Fight Night Odds & Free Play: Bisping +244 Our UFC Pick vs. Silva

Swinging Johnson

Monday, February 15, 2016 8:36 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 15, 2016 8:36 PM UTC

Anderson Silva is seeking a return to the upper echelons of the middleweight division but can he get past veteran Michael Bisping? Let’s review the UFC odds and determine the top fighter.

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Free UFC Pick: Michael Bisping +255
Best Line Offered: Pinnacle Sports


Michael Bisping (27-7, 15 KO’s, 4 Subs)
July of 2015 was the last time Michael Bisping entered the Octagon and he came away with a split decision victory over Brazilian Thales Leites. It was just another in a pattern that follows The Count in terms of defeating lesser ranked opponents which is why Bisping has long been viewed as a gatekeeper in the division rather than a top contender. The first two rounds were pretty much even as Bisping delivered more shots but his opponent connected on harder, cleaner strikes. Depending on ones’ viewpoint the issue became quantity over quality and the judges’ preference would be of vital importance.

The third round saw the then 33-year-old Brazilian visibly rock Bisping and the tide seemed to shift. However the championship rounds, which were included as this was deemed the main event in Glasgow, Scotland, provided Bisping an opportunity to employ his relentless cardio and snatch the momentum away from his adversary. This ultimately proved to be the pivotal reason why the Englishman came out on top on the scorecards which read 47-48, 49-46, 48-47 in favor of Bisping.


Anderson Silva (33-6, 20 KO’s, 6 Subs)
There was a period of over seven years in which Anderson Silva was invincible and the undisputed pound-for-pound best MMA fighter on the planet. But the clock continues to tick on all of us and the first chink in Silva’s armor appeared against the eccentric Chael Sonnen at UFC 117 when Silva was destined for defeat against an underdog that the UFC odds makers had given virtually no chance of upsetting the legendary Brazilian. The match was coming to a rapid close and with less than two minutes remaining in round five it was clearly Sonnen’s fight to lose after hammering Silva throughout. Yet the Spider had one more trick up his sleeve and at 3:10 of the fifth round Silva locked in a triangle armbar that forced Sonnen to tap. Instead of a stunning defeat Silva’s legend only grew.

The Spider seemed reinvigorated after his near-defeat experience and subsequently knocked out his next four opponents which included former UFC light heavyweight champion Vitor Belfort, mat master Yushin Okami, a rematch with Chael Sonnen and a step up to light heavyweight to starch tough guy Stephen Bonnar in the opening round. Silva’s day of reckoning then came when he lost his title to the supremely talented Chris Weidman and subsequently dropped the rematch with a Theismannesque leg break off the shin of a checked kick by Weidman. Silva’s last foray inside the Octagon was an overturned decision victory over Nick Diaz due to a failed post-fight test for illegal substances.


Betting Analysis
When determining your UFC picks in this one the primary question is what Anderson Silva are we going to get? He is now closing in on 41-years-old and has not fought in over a year when he went the distance with a tough and game Nick Diaz. Yet, Diaz is a brawler that Silva would have quickly dispatched earlier in his career much like Bisping. How much impact did the drostanolone and androsterone in his system have on the outcome? It is impossible to say and we can argue that Michael Bisping, at a soon-to-be 37-years-old is not the dynamic striker he once was having notched only one KO over the last four years.

So we must peruse the UFC odds and opt for betting value in this one. As difficult as it is to bet against someone of Silva’s ilk and legendary status we must consider Bisping’s ability to go deep into fights as long as he steers clear of serious damage. Silva is not and never will be the fighter he once was and I believe Bisping has the ability to get through the first two rounds and score points in the latter rounds. The Count has been KO’ed only twice in his career and submitted just once.

In addition to the substantial return we will get back on this live underdog let’s not forget where the fight is being held. London, England is the venue and that is indeed a hospitable venue for a man who was raised in Lancashire just four hours north.

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