the pocket more frequently in the first fight, but there would be little interest in a rematch and with the lack of viable contenders in the welterweight division, there's very few suitors left for a 70 million or more payday. | Gloves drama

Mayweather will more effectively control the pace of the rematch by increasing his lateral movement, which also will serve to make his left check hook more dangerous as Maidana draws closer or tries to bum rush. Expect a steady dosage of lead right hands, and based on how controlled Maidana's aggression is, a trip to the canvas is not of the question. As more fight markets are offered by online sportsbooks, SBR will update its Boxing Props directory with the pricing of the wins by KO/TKO wagers.

Mayweather vs. Maidana Moneyline Projections
The average market price of the bout should continue to stay in the -800 / +500 range for all of July. This writer predicts that the price will grow by at least 50 cents in August, and settle around a closing price of Mayweather -960 to -1000 by fight week. If you intend to back Mayweather and don't care to tie your money up for two months, Mayweather as an 8 to 1 favorite is as good as it's getting.

This article will be updated to list other available Mayweather vs. Maidana betting markets closer to the fight night on September 13. The event will be on Showtime PPV and take place at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, where Mayweather fights for the tenth consecutive time.

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