Finding Value in EFL Championship Week 40

Aston Villa players

SBR Staff

Monday, April 3, 2017 5:18 PM GMT

Monday, Apr. 3, 2017 5:18 PM GMT

Inconsistency has been a major theme for EFL Championship clubs this season making it very difficult to make profitable soccer picks. However, we've managed to keep our head above water and this week won't be any different.

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Just when a team seems to be getting on a run of good form, a surprise result trips them up. While this makes it exciting from a neutral point of view, it can be very difficult to predict outcomes. We’ve managed to survive by keeping stakes low and finding good value. Hopefully, this week’s pointers won’t disappoint.

 

Aston Villa vs. Queens Park Rangers

The Villains are the form side in the EFL with an impressive six wins from their last seven games. This has brought a renewed optimism around the club and they will be one of the favorites for promotion next season after Steve Bruce made some astute signings in the January transfer window. Conor Hourihane is arguably one of the best midfielders outside the Premier League, and with striker Jonathan Kodija in terrific goal-scoring form (he scored both goals in Saturday’s 2-0 victory over Norwich and now has seventeen for the season) Villa will be full of confidence.

Rangers have picked up under manager Ian Holloway recently, they have lost three out of their last five on the road, including Friday nights one nil defeat at Derby County. They won’t make this easy for Villa, but in this sort of form, I’m taking the straight Aston Villa win. I also like the look of Jonathan Kodija to score at any time at -111 with Bet365.

 

Free Soccer Pick: Aston Villa -120Best Line Offered: at William Hill

 

 

Rotherham United vs. Sheffield Wednesday

Rotherham’s fate was finally sealed on Saturday, where a home loss to high-flying Fulham meant they were officially relegated to League One for next season. They’ve lost a massive thirty games this season and have just seventeen points. This sort of form simply isn’t good enough at this level and they will be glad to see the back of the EFL Championship where they have been consistently outclassed.

Wednesday was unlucky not to take all three points in their South Yorkshire derby at Barnsley, where they led until conceding a ninety-third-minute equalizer. Just one win in their last five has seen them replaced in the play-off places by in-form Fulham. Another local derby against a side that's been relegated is just what The Owls need in order to get back to winning ways. I’m taking Sheffield Wednesday -1 AH. The Millers also concede over two-thirds of their goals at the New York Stadium in the second half of games, so I’m also taking Half With Most Goals - Second Half at 2.00 with Bet365.

 

Free Soccer Pick: Sheffield Wednesday -1 AH -128Best Line Offered: at Unibet

 

 

Reading vs. Blackburn Rovers

The Royals seem to have discovered decent form just at the right time. A one nil victory against fellow play-off rivals Leeds on Saturday, followed up a morale-boosting victory at Sheffield Wednesday last time out. With thirteen victories at The Madejski Stadium this season, they boast the second strongest home record in the EFL, where they’re unbeaten in their last six, with four wins and two draws.

Rovers will feel hard done by to still be occupying a relegation place. Since Tony Mowbray took charge they were unbeaten in seven games, until a one nil defeat at automatic promotion chasing Brighton on Saturday. The reason for their lowly position is that they’ve drawn too many games, with no wins on the road in five. I expect this to be a tight match with a similar result to what both sides had at the weekend, and with home advantage, I’m backing the Reading for my betting pick.

 

Free Soccer Pick: Reading +105Best Line Offered: at BetVictor
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