Fight Night Undercard UFC Picks to Knock Out Your Bookie

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, November 26, 2015 2:09 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 26, 2015 2:09 PM UTC

What will Saturday bring for our UFC picks? Join me as we go over the weekend's undervard and find value on the UFC odds to boost profits while watching some good 'ol fighting.

Seoul, South Korea is the venue for the latest UFC clash featuring Benson Henderson vs. Jorge Masvidal in the main event. But here we focus on the undercard as we look to cash in our UFC picks on Saturday.


Dominic Waters (9-3, 3 KO’s, 2 Subs) vs. Dong Hyun Kim (20-3-1, 8 KO’s, 2 Subs)
The UFC odds makers have installed Kim as a big favorite in this one and it is with very good reason. The Stun Gun has had no issues with fighters of less than world class pedigree like Waters. His only losses have come against the elite such as Carlos Condit, Demian Maia and Tyron Woodley. Not so coincidentally Kim lost to all three by KO. Waters has a decent ground game and packs a bit of power in both his hands and feet. However those skills are virtually a given if a fighter breaks through to the major leagues of MMA and nothing that Kim has not seen before in his successful combat career.

Water’s biggest attributes headed into this tilt with Dong Hyun Kim is his athleticism and strength. However his propensity to go for the takedown will play directly into Kim’s game plan. If this fight hits the mat the only way Waters will escape is if he is able to gain the mount and ground-and-pound his way to a knockout. The 26-year-old Waters has youth and strength on his side but that hardly equips him to contend with a southpaw that is his superior on the mat and possesses lethal elbows and knees to make standing-and-trading a potentially fatal tactic as well. I’d love to grab all that juice that a Dominic Waters win would get me in my UFC picks, but I just don’t see that happening.

UFC Pick: Bet Kim -569 at Pinnacle

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Alberto Mina (11-0, 5 KO’s, 6 Subs) vs. Yoshihiro Akiyama (14-5, 5 KO’s, 7 Subs)
This one should be a dandy. We have two world class mat masters with Alberto Mina, a gold medalist at the 2013 IBJJF Asian Open, and Yoshihiro Akiyama a decorated judoka. It goes without saying that Akiyama has competed against a far better class of fighters in MMA but Mina is seven years younger and two inches taller boasting an elite ground game. The Brazilian is also incorporating Muay Thai into repertoire and is equally adept at submitting or knocking out his opponents as evidenced by his 11 finishes in 11 fights.

Akiyama, aka Sexyama (his words, not mine), has not been particularly active in the UFC with only five fights over the past five plus years. After experiencing four consecutive losses under the UFC banner Akiyama earned a unanimous decision over UFC scrapper Amir Sadollah back in September of 2014.

As tough a guy as Sadollah is he is not in the same hemisphere as Mina in terms of ground skills. In his younger days Akiyama would have made quick work of a tough guy like Sadollah but at the age of 40 is no longer the fighter he once was. This is a good spot for Mina to get on the UFC map, and if taken at his word, he is quite cognizant of the fact that at 33-years-old he has a closing window in which to compete with the best in the world and climb swiftly up the welterweight ladder. Akiyama’s star is fading fast while Mina’s is ready to shine.

UFC Pick: Play Alberto Mina +145 at Heritage.

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Sam Sicilia (15-5, 8 KO’s, 4 Subs) vs. Doo Ho Choi (12-1, 9 KO’s 1 Sub)
Sam Sicilia is a tough-as-nails fighter who went 11-1 in regional promotions as a lightweight but when he broke into the UFC he debuted, and has remained, a featherweight. Sicilia is 4-4 under Dana White’s banner and three of his five career losses have come via submission. Sicilia dons no black belt in any particular art nor does he come from a highly acclaimed D-1 wrestling program. He is simply a tough guy with dynamite in his fists.

Doo Ho Choi is poised to become the next big thing in the featherweight division. He is 12-1 with nine of those victories courtesy of surgical strikes and flying knees. He is electric inside the cage and should prove to be too much for a more conventional fighter like Sicilia. This could be the fight of the night if these two decide to throw hands until someone falls.

UFC Pick: Play Ho Choi -220 at YouWager

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